TY  - JOUR
T1  - The Impact of Syrian Migration on Unemployment: Evidence from Turkey
TT  - The Impact of Syrian Migration on Unemployment: Evidence from Turkey
AU  - Serttaş, Fatma Özgü
AU  - Uluöz, Davut
PY  - 2021
DA  - June
DO  - 10.31679/adamakademi.796016
JF  - Adam Academy Journal of Social Sciences
JO  - ADAM AKADEMİ
PB  - Ankara Düşünce ve Araştırma Merkezi
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2146-4936
SP  - 1
EP  - 30
VL  - 11
IS  - 1
LA  - en
AB  - This study examines the labor market effects of the influx of the Syrian refugees in Turkey. Engle-Granger and Johansen co-integration tests, followed by the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) bounds tests reveal that the Turkish unemployment and Syrian refugee series are co-integrated; pointing out to a long-run relationship. Short-run and long-run dynamics have been analyzed from the fitted ARDL model and the error-correction parameter is used to examine the speed of convergence. Dynamic OLS (DOLS), fully modified least squares (FM-OLS) and canonical co-integrating regression (CCR) estimations are used to make inference on the long-run parameters. Empirical results show that there is a significant and negative relation between the level of unemployment in Turkey and the number of Syrian refugees in the long-run, indicating that the influx of Syrian refugees have had a reducing effect on unemployment numbers in Turkey. Our results suggest that the Syrian refugees have acted as a complementary labor force to the existing Turkish labor force.
KW  - Forced refugees
KW  - Syrian refugees
KW  - Migration
KW  - Unemployment
KW  - Turkey
KW  - ARDL
KW  - DOLS
KW  - FMOLS
KW  - CCR
N2  - This study examines the labor market effects of the influx of the Syrian refugees in Turkey. Engle-Granger and Johansen co-integration tests, followed by the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) bounds tests reveal that the Turkish unemployment and Syrian refugee series are co-integrated; pointing out to a long-run relationship. Short-run and long-run dynamics have been analyzed from the fitted ARDL model and the error-correction parameter is used to examine the speed of convergence. Dynamic OLS (DOLS), fully modified least squares (FM-OLS) and canonical co-integrating regression (CCR) estimations are used to make inference on the long-run parameters. Empirical results show that there is a significant and negative relation between the level of unemployment in Turkey and the number of Syrian refugees in the long-run, indicating that the influx of Syrian refugees have had a reducing effect on unemployment numbers in Turkey. Our results suggest that the Syrian refugees have acted as a complementary labor force to the existing Turkish labor force.
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UR  - https://doi.org/10.31679/adamakademi.796016
L1  - https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1294503
ER  -