Yıl 2020, Cilt 04 , Sayı 1, Sayfalar 10 - 15 2020-08-31

The effects of temperature change on different sectors have been one of the most essential problems in the last decades. Agricultural sector is definitely the most fragile sector of all, not only production of food causes temperature change but also temperature change led to the instability of production and prices. The objective of this study was to analyse the relationship between temperature change and production or price indices in the world for the period of 1990-2016. The time series of temperature change, Food Price Index and Gross Production Index for foods were obtained from the database of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Johansen cointegration and Granger causality analysis were used to evaluate relations between the indicators in the short and long runs. The results of the study indicated that temperature change, Food Price Index and Gross Production Index for foods were cointegrated and so they move together in the long run. On the other hand, Granger causality analysis highlighted that there is unidirectional causality runs from temperature change to both Food Price Index and Gross Production Index for foods and at the same time from Gross Production Index for foods to Food Price Index. This research concluded that temperature has an essential effect both on agricultural production and prices, whereas food prices are sensitive to production. Therefore, the environmentally friendly technologies should be developed and applied in agricultural sector. However, the food prices could be regulated via production controls which take temperature change into consideration.
temperature change, food price index, gross production index, cointegration, causality
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Birincil Dil en
Konular Matematik
Bölüm Articles
Yazarlar

Orcid: 0000-0002-1188-8274
Yazar: Nevra ALHAS EROĞLU (Sorumlu Yazar)
Kurum: TÜRKİYE İSTATİSTİK KURUMU (TÜİK)
Ülke: Turkey


Orcid: 0000-0001-8333-1865
Yazar: Mehmet BOZOĞLU
Kurum: ONDOKUZ MAYIS UNIVERSITY
Ülke: Turkey


Orcid: 0000-0003-4961-2764
Yazar: Uğur BAŞER
Kurum: ONDOKUZ MAYIS ÜNİVERSİTESİ
Ülke: Turkey


Orcid: 0000-0002-3607-4306
Yazar: Bakiye KILIÇ TOPUZ
Kurum: IĞDIR FACULTY OF AGRICULTURE
Ülke: Turkey


Tarihler

Yayımlanma Tarihi : 31 Ağustos 2020

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { forecasting660525, journal = {Turkish Journal of Forecasting}, issn = {}, eissn = {2618-6594}, address = {Giresun Üniversitesi Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi İstatistik Bölümü, Güre Yerleşkesi, 28100 Merkez, Giresun}, publisher = {Giresun Üniversitesi}, year = {2020}, volume = {04}, pages = {10 - 15}, doi = {10.34110/forecasting.660525}, title = {The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World}, key = {cite}, author = {Alhas Eroğlu, Nevra and Bozoğlu, Mehmet and Başer, Uğur and Kılıç Topuz, Bakiye} }
APA Alhas Eroğlu, N , Bozoğlu, M , Başer, U , Kılıç Topuz, B . (2020). The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World . Turkish Journal of Forecasting , 04 (1) , 10-15 . DOI: 10.34110/forecasting.660525
MLA Alhas Eroğlu, N , Bozoğlu, M , Başer, U , Kılıç Topuz, B . "The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World" . Turkish Journal of Forecasting 04 (2020 ): 10-15 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/forecasting/issue/57892/660525>
Chicago Alhas Eroğlu, N , Bozoğlu, M , Başer, U , Kılıç Topuz, B . "The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World". Turkish Journal of Forecasting 04 (2020 ): 10-15
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World AU - Nevra Alhas Eroğlu , Mehmet Bozoğlu , Uğur Başer , Bakiye Kılıç Topuz Y1 - 2020 PY - 2020 N1 - doi: 10.34110/forecasting.660525 DO - 10.34110/forecasting.660525 T2 - Turkish Journal of Forecasting JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 10 EP - 15 VL - 04 IS - 1 SN - -2618-6594 M3 - doi: 10.34110/forecasting.660525 UR - https://doi.org/10.34110/forecasting.660525 Y2 - 2020 ER -
EndNote %0 Turkish Journal of Forecasting The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World %A Nevra Alhas Eroğlu , Mehmet Bozoğlu , Uğur Başer , Bakiye Kılıç Topuz %T The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World %D 2020 %J Turkish Journal of Forecasting %P -2618-6594 %V 04 %N 1 %R doi: 10.34110/forecasting.660525 %U 10.34110/forecasting.660525
ISNAD Alhas Eroğlu, Nevra , Bozoğlu, Mehmet , Başer, Uğur , Kılıç Topuz, Bakiye . "The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World". Turkish Journal of Forecasting 04 / 1 (Ağustos 2020): 10-15 . https://doi.org/10.34110/forecasting.660525
AMA Alhas Eroğlu N , Bozoğlu M , Başer U , Kılıç Topuz B . The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World. TJF. 2020; 04(1): 10-15.
Vancouver Alhas Eroğlu N , Bozoğlu M , Başer U , Kılıç Topuz B . The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World. Turkish Journal of Forecasting. 2020; 04(1): 10-15.
IEEE N. Alhas Eroğlu , M. Bozoğlu , U. Başer ve B. Kılıç Topuz , "The Causal Relationship Between Temperature Change And Food Indices In The World", Turkish Journal of Forecasting, c. 04, sayı. 1, ss. 10-15, Ağu. 2020, doi:10.34110/forecasting.660525