19maysbd 19 Mayıs Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 2717-736X Furkan ÇELEBİ 10.52835/19maysbd.1553562 Finance Finans Jeopolitik Risk ve Turizm: Asya Pasifik Ülkeleri https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3157-4635 Gültekin Havva TRAKYA ÜNİVERSİTESİ 12 31 2024 5 4 215 222 09 20 2024 12 30 2024 Copyright © 2019, 19 Mayıs Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 2019 19 Mayıs Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi

Bu çalışmada, jeopolitik riskin, turizm talebi üzerindeki etkisinin belirlenmesi amaçlanmaktadır. Bu amaç kapsamında, 1995-2020 dönemi ele alınarak Çin, Hong-Kong, Hindistan, Endonezya, Tayland, Malezya, Japonya ve Güney Kore olmak üzere verisine eksiksiz olarak ulaşılabilen sekiz Asya-Pasifik ülkesi değerlendirilmiştir. Çalışmada jeopolitik riskin göstergesi olarak jeopolitik risk endeksi, turizm talebinin göstergesi olarak ise ülkeye gelen turist sayısı, ayrıca turizm sayısı ile ilişkili olabileceğinden tüketici fiyat endeksi değişkenleri ele alınmış ve söz konusu değişkenler arasında kısa ve uzun dönemdeki ilişkinin varlığı panel eş bütünleşme ve panel nedensellik testleri yardımıyla incelenmiştir. Gerçekleştirilen testler sonucunda elde edilen bulgular, incelenen dönemde jeopolitik risk endeksi ve turizm talebi arasında bir ilişkinin bulunmadığını göstermektedir. Kısa dönem nedensellik testinden elde edilen sonuçlar doğrultusunda yalnızca Hong-Kong ve Endonezya’da jeopolitik risk endeksinden turist sayısına doğru nedensellik bulunduğu, diğer ülkelerde herhangi bir nedensellik ilişkisinin bulunmadığı görülmüştür. Bunun yanı sıra, Çin, Hong-Kong ve Endonezya ülkelerinde tüketici fiyat endeksi değişkeninden turist sayısına doğru tek yönlü nedensellik bulunduğu belirlenmiştir.

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