Investigating Motorcycle Accidents in the Presence of Carriageway Hazards

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 98 - 108, 26.12.2023

Kadir Berkhan Akalın

https://doi.org/10.52114/apjhad.1405185

Öz

The notable flexibility and relatively lower purchase and operational expenses of motorcycles, particularly when compared to automobiles, contribute significantly to their shares in traffic. However, the capacity to attain high speeds in the absence of a protective vehicle body raises safety concerns, necessitating an examination of the factors influencing motorcycle accidents. Understanding these factors is crucial for implementing precautions to mitigate the severity and frequency of accidents. In this study, we explore the relationships among carriageway hazards, weather and lighting conditions, seeking to understand their influence on the frequency of motorcycle accidents. The analysis is based on a dataset encompassing motorcycle accidents in Great Britain over the past five years. The study found that motorcycle accidents are more likely during daytime and fine weather conditions when a carriageway hazard is present, especially with objects on the road. The conclusion underscores the importance of clean and divided roads, monitoring parked vehicles, and adopting technology for hazard notification.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Carriageway hazards, motorcycle accidents,, Accident frequency, Log-linear analysis

Kaynakça

• V. Shankar and F. Mannering. “An exploratory multinomial logit analysis of single-vehicle motorcycle accident severity”. Journal of safety research, 1996, 27(3):183-194.
• M.A. Quddus, R.B. Noland and H.C. Chin. “An analysis of motorcycle injury and vehicle damage severity using ordered probit models”. Journal of Safety research, 2002, 33(4):445-462.
• S.M. Rifaat, R. Tay and A. De Barros. “Severity of motorcycle crashes in Calgary”. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2012, 49:44-49.
• M.S. Shaheed and K. Gkritza. “A latent class analysis of single-vehicle motorcycle crash severity outcomes”. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 2014, 2:30-38.
• T. Champahom, P. Wisutwattanasak, K. Chanpariyavatevong, N. Laddawan, S. Jomnonkwao and V. Ratanavaraha. “Factors affecting severity of motorcycle accidents on Thailand's arterial roads: multiple correspondence analysis and ordered logistics regression approaches”. IATSS research, 2022, 46(1), 101-111.
• H.K. Saini, S.S. Chouhan and A. Kathuria. “Exclusive motorcycle lanes: A systematic review”. IATSS research, 2022, 46(3), 411-426.
• I. Mohamad, S. Jomnonkwao and V. Ratanavaraha. “Using a decision tree to compare rural versus highway motorcycle fatalities in Thailand”. Case studies on transport policy, 2022, 10(4), 2165-2174.
• K. Santos, B. Firme, J.P. Dias and C. Amado. “Analysis of Motorcycle Accident Injury Severity and Performance Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms”. Transportation Research Record, 2023.
• N.H. Mokhtar, L. Hamzah, H.C. Mamat, M.Z.M. Nasir and M.F. Mamat. “Decreasing the rate of motorcycle accidents in Malaysia: Analytical hierarchy process approach”. In AIP Conference Proceedings, AIP Publishing, 2023.
• K.B. Akalın, M. Karacasu, A. Altın Yavuz and B. Ergül. “Curve Estimation of Number of People Killed in Traffic Accidents in Turkey”. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science (Vol. 44, No. 5, p. 052060). IOP Publishing, 2016.
• M. Kateri. “Contingency Table Analysis Methods and Implementation Using R”. Springer New York, 2014.
• B. Lawal and H.B. Lawal. “Categorical data analysis with SAS and SPSS applications”. Psychology Press, 2003.
• R. Christensen. “Log-Linear Models and Logistic Regression”. New York: Springer Verlag, 1977.
• D.C. Howell. “Statistical methods for psychology”. Cengage Learning, 2012.
• S.K. Lee. “On The Asymptotic Variances of U Terms in Loglinear Models of Multidimensional Contingency Tables”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1977, 72(358), 412-419.
• K.B. Akalın, M. Karacasu, B. Ergül and A. Altın Yavuz. “Examination of Traffic Accidents in Antalya by Log-Linear Analysis”. In 3rd International Conference on Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2018.
• K.B. Akalın, M. Karacasu, A. Altın Yavuz and B. Ergül. “Curve Estimation of Number of People Killed in Traffic Accidents in Turkey”. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science (Vol. 44, No. 5, p. 052060). IOP Publishing, 2016.
• R. Christensen. “Logistic Regression, Logit Models, and Logistic Discrimination”. Log-Linear Models and Logistic Regression, 1997, 116-177.
• A. Agresti. “An introduction to categorical data analysis”. Wiley. Ch. 6, 1996.
• J. Faraway. “Extending the linear model with R”. Chapman & Hall. Ch. 4, 2006.
• W.N. Venables and B.D. Ripley. “Modern applied statistics with S (4th ed.)”. Springer. Ch. 7, 2002.
• U.K. Department for Transport. Road Safety Datasets. https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/road-accidents-and-safety-statistics#road-safety-data. Last accessed: 01.12.2023.
• K.D. Hopkins, B.R. Hopkins and G.V. Glass. “Basic statistics for the behavioral sciences (3rd ed.)”. Boston: Allyn and Bacon, 1996.
• G.V. Glass and K.D. Hopkins. “Statistical methods in education and psychology (3rd ed.)”. Boston: Allyn and Bacon, 1996.
• S.S. Mangiafico. “rcompanion: Functions to Support Extension Education Program Evaluation”. Rutgers Cooperative Extension, New Brunswick, New Jersey. version 2.4.34, 2023.