Review

A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions

Volume: 12 Number: 1 June 11, 2026
Ahmad Said , Obada Al-khatib *, Abeer Elkhouly , Zina Abohaia , Mai El Barachi

A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions

Abstract

Wildfires pose escalating environmental, social, and economic challenges worldwide, intensified by climate change, prolonged droughts, and expanding human activity. This study reviews the evolution of wildfire management from traditional detection, control, and prevention methods to advanced, data-driven approaches. It highlights the limitations of historical practices, such as reliance on ground-based monitoring, satellite imaging, and fire weather indices, and explores current global and regional strategies, including the integration of remote sensing, advanced analytics, and predictive modelling. Special attention is given to the role of machine learning (ML), particularly ensemble methods such as Random Forest (RF) and XGBoost, which have demonstrated superior predictive performance by capturing complex, non-linear relationships in wildfire data. The study synthesizes key data sources, including meteorological, vegetation, land-type, and satellite datasets, and outlines methods for their integration to improve predictive accuracy. Despite significant progress, persistent challenges remain in data fusion, spatial-temporal modelling, model generalizability, and interpretability. Future research emphasizes multi-source data integration, advanced feature engineering, spatio-temporal analysis, and enhanced model explainability using SHAP and LIME to ensure transparent and actionable predictions. Ultimately, this review underscores the potential of ML-driven systems to transform wildfire prediction into a proactive and sustainable component of modern disaster management.

Keywords

Linear Regression, Machine Learning, Random Forest, Wildfire, XGBoost, Australia

Supporting Institution

The authors declared that this study has received no financial support.

Ethical Statement

N/A.

References

  1. Abohaia, Z., Elkhouly, A., El Barachi, M., Al-Khatib, O., 2025. Regional prediction of fire characteristics using machine learning in Australia. Fire 8(8), 330. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8080330
  2. Agrawal, N., Nelson, P. V., Low, R. D., 2023. A Novel approach for predicting large wildfires using machine learning towards environmental justice via environmental remote sensing and atmospheric reanalysis data across the United States. Remote Sensing 15(23), 5501. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15235501.
  3. Balcombe, L. J., 2007. Bushfires at the urban-rural interface. In: King, David, and Cottrell, Alison, (eds.) Communities living with hazards. Centre for Disaster Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, Australia, pp. 193-214. https://researchonline.jcu.edu.au/19786/
  4. Behr, M., Wang, Y., Li, X., Yu, B., 2022. Provable boolean interaction recovery from tree ensemble obtained via random forests. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119(22), e2118636119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2118636119
  5. Bian, R., Chen, K., Li, G., Wang, Z., Qiu, Y., Bai, H., Kong, W., 2024. Evaluation of three algorithms and forest fire risk prediction in Zhejiang Province of China. Forests 15(12), 2146. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15122146
  6. Bishop, C.M., 2006. Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer, New York.
  7. Boer, M.M., Resco de Dios, V., Bradstock, R.A., 2020. Unprecedented burn area of Australian mega forest fires. Nature Climate Change 10(3), 171–172. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0716-1
  8. Bowman, D.M.J.S., Williamson, G.J., Prior, L.D., Murphy, B.P., 2016. The relative importance of intrinsic and extrinsic factors in the decline of obligate seeder forests. Global Ecology and Biogeography 25(10), 1166-1172. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12484
  9. Canadell, J., Meyer, M., Cook, G., Dowdy, A., Briggs, P., Knauer, J., Pepler, A., Haverd, V., 2021. Multi-decadal increase of forest burned area in Australia is linked to climate change. Nature Communications 12(1), 6921. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27225-4
  10. Choi, S., Son, M., Kim, C., Kim, B., 2024. A forest fire prediction model based on meteorological factors and the multi-model ensemble method. Forests 15(11), 1981. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15111981
APA
Said, A., Al-khatib, O., Elkhouly, A., Abohaia, Z., & El Barachi, M. (2026). A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions. European Journal of Forest Engineering, 12(1), 90-105. https://doi.org/10.33904/ejfe.1606577
AMA
1.Said A, Al-khatib O, Elkhouly A, Abohaia Z, El Barachi M. A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions. Eur J Forest Eng. 2026;12(1):90-105. doi:10.33904/ejfe.1606577
Chicago
Said, Ahmad, Obada Al-khatib, Abeer Elkhouly, Zina Abohaia, and Mai El Barachi. 2026. “A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions”. European Journal of Forest Engineering 12 (1): 90-105. https://doi.org/10.33904/ejfe.1606577.
EndNote
Said A, Al-khatib O, Elkhouly A, Abohaia Z, El Barachi M (June 1, 2026) A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions. European Journal of Forest Engineering 12 1 90–105.
IEEE
[1]A. Said, O. Al-khatib, A. Elkhouly, Z. Abohaia, and M. El Barachi, “A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions”, Eur J Forest Eng, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 90–105, June 2026, doi: 10.33904/ejfe.1606577.
ISNAD
Said, Ahmad - Al-khatib, Obada - Elkhouly, Abeer - Abohaia, Zina - El Barachi, Mai. “A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions”. European Journal of Forest Engineering 12/1 (June 1, 2026): 90-105. https://doi.org/10.33904/ejfe.1606577.
JAMA
1.Said A, Al-khatib O, Elkhouly A, Abohaia Z, El Barachi M. A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions. Eur J Forest Eng. 2026;12:90–105.
MLA
Said, Ahmad, et al. “A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions”. European Journal of Forest Engineering, vol. 12, no. 1, June 2026, pp. 90-105, doi:10.33904/ejfe.1606577.
Vancouver
1.Ahmad Said, Obada Al-khatib, Abeer Elkhouly, Zina Abohaia, Mai El Barachi. A Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Wildfire Prediction and Management in Australia: Challenges, Data Integration and Future Directions. Eur J Forest Eng. 2026 Jun. 1;12(1):90-105. doi:10.33904/ejfe.1606577