TY - JOUR TT - Estimation Of Money Supply Reaction Function By Using Time Varying Parameter Model With Heteroskedastic Disturbances AU - Telatar, Erdinç PY - 2001 DA - December JF - Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi PB - Hacettepe Üniversitesi WT - DergiPark SN - 1301-8752 SP - 1 EP - 17 VL - 19 IS - 2 KW - : Para arzı KW - reaksiyon fonksiyonu KW - Markov-Değişimli model N2 -  The purpose of this study is to estimate a reactionfunction used by monetary authority in conducting its policies for the periodof 1987-2000 in Turkey. A time varying parameter model with heteroskedasticdisturbances is used in the estimation procedure. Results indicate that therehad been an unstable relationship between the growth rate of currency incirculation used as policy instrument, and the volatility of inflation. This findingsupports the fact why contractionary monetary policy alone had not beensufficient to reduce inflation during the sample period as a result ofuncertainty, which was due to the changes in regression coefficients of thepolicy reaction function.   CR - Abrams, R. K., R. Froyen ve R. Waud, 1980, "Monetary Policy Reaction Functions, Consistent Expectations, and the Burns Era", Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 12(1): 30-42. CR - Alt, J.E. ve K.A. Chrystal, 1983, Political Economics, University of California Press. CR - Blinder, A., 1998, Central Banking in Theory and Practice, Cambridge: The MIT Press. CR - Chappell, H. W., T. M. Havrilesky ve R. R. McGregor, 1993, "Partisan Monetary Policies: Presidential Influence Through the Powers of Appointment", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107: 185-218. CR - Friedman, B. M., 1979, "Optimal Expectations and the Extreme Information Assumptions of Rational Expectations Macromodels", Journal of Monetary Economics, 5: 23-41. CR - Friedman, M., 1968, "The Role of Monetary Policy", The American Economic Review, 58(1): 1-17. CR - Gamber, E. N. ve D. R. Hakes, 1997, "The Federal Reserve's Response to Aggregate Demand and Supply Shocks: Evidence of a Partisan Political Cycle", Southern Economic Journal, 63: 680-691. CR - Hakes, D. R., 1988a, "Monetary Policy and Presidential Elections: A Nonpartisan Political Cycle", Public Choice, 57: 175-182. CR - Hakes, D. R. 1988b, "October 1979: Did the Federal Reserve Change Policy Objectives?", Journal of Economics and Business, 40: 159-167. CR - Hakes, D. R. ve E. N. Gamber, 1992, "Does the Federal Reserve Respond to Errant Money Growth? Evidence from Three Monetary Regimes", Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 24: 127-134. CR - Hamilton, J. 1989, "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and Business Cycle", Econometrica, 57(2): 357-384. CR - Havrilesky, T. M., R. Sapp ve R. Schweitzer, 1975, "Tests of the Federal Reserve's Reaction to the State of the Economy", Social Science Quarterly, 55:835-852. CR - Kim, C.J., 1993, "Sources of Monetary Growth, Uncertainty and Economic Activity: The Time-Varying-Parameter Model With Heteroskedastic Disturbances", The Review of Economics and Statistics, 75: 483-492. CR - Lucas, R.E., Jr., 1976, "Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique", K. Brunner ve A. Meltzer (der.) içinde, The Phillips Curve and Labor Markets, Carnegie- Rochester Series no.1: 19-46. CR - Potts, G.T. ve D. G. Luckett, 1978, " Policy Objectives of the Federal Reserve Systems", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 92: 525-534. CR - Sargent, T. ve N. Wallace, 1975, "Rational Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument and the Optimal Money Supply Rule", Journal of Political Economy, 83:241-254. CR - Shen, C. H., D. R. Hakes ve K. Brown, 1999, "Time-Varying Response of Monetary Policy to Macroeconomic Conditions", Southern Economic Journal, 65(3): 583-593. CR - Theil, H., 1961, Economic Forecasts and Policy, 2. baskı, Amsterdam: North-Holland CR - Tinbergen, J., 1952, On the Theory of Economic Policy, 2. baskı, Amsterdam: North- Holland UR - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/huniibf/issue//319319 L1 - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/311256 ER -