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<article  article-type="research-article"        dtd-version="1.4">
            <front>

                <journal-meta>
                                    <journal-id></journal-id>
            <journal-title-group>
                                                                                    <journal-title>Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
                            <issn pub-type="ppub">2757-9255</issn>
                                                                                                        <publisher>
                    <publisher-name>Çukurova Üniversitesi</publisher-name>
                </publisher>
                    </journal-meta>
                <article-meta>
                                        <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21605/cukurovaumfd.1560142</article-id>
                                                                <article-categories>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="en">
                                                            <subject>Modelling and Simulation</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                            <subj-group  xml:lang="tr">
                                                            <subject>Modelleme ve Simülasyon</subject>
                                                    </subj-group>
                                    </article-categories>
                                                                                                                                                        <title-group>
                                                                                                                        <trans-title-group xml:lang="tr">
                                    <trans-title>Türkiye için Derin Öğrenme Yaklaşımı ile Zaman Serisi Kurulu Kapasite Tahmini</trans-title>
                                </trans-title-group>
                                                                                                                                                                                                <article-title>Time Series Installed Capacity Forecasting with Deep Learning Approach for Türkiye</article-title>
                                                                                                    </title-group>
            
                                                    <contrib-group content-type="authors">
                                                                        <contrib contrib-type="author">
                                                                    <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">
                                        https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5887-0898</contrib-id>
                                                                <name>
                                    <surname>Altıparmak</surname>
                                    <given-names>Zeynep</given-names>
                                </name>
                                                                    <aff>ADANA ALPARSLAN TURKES SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF ENGINEERING</aff>
                                                            </contrib>
                                                    <contrib contrib-type="author">
                                                                    <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">
                                        https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0963-2982</contrib-id>
                                                                <name>
                                    <surname>Aksu</surname>
                                    <given-names>İnayet Özge</given-names>
                                </name>
                                                                    <aff>ADANA ALPARSLAN TURKES SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF ENGINEERING</aff>
                                                            </contrib>
                                                                                </contrib-group>
                        
                                        <pub-date pub-type="pub" iso-8601-date="20241003">
                    <day>10</day>
                    <month>03</month>
                    <year>2024</year>
                </pub-date>
                                        <volume>39</volume>
                                        <issue>3</issue>
                                        <fpage>709</fpage>
                                        <lpage>718</lpage>
                        
                        <history>
                                    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="20240725">
                        <day>07</day>
                        <month>25</month>
                        <year>2024</year>
                    </date>
                                                    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="20240927">
                        <day>09</day>
                        <month>27</month>
                        <year>2024</year>
                    </date>
                            </history>
                                        <permissions>
                    <copyright-statement>Copyright © 2009, Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi</copyright-statement>
                    <copyright-year>2009</copyright-year>
                    <copyright-holder>Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Dergisi</copyright-holder>
                </permissions>
            
                                                                                                <trans-abstract xml:lang="tr">
                            <p>Gerçek dünya problemlerinin karmaşık yapısı nedeniyle farklı problemleri çözmek için derin öğrenme yöntemleri geliştirilmiştir. Ülkelere ait kurulu gücün doğru şekilde ileri tahmini de ülkenin iyi bir enerji sürdürülebilirliği stratejisi geliştirilmesi için büyük önem taşımaktadır. Bu makalede, kurulu gücün ileri tahmini için üç farklı zaman serisi tahmin yöntemi kullanılmıştır: Kapılı Tekrarlayan Birim (GRU), Evrişimli Sinir Ağı (CNN) ve Uzun Kısa Süreli Bellek (LSTM). Çalışmada 1923-2021 yıllarına ait kurulu güç değerleri kullanılmıştır. Daha sonra 2030 yılına kadar gelecek tahminleri yapılmıştır. GRU modeli, test aşamasında LSTM ve CNN modellerine göre, en iyi RMSE&#039;yi elde ederek en doğru model olarak ortaya çıkmıştır. CNN eğitim sırasında başarılı olmasına rağmen, test sırasında GRU&#039;ya kıyasla daha yüksek RMSE sergilemiştir.  Tüm modeller 2030 yılına kadar elektrik kapasitesinde potansiyel bir artış öngörürken GRU ve LSTM, CNN&#039;e kıyasla bu noktaya kadar daha belirgin bir artış öngörmüştür.</p></trans-abstract>
                                                                                                                                    <abstract><p>Deep learning methods have been developed to solve different problems due to the complex nature of real-world problems. Accurate future forecasting of a country&#039;s installed capacity is also crucial for developing a good energy sustainability strategy for the country. In this paper, three different time series forecasting methods are used for forward forecasting of installed capacity: Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Installed power values for the years 1923-2021 were used in the study. Then, future forecasts are made until 2030. The GRU model achieved the best RMSE in the testing phase compared to the LSTM and CNN models. Although CNN is successful during training, it has a higher RMSE during testing compared to GRU.  While all models predict a potential increase in electricity capacity by 2030, GRU and LSTM predict a more significant increase up to this point compared to CNN.</p></abstract>
                                                            
            
                                                                                        <kwd-group>
                                                    <kwd>Deep learning</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Future prediction</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Installed capacity</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Time series</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                            
                                                <kwd-group xml:lang="tr">
                                                    <kwd>Derin öğrenme</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  İleri tahmin</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Kurulu güç</kwd>
                                                    <kwd>  Zaman serileri</kwd>
                                            </kwd-group>
                                                                                                                                        </article-meta>
    </front>
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