Estimating Number of Fertilizable Women an Effect on Increase in Isfahan Population (Based On Anticipate Till 2060)

Yıl 2015, Cilt: 36 Sayı: 3, 3021 - 3023, 13.05.2015

Reza Kiani , Nadia Shakerı

Öz

Abstract. Isfahan as province which follows population pattern of the country (Iran) is progress to the elderliness. One of the most important factors of fertility is women’s ability and age. To achieve the best welfare in society, scientific and statistical anticipates are needed which are emphasize by women’s health area. Purpose of this study is estimating number fertilizable women till 2060 based on each year. Participants of this study are population of Isfahan (Iran). Data analysis is based on demographic software techniques. As it’s investigated age of fertility is 15 to 49. Although this percentage in the first year of study (2011) is more than 60% but after that, in next years, decrease and finally in 2060 it’s quite a bit more than 41%. In other word, percentage of fertilizable women decreased 19% in 2060 into 2011.Findings of this study indicate that number of fertilizable women till 2015 to 2060 will be changed.On the other word, numbers of fertilizable women in 2060 are more than current year. This means extremely decrease of fertility! So, it’s completely impossible, even if the country politics is based on fertility.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Fertility, Population Anticipate, Mother’s Health, Women’s Elderliness, Health of Society, Isfahan, Iran

Kaynakça

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