TY  - JOUR
T1  - A STUDY ON COVID-19 DATA WITH LOG-LINEAR MODEL APPROACH
AU  - Altun, Gokcen
PY  - 2021
DA  - June
DO  - 10.22531/muglajsci.835562
JF  - Mugla Journal of Science and Technology
JO  - MJST
PB  - Muğla Sıtkı Koçman Üniversitesi
WT  - DergiPark
SN  - 2149-3596
SP  - 52
EP  - 58
VL  - 7
IS  - 1
LA  - en
AB  - The researchers have done several studies to explore the important variables on the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) disease. However, there is no direct research to examine the interaction between the variables affecting the COVID-19 disease.  In this study, the log-linear models are used to explore the significant interactions between the country, gender and age variables. Empirical findings of the presented study show that the main effects are found statistically significant for country, gender and age variables. The two-way interactions between the gender and country and between the interaction of the country and age are found statistically significant. The risk of the China for catching the COVID-19 disease is 1.7 times higher than the risk of the South Korea for catching the COVID-19 disease. The risk of male individuals is 1.2 times higher than the risk of female individuals for catching the COVID-19 disease. Additionally, the individuals having the 41-60 age group has higher risk than the individuals having 70 and above age group. We believe that the empirical results of the presented study will be helpful to the policymakers for decreasing the spread of the COVID-19 disease.
KW  - Categorical data analysis
KW  - Log-linear models
KW  - COVID-19
KW  - Outbreak
CR  - Li, W., Shi, Z., Yu, M., Ren, W., Smith, C., Epstein, J. H., & Zhang, J., “Bats are natural reservoirs of SARS-like coronaviruse”,  Science, 310(5748), 676-679, 2005.
CR  - Ge, X. Y., Li, J. L., Yang, X. L., Chmura, A. A., Zhu, G., Epstein, J. H., ... & Zhang, Y. J., “Isolation and characterization of a bat SARS-like coronavirus that uses the ACE2 receptor”, Nature, 503(7477), 535-538, 2013.
CR  - Yang, L., Wu, Z., Ren, X., Yang, F., He, G., Zhang, J.& Zhang, S., “Novel SARS-like betacoronaviruses in bats, China, 2011”, Emerging infectious diseases, 19(6), 989,2013.
CR  - Hu, B., Zeng, L. P., Yang, X. L., Ge, X. Y., Zhang, W., Li, B., ... & Luo, D. S., “Discovery of a rich gene pool of bat SARS-related coronaviruses provides new insights into the origin of SARS coronavirus”, PLoS pathogens, 13(11), e1006698, 2017.
CR  - Drosten, C., Günther, S., Preiser, W., Van Der Werf, S., Brodt, H. R., Becker, S., ... & Berger, A., “Identification of a novel coronavirus in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome”  New England journal of medicine, 348(20), 1967-1976, 2003
CR  - Zaki, A. M., Van Boheemen, S., Bestebroer, T. M., Osterhaus, A. D., & Fouchier, R. A., “Isolation of a novel coronavirus from a man with pneumonia in Saudi Arabia”, New England Journal of Medicine, 367(19), 1814-1820, 2012
CR  - Fan, Y., Zhao, K., Shi, Z. L., & Zhou, P., “Bat coronaviruses in China”, Viruses, 11(3), 210, 2019
CR  - Zhou, P., Yang, X. L., Wang, X. G., Hu, B., Zhang, L., Zhang, W., ... & Chen, H. D., “A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin”, Nature, 579(7798), 270-273,2020
CR  - Ai, T., Yang, Z., Hou, H., Zhan, C., Chen, C., Lv, W., ... & Xia, L.,”Correlation of chest CT and RT-PCR testing in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China: a report of 1014 cases”,  Radiology, 200642, 2020.
CR  - Li, Z., Ge, J., Yang, M., Feng, J., Qiao, M., Jiang, R., ... & Zhou, Q., “Vicarious traumatization in the general public, members, and non-members of medical teams aiding in COVID-19 control”,  Brain, behavior, and immunity. 2020
CR  - Zhao, W., Zhong, Z., Xie, X., Yu, Q., & Liu, J., “Relation between chest CT findings and clinical conditions of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pneumonia: a multicenter study”, American Journal of Roentgenology, 214(5), 1072-1077,2020.
CR  - Linton, N. M., Kobayashi, T., Yang, Y., Hayashi, K., Akhmetzhanov, A. R., Jung, S. M., ... & Nishiura, H., “Incubation period and other epidemiological characteristics of 2019 novel coronavirus infections with right truncation: a statistical analysis of publicly available case data”, Journal of clinical medicine, 9(2), 538,2020
CR  - Li, L. Q., Huang, T., Wang, Y. Q., Wang, Z. P., Liang, Y., Huang, T. B., ... & Wang, Y., “COVID‐19 patients' clinical characteristics, discharge rate, and fatality rate of meta‐analysis”,  Journal of medical virology, 92(6), 577-583,2020
CR  - Lippi, G., & Henry, B. M., “Active smoking is not associated with severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19”, European journal of internal medicine, 2020
CR  - Liu, D., Li, L., Wu, X., Zheng, D., Wang, J., Yang, L., & Zheng, C., “Pregnancy and perinatal outcomes of women with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pneumonia: a preliminary analysis”, American journal of roentgenology, 1-6,2020
CR  - Likassa, H. T., “Predictive Models on COVID 19: What Africans Should Do?”, Infectious Disease Modelling, 2020
CR  - Munayco, C., Chowell, G., Tariq, A., Undurraga, E. A., & Mizumoto, K., “Risk of death by age and gender from CoVID-19 in Peru, March-May, 2020”,  Aging (Albany NY), 12(14), 13869-13881,2020
CR  - Pieh, C., Budimir, S., & Probst, T., “The effect of age, gender, income, work, and physical activity on mental health during coronavirus disease (COVID-19) lockdown in Austria”, Journal of psychosomatic research, 136, 110186,2020
CR  - Lawal, HB., Categorical Data Analysis with SAS and SPSS Application. Lawrence ERlbawn Association Publisher, London, 2003
CR  - Agresti, A., Categorical data analysis . John Wiley & Sons, New Jersey, 2003
UR  - https://doi.org/10.22531/muglajsci.835562
L1  - http://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1429904
ER  -