Influence of Past Climate Changes on the Current Distribution of a Rare and Endemic Species: Anatolian Spiny Mouse

Year 2023, Volume: 10 Issue: 1, 57 - 61, 31.03.2023

Zeycan Helvacı

https://doi.org/10.17350/HJSE19030000291

Abstract

This research focuses on species distribution modelling (SDM) to have an idea of distribution of Anatolian spiny mouse, Acomys cilicicus in the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the mid-Holocene and present by using coordinates along Silifke which is the only location the species found. Three ensembled species distribution models (generalized additive mod-els, maximum entropy and boosted regression trees) were used to project Anatolian spiny mouse environmental suitability. Results indicate that current distribution of A. cilicicus populations shifted east to west since during the Last Glacial Maximum and apparently eastern part of the Mediterranean region of Turkey is potential refugia for this species.

Keywords

Species distribution modelling, Acomys cilicicus, endemic species, LGM, Holocene

References

• Roces-Díaz JV, Jiménez-Alfaro B, Chytrý M, Díaz-Varela ER, Álvarez-Álvarez P. Glacial refugia and mid-Holocene expansion delineate the current distribution of Castanea sativa in Europe. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology. 2018;491:152-60. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.12.004
• Özdemirel BK, Çetintaş O, Sözen M, Çoğal M, Matur F. Modelling Distribution of Asia Minor Spiny Mouse (Acomys Cilicicus) Using Maximum Entropy. International Journal of Environment and Geoinformatics. 2022. doi:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijegeo/issue/68801/979699
• Poursalem S, Amininasab SM, Zamani N, Almasieh K, Mardani M. Modeling the Distribution and Habitat Suitability of Persian Leopard Panthera pardus saxicolor in Southwestern Iran. Biology Bulletin. 2021;48(3):319-30. doi:10.1134/S1062359021030122
• Li H, Xiang-Yu J, Dai G, et al. Large numbers of vertebrates began rapid population decline in the late 19th century. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016;113(49):14079-84. doi:10.1073/pnas.1616804113
• Çetintaş O, Matur F, Sözen M. Distribution and conservation of Acomys cilicicus (Mammalia: Rodentia) in Turkey. Turkish Journal of Zoology. 2017;41(6):1059-68.
• Renaud S, Hardouin EA, Chevret P, et al. Morphometrics and genetics highlight the complex history of Eastern Mediterranean spiny mice. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society. 2020;130(3):599-614. doi:10.1093/biolinnean/blaa063
• Aghová T, Palupčíková K, Šumbera R, et al. Multiple radiations of spiny mice (Rodentia: Acomys) in dry open habitats of Afro-Arabia: evidence from a multi-locus phylogeny. BMC Evolutionary Biology. 2019;19(1):69. doi:10.1186/s12862-019-1380-9
• Tang CQ, Matsui T, Ohashi H, et al. Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia. Nature Communications. 2018;9(1):4488. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-06837-3
• GBIF. Global Biodiversity Information Facility. 2022. https://www.gbif.org/.
• Kryštufek B, Vohralík V, Janžekovič F. Mammals of Turkey and Cyprus: Rodentia II : Cricetinae, Muridae, Spalacidae, Calomyscidae, Capromydae, Hystricidae, Castoridae: Univerza na Primorskem, Znanstveno-raziskovalno središče, Založba Annales; 2009.
• Kivanç E, Eyison HM, Kiralp S, Ekim O. Reproductive biology of Acomys cilicicus Spitzenberger, 1978 (Rodentia: Muridae) in Turkey. Turkish Journal of Zoology. 2013;37(2):133-42.
• Exposito-Alonso M. rbioclim: Improved getData function from the raster R package to interact with past, present and future climate data from worldclim.org. . Available from: github. com/MoisesExpositoAlonso/rbioclim. 2017.
• Team RC. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria. 2021.
• Fick SE, Hijmans RJ. WorldClim 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology. 2017;37(12):4302-15. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5086
• Naimi B, Araújo MB. sdm: a reproducible and extensible R platform for species distribution modelling. Ecography. 2016;39(4):368-75. doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.01881
• Hastie T, Tibshirani R. Exploring the Nature of Covariate Effects in the Proportional Hazards Model. Biometrics. 1990;46(4):1005-16. doi:10.2307/2532444
• Friedman JH. Greedy Function Approximation: A Gradient Boosting Machine. The Annals of Statistics. 2001;29(5):1189-232.
• Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling. 2006;190(3):231-59. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.03.026
• Turkish State Meteorological Service. 2022. https://mgm.gov.tr/veridegerlendirme/yillik-toplam-yagis-verileri.aspx.
• Franklin J. Mapping Species Distributions: Spatial Inference and Prediction. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2010.
• Macholán M, Zima J, Cervená A, Cerveny J. Karyotype of Acomys cilicicus Spitzenberger, 1978 (Rodentia, Muridae). Mammalia. 1995;59(3):397-402. doi:10.1515/mamm.1995.59.3.397
• Giagia-Athanasopoulou EB, Rovatsos MTH, Mitsainas GP, et al. New data on the evolution of the Cretan spiny mouse, Acomys minous (Rodentia: Murinae), shed light on the phylogenetic relationships in the cahirinus group. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society. 2011;102(3):498-509. doi:10.1111/j.1095-8312.2010.01592.x
• Barome PO, Monnerot M, Gautun JC. Phylogeny of the genus Acomys (Rodentia, Muridae) based on the cytochrome b mitochondrial gene : implications on taxonomy and phylogeography. Mammalia. 2000;64(4):423-38. doi:10.1515/mamm.2000.64.4.423
• Krebs P, Conedera M, Pradella M, Torriani D, Felber M, Tinner W. Quaternary refugia of the sweet chestnut (Castanea sativa Mill.): an extended palynological approach. Vegetation History and Archaeobotany. 2004;13(3). doi:10.1007/s00334-004-0041-z
• Krebs P, Pezzatti GB, Beffa G, Tinner W, Conedera M. Revising the sweet chestnut (Castanea sativa Mill.) refugia history of the last glacial period with extended pollen and macrofossil evidence. Quaternary Science Reviews. 2019;206:111-28. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.01.002
• Newbold T, Hudson LN, Hill SL, et al. Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity. Nature. 2015;520(7545):45-50. doi:10.1038/nature14324
• IUCN. The IUCN red list of threatened species. 2022. www.iucnredlist.org.