Hybrid Deep Learning-Based Fault Prediction for Industrial Machinery Using CNN-LSTM and CNN-GRU: CLKKSM Facility Application and Data-Driven Predictive Maintenance Action Plan
Abstract
Unplanned machine downtime in manufacturing facilities leads to significant production losses, rising maintenance costs, and occupational safety risks. This study compares two hybrid deep learning architectures—Convolutional Neural Network–Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network–Gated Recurrent Unit (CNN-GRU) —for monthly fault frequency prediction using an eight-year operational dataset from the CLKKSM facility. One-dimensional convolutional layers extract local temporal features from the raw time series, which are subsequently encoded by recurrent cells to capture long-range dependencies. Both models were trained on historical data and validated on a held-out period, then evaluated against actual fault events in early 2026. CNN-LSTM consistently outperformed CNN-GRU across all error metrics on the out-of-sample test set. The performance gap is attributed to the four-gate memory mechanism of LSTM, which models medium- and long-range temporal dependencies more effectively than the two-gate GRU structure. Building on CNN-LSTM forecasts, a three-phase predictive maintenance action plan was developed for the April–December 2026 period, incorporating machine-level priority classification, risk-stratified schedules, and trackable Key Performance Indicator (KPI) targets. The proposed methodology bridges the gap between model outputs and field implementation, offering a transferable framework for data-driven predictive maintenance in industrial settings.
Keywords
References
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Details
Primary Language
English
Subjects
Electrical Engineering (Other)
Journal Section
Research Article
Authors
Salih Ermiş
*
0000-0002-1053-9160
Türkiye
Oğuz Taşdemir
0000-0003-1782-0024
Türkiye
Çağatay Başgül
0009-0009-2198-9122
Türkiye
Publication Date
August 31, 2026
Submission Date
May 4, 2026
Acceptance Date
June 16, 2026
Published in Issue
Year 2026 Volume: 12 Number: 2