@article{article_402661, title={Influence Of Budget Deficit On Economic Growth: The Case Of The Republic Of Macedonia}, journal={Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi}, pages={116–126}, year={2017}, DOI={10.25095/mufad.402661}, author={Nikoloski, Aleksandar and Nedanovski, Pece}, keywords={Economic growth,budget deficit,cause relation,Republic of Macedonia}, abstract={<p>Having a balanced budget is very important for achieving long-term and stable economic growth in everyone country. </p> <p>Namely, the budget itself is a very powerful and useful tool and instrument for defining and realizing development policies in a </p> <p>country. The usefulness and the efficiency of this instrument largely depend on whether it is balanced or in deficit. Structural budget </p> <p>deficit cannot be analyzed if abstracted and separated because it influences large number of macroeconomic trends, but it is also </p> <p>under influence of numerous macroeconomic factors. And fiscal factors, as structure of public expenditure, structure of public </p> <p>revenue, government efficiency, level of tax avoidance and tax evasion, level of income and wealth inequality etc. </p> <p>The stands of economic theory differ when it comes to the influence the budget deficit has on the economic growth of a </p> <p>country. According to some theoreticians this link is positive; according to others it is inverse one whereas according to third party </p> <p>of them there is a neutral connection between the budget deficit and the economic growth. The classic macroeconomic paradigm </p> <p>perceived budget deficit as an enemy of the economy due to the line of negative effects it causes. However, in the course of time </p> <p>governments accepted budget deficit as an instrument that can boost public investments which further lead to stimulating long-term </p> <p>economic growth. Namely, when it comes to the stabilization policies of a country, the idea about budget deficit can be stressed out, </p> <p>and the budget deficit representing a reflection of either the increase in public expenditure or the decrease of the distortive taxes, all </p> <p>for the purpose of having the economy maintain its trend of a stable and long-term growth. </p> <p>The causal connection between the deficit and the economic growth can be perceived through the fact that positive </p> <p>economic growth generates additional public revenues. Therefore, the government is the one that should choose between cycle or </p> <p>counter-cycle fiscal policy. Negative economic growth causes contraction in the economy, and as a result of this it is certain that the </p> <p>expansive fiscal policy accompanied by large budget deficit is not appropriate in periods of economic growth. </p> <p>Countries should make a rational use of their unused resources if they want to overcome the issues related to budget </p> <p>deficit. Most often providing funds through indebting is not a good solution because it leads to increase in the public debt. </p> <p>Consequently, governments often decide to increase the rates of direct and indirect taxes or to introduce a new form of tax that is </p> <p>expected to increase the rates of public revenues and to reduce the budget deficit. The structure of fiscal policy should be </p> <p>appropriately formulated so as to enable the taxpayers to bear certain tax burden, and the tax incentives to alleviate the issue of tax </p> <p>evasion. The outcome of this all would be having higher tax income and lower budget deficit. </p> <p>Economic growth has reversible influence on budget deficit. In fact, the best way to decrease budget deficit is to promote </p> <p>economic growth. If economy is in progress, then it is real to expect increased tax revenues, without having the necessity to increase </p> <p>tax rates. Therefore, boosting economic growth is the least painful way to decrease budget deficit. Having all that in mind, </p> <p>governments should be careful when planning public revenues and expenditures i.e. when planning the budget deficit level, all for </p> <p>the purpose of creating preconditions for reaching the aimed level of economic growth. </p> <p>It is this paper’s aim to analyze the influence of budget deficit on the economic growth in the case of the Republic of </p> <p>Macedonia. In the context of the appropriate econometric model, budget deficit is represented as a main independent variable, and </p> <p>the gross domestic product as a dependent variable. Meanwhile, there shall be inspected what is the possible influence and how </p> <p>significant it is and whether it is possible to be delivered in short or long term perspective. While testing the model, two basic tests </p> <p>are used i.e. Breusch-Godfrey test for serial correlation and Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test for heteroskedasticity. By making use of </p> <p>the presented model there should be clarified what is the connection between public finance and economic growth in the Republ ic of </p> <p>Macedonia as a potential EU member country. A significant prerequisite for doing so is having a detailed examination of whether </p> <p>public finance provide basis that further contributes for short-term influence on economic performances thus boosting economic </p> <p>growth. </p> <p>Larger number of empirical research point out that the level of budget deficit of over 3% of the gross domestic product </p> <p>leads to deceleration of econo}, number={Temmuz 2017 (Özel Sayı)}, publisher={Muhasebe ve Finansman Öğretim Üyeleri Bilim ve Araştırma Derneği}