TY  - JOUR
T1  - ANGSTRÖM-PRESCOTT MODELİNİN POLİNOM İLE GELİŞTİRİLMESİ VE DİYARBAKIR GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI VERİLERİNE UYGULANMASI
TT  - Hybrid Model for Solar Irradiation Estimation Using Polynomial and Angström-Prescott Equation
AU  - Güçlü, Yavuz Selim
PY  - 2019
DA  - March
DO  - 10.15317/Scitech.2019.183
JF  - Selçuk Üniversitesi Mühendislik, Bilim Ve Teknoloji Dergisi
JO  - sujest
PB  - Konya Teknik Üniversitesi
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2147-9364
SP  - 75
EP  - 88
VL  - 7
IS  - 1
LA  - tr
AB  - Dünyanınen önemli enerji kaynağı güneş enerjisi, çeşitli alanlarda farklı konularaltında araştırılmaktadır. Özellikle, fosil yakıt kaynaklarının azalmasındanberi güneş enerjisinin değeri ve önemi daha da artmıştır. Güneş enerjisi ileilgili ilk araştırmalar 20. yüzyılın ilk çeyreğinde başlamış ve bu türçalışmaların ilki güneş ışınımının güneşlenme süresine karşı tahmin edildiğiçalışmadır. Bu makalenin hedefi, güneş ışınımının tahmini konusunda yeni biryöntem niteliğindeki polinom çözümleme (analiz) yolunu sunmak ve uygulamaktır.Bununla birlikte, polinom çözümlemesi güneş ışınımını tahmin etmekte yetersizkalacağından, Polinom ile doğrusal (lineer) bir model özelliğine sahipAngström-Prescott yaklaşımı önerilmiştir. PoLin (POlinom-LINeer) modelinintemel ilkesi, salınımı (periyodiklik) veriden ayırmak ve daha sonra Angström-Prescottmodelini arınmış veriye uygulamaktır. Türkiye'nin Güneydoğu Anadolu bölgesişehirlerinden Diyarbakır kapsamında sunulan yaklaşımın sonuçları ANFIS, HarLinve Angström-Prescott modelleri ile karşılaştırılarak gerekli tavsiyelersunulmuştur. PoLin modelinin çıktıları meşhur (klasik) Angström Prescott,HarLin ve ANFIS modellerinden daha başarılı bulunmuştur.
KW  - ANFIS
KW  - Angström-Prescott; Güneş ışınımı; Güneşlenme süresi; HarLin; Polinom
N2  - Theworld’s most important energy source, solar energy, is being investigated in avariety of areas under different fields. Especially since the decline of fossilfuel resources, the importance of the solar energy has increased even more.Initial researches on solar energy started in the first quarter of the 20thcentury and solar irradiation was estimated versus sunshine duration. Thisstudy suggests similar procedure to harmonic analysis application to solarirradiation and sunshine duration data. Basis of the methodology is combinedapplication of the POlynomial and classical LINear regression analysis.Therefore, it is referred to PoLin model as a hybrid model. It isolates firstthe periodicity from the daily values, and then linear regression analysis isapplied first to order stationary data. PoLin results are compared with theclassical Angström-Prescott,HarLin, and ANFIS models. In the application, solar irradiation site isconsidered from solar energy potential location in Turkey, namely, at Diyarbakır.Estimations by PoLin model appears more successful than ANFIS, HarLin and Angström-Prescott approaches.
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UR  - https://doi.org/10.15317/Scitech.2019.183
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/664809
ER  -