Abstract
References
- Bryant EA. Natural Hazards. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1993.
- Chen ST, Kuo CC, Yu PS. Historical trends and variability of meteorological droughts in Taiwan. Hydrolog Sci J 2009; 54: 430-441.
- Blain GC. Monthly values of the standardized precipitation index in the State of São Paulo, Brazil: trends and spectral features under the normality assumption. Agrometeorology 2012; 71: 122-131.
- Ganguli P, Reddy MJ. Evaluation of trends and multivariate frequency analysis of droughts in three meteorological subdivisions of western India. Int J Climatol 2014; 34: 911–928.
- Zhang Y, Cai W, Chen Q, Yao Y, Liu K. Analysis of Changes in Precipitation and Drought in Aksu River Basin, Northwest China. Advances in Meteorology 2015; 2015: 1-15.
- Achugbu IF, Anugwo SC. Drought trend analysis in Kano using Standardized Precipitation Index. Journal of Engineering and Technology 2016; 1: 105-110.
- Ionita M, Scholz P, Chelcea S. Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index. Nat Hazards 2016; 81: 1483–1498.
- Osuch M, Romanowicz RJ, Lawrence D, Wong WK. Trends in projections of standardized precipitation indices in a future climate in Poland. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2016; 20: 1947–1969.
- Zarei AR, Eslamian S. Trend assessment of precipitation and drought index (SPI) using parametric and nonparametric trend analysis methods (case study: arid regions of southern Iran). International Journal of Hydrology Science and Technology 2017; 7: 12-38.
- Sen B, Topçu S, Türkeş M, Sen B, Warner JF. Projecting climate change, drought conditions and
- McKee TB, Doeskenb NJ, Kleist J. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: 8th Conference on Applied Climatology; 17-22 January 1993; Anaheim, California, USA: pp. 179-184.
- Sneyers, R., (1990). On the statistical analysis of series of observations. WMO, No:415, Geneva.
Abstract
Investigation of trends for meteorological
droughts is important in water resources management. Nigde province is located
in Konya Closed Basin and it is one of the most drought provinces receive low
rainfall in Turkey. This study has two stages. In the first stage, Standardized
Precipitation Index (SPI) values of Nigde province were calculated for 1, 3, 6,
9, 12, 24 and 36 month time scales to identify meteorological droughts. In the
second stage, trends for meteorological droughts in Nigde province were
investigated by using Mann Kendall Rank Correlation (MKRC) test at the 95%
confidence interval. Monthly total precipitation values of Nigde meteorological
station between 1950 and 2015 were used for application. According to SPI
values, 110 drought periods lasted for six months and more were determined for
Nigde province for different time scales. The trend analysis results showed
that there were statistically significant increasing trends at the 95%
confidence interval for all time scales except 1 month time scale. This means that SPI values have shown a
tendency towards wetness in Nigde province.
Keywords
Drought analysis Trend analysis Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) Mann Kendall Rank Correlation (MKRC) Test
References
- Bryant EA. Natural Hazards. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1993.
- Chen ST, Kuo CC, Yu PS. Historical trends and variability of meteorological droughts in Taiwan. Hydrolog Sci J 2009; 54: 430-441.
- Blain GC. Monthly values of the standardized precipitation index in the State of São Paulo, Brazil: trends and spectral features under the normality assumption. Agrometeorology 2012; 71: 122-131.
- Ganguli P, Reddy MJ. Evaluation of trends and multivariate frequency analysis of droughts in three meteorological subdivisions of western India. Int J Climatol 2014; 34: 911–928.
- Zhang Y, Cai W, Chen Q, Yao Y, Liu K. Analysis of Changes in Precipitation and Drought in Aksu River Basin, Northwest China. Advances in Meteorology 2015; 2015: 1-15.
- Achugbu IF, Anugwo SC. Drought trend analysis in Kano using Standardized Precipitation Index. Journal of Engineering and Technology 2016; 1: 105-110.
- Ionita M, Scholz P, Chelcea S. Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index. Nat Hazards 2016; 81: 1483–1498.
- Osuch M, Romanowicz RJ, Lawrence D, Wong WK. Trends in projections of standardized precipitation indices in a future climate in Poland. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2016; 20: 1947–1969.
- Zarei AR, Eslamian S. Trend assessment of precipitation and drought index (SPI) using parametric and nonparametric trend analysis methods (case study: arid regions of southern Iran). International Journal of Hydrology Science and Technology 2017; 7: 12-38.
- Sen B, Topçu S, Türkeş M, Sen B, Warner JF. Projecting climate change, drought conditions and
- McKee TB, Doeskenb NJ, Kleist J. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: 8th Conference on Applied Climatology; 17-22 January 1993; Anaheim, California, USA: pp. 179-184.
- Sneyers, R., (1990). On the statistical analysis of series of observations. WMO, No:415, Geneva.
Details
| Subjects | Engineering |
|---|---|
| Journal Section | Articles |
| Authors | |
| Publication Date | December 31, 2017 |
| Published in Issue | Year 2017 Volume: 18 Issue: 5 |
