Research Article
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Year 2025, Volume: 17 Issue: 1, 29 - 43, 03.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.33818/ier.1659420

Abstract

References

  • Akçelik, Y., E. Başçι, E. Ermişoğlu, and A. Oduncu (2015). The Turkish approach to capital flow volatility. In Taming Capital Flows: Capital Account Management in an Era of Globalization: IEA Conference Volume No. 154 (pp. 31-54). Palgrave Macmillan UK.
  • Allison, P. D. (2012). Logistic Regression using SAS. Theory and Application, 2nd Ed. North Carolina, USA: SAS Institute.
  • Altavilla, C., M.D. Pariès, and M. Ciccarelli (2019). Loan supply, credit markets, and the euro area financial crisis. Journal of Banking and Finance 109, 105658.
  • Altunbaş, Y., L. Gambacorta, and D. Marques (2007). Securitization and The Bank Lending Channel, ECB Working Paper, No:838
  • Amiti, M., and D.E. Weinstein (2018). How much do idiosyncratic bank shocks affect investment? Evidence from matched bank-firm loan data. Journal of Political Economy 126(2), 525–587.
  • Bassett, W.F., M.B. Chosak, J.C. Driscoll, and E. Zakrajsek (2014). Changes in bank lending standards and the macroeconomy. Journal of Monetary Economics. 61(C), 23–40.
  • Beck, T., A.D. Kunt, L. Laeven, and V. Maksimovic (2006). The Determinants of Financing Obstacles. Journal of International Money and Finance, 25(6), 932-952.
  • Becker, B., and V. Ivashina (2014). Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm Level Evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics, 62, 76-93.
  • Bedayo, M., A. Estrada, and J. Saurina (2020). Bank capital, lending booms, and busts. Evidence from Spain in the last 150 years. Latin American Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 1, Issues 1-4, 100003.
  • Berlin, M. (2009). Bank credit standards. Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Q2, 1-10.
  • Bofondi, M., L. Carpinelli, and E. Sette (2018). Credit supply during a sovereign debt crisis. Journal of European Economic Association 16 (3), 696–729.
  • Castro, A., D. Glancy, and F. Ionescu (2022). Drivers of bank supply of business loans. FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, (February 22).
  • Cavallo, M., J. Morelli, R. Zarutskie, and S. Baylor (2024). Measuring bank credit supply shocks using the senior loan officer survey. FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, (May 24).
  • Chen, K., P. Higgins, and T. Zha (2021). Cyclical lending standards: a structural analysis. Review on Economic Dynamics 42, 283–306.
  • Ciccarelli, M., A. Maddaloni, and J.-L. Peydró (2015). Trusting the bankers: a new look at the credit channel of monetary policy. Review on Economic Dynamics 18(4), 979–1002.
  • Cunningham, T.J., (2006). The predictive power of the senior loan officer survey: Do lending officers know anything special? Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper Number 2006-24.
  • Dell’ariccia, G., I. Laeven, and G. Suarez (2013). Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel: Evidence from the United States, IMF Working Paper
  • Dell'ariccia, G., and R. Marquez (2006). Lending Booms and Lending Standards. The Journal of Finance, LXI (5), 2511-2546.
  • Faccia, D., F. Maruhn and P. Köhler-Ulbrich, (2024). What drives banks’ credit standards? An analysis based on a large bank-firm panel, Working Paper Series 2902, European Central Bank.
  • Jimenez, G., S. Jime, J. L. Peydró, and J. Saurina (2012). Credit Supply and Monetary Policy: Identifying the Bank Balance-Sheet Channel with Loan Applications. American Economic Review, 2301-2326.
  • Kashyap, A., and C. Jeremy (2000). What do a Million Observations on Banks Say About the Transmission of Monetary Policy? The American Economic Review, 90(3).
  • Khwaja, A.I. and A. Mian (2008). Tracing the impact of bank liquidity shocks: evidence from an emerging market. Am. Econ. Rev. 98 (4), 1413–1442.
  • Lown, C.S. and D.P. Morgan (2006). The Credit Cycle and The Business Cycle: New Findings Using the Loan Officer Opinion Survey. J. Money, Credit Bank. 38 (6), 1575–1597.
  • Maddaloni, A. and J.-L. Peydró (2011). Bank risk-taking, securitization, supervision, and low interest rates: evidence from the euro-area and the U.S. lending standards. Rev. Financ. Stud. 24 (6), 2121–2165.
  • Maddaloni, A. J.L. Peydró, and S. Scopel (2008). Does monetary policy affect bank credit standards? Evidence from the euro area bank lending survey, ECB Working Paper
  • Park, D., A. Ramayand, and K. Shin (2016). Capital flows during quantitative easing: Experiences of developing countries. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 52(4), 886-903.
  • Ricci, L., G. Soggia, and L. Trimarchi (2023). The Impact of Bank Lending Standards on Credit to Firms, Journal of Banking and Finance, 152(C), 106880
  • Rodano, G., N. S. Velarde, and E. Tarantino (2017). Lending Standards Over the Credit Cycle, Working Papers 563, Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research, Bocconi University.
  • Saurina, J. and G. Jimenez (2006). Credit Cycles, Credit Risk, and Prudential Regulation. International Journal of Central Banking, June, 66-98
  • Swarbrick, J. (2023). Lending standards, productivity, and credit crunches. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 37:456–481
  • Vojtech, C.M., B.S. Kay, and J.C. Driscoll (2020). The Real Consequences of Bank Morgage Lending Standards., Journal of Financal Intermediation. 44, 100846.
  • Xiaoling, W. (2007). Excess Liquidity and Financial Market Risks, Elischolar, A digital platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale, (https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=15506&context=ypfs-documents). (accessed March 3, 2025)
  • Yağlı, İ., and M. Topcu (2023). Determinants of Credit Risk in the Turkish Banking Sector: Does Ownership Matter? Sosyoekonomi, 31(55), 49-67.

The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks

Year 2025, Volume: 17 Issue: 1, 29 - 43, 03.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.33818/ier.1659420

Abstract

This study investigates the interplay between bank lending standards and credit scoring behavior of Turkish banks to SMEs. A Logistic Regression Model has been used by employing CBRT bank and firm-level micro data for the 2017Q1 – 2024Q2 period. First, one of the primary findings of the study shows that eased lending standards supported by excess liquidity conditions of banks significantly contributes to increasing probability of getting a better credit score. Second, we find that this relationship is stronger with the public banks as compared to private banks. Third, the results show that one of the important determinants of the probability of better credit score in addition to lending standards is the ‘spread’ between CBRT Average Funding Rate and Fed Funds Rate. A number of recent studies have shown that the presence of higher dependence on volatile capital flows in emerging markets may compromise the effectiveness of domestic monetary policy in ensuring financial stability. Third, during 2018 currency crisis, banks seem to adopt more risk-averse lending strategies. Finally, firm-level analysis suggests that banks tend to give higher scores to relatively larger firms during eased lending standards.

Ethical Statement

I hereby declare that all information in this document has been obtained and presented in accordance with the academic rules and ethical conduct. I also declare that, as required by these rules and conduct, I have fully cited and referenced all material and results that are not original to this work

Thanks

I wish to thank Syed Amjad Ali, Phd from Bilkent University his valuable support throughout our study period.

References

  • Akçelik, Y., E. Başçι, E. Ermişoğlu, and A. Oduncu (2015). The Turkish approach to capital flow volatility. In Taming Capital Flows: Capital Account Management in an Era of Globalization: IEA Conference Volume No. 154 (pp. 31-54). Palgrave Macmillan UK.
  • Allison, P. D. (2012). Logistic Regression using SAS. Theory and Application, 2nd Ed. North Carolina, USA: SAS Institute.
  • Altavilla, C., M.D. Pariès, and M. Ciccarelli (2019). Loan supply, credit markets, and the euro area financial crisis. Journal of Banking and Finance 109, 105658.
  • Altunbaş, Y., L. Gambacorta, and D. Marques (2007). Securitization and The Bank Lending Channel, ECB Working Paper, No:838
  • Amiti, M., and D.E. Weinstein (2018). How much do idiosyncratic bank shocks affect investment? Evidence from matched bank-firm loan data. Journal of Political Economy 126(2), 525–587.
  • Bassett, W.F., M.B. Chosak, J.C. Driscoll, and E. Zakrajsek (2014). Changes in bank lending standards and the macroeconomy. Journal of Monetary Economics. 61(C), 23–40.
  • Beck, T., A.D. Kunt, L. Laeven, and V. Maksimovic (2006). The Determinants of Financing Obstacles. Journal of International Money and Finance, 25(6), 932-952.
  • Becker, B., and V. Ivashina (2014). Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm Level Evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics, 62, 76-93.
  • Bedayo, M., A. Estrada, and J. Saurina (2020). Bank capital, lending booms, and busts. Evidence from Spain in the last 150 years. Latin American Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 1, Issues 1-4, 100003.
  • Berlin, M. (2009). Bank credit standards. Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Q2, 1-10.
  • Bofondi, M., L. Carpinelli, and E. Sette (2018). Credit supply during a sovereign debt crisis. Journal of European Economic Association 16 (3), 696–729.
  • Castro, A., D. Glancy, and F. Ionescu (2022). Drivers of bank supply of business loans. FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, (February 22).
  • Cavallo, M., J. Morelli, R. Zarutskie, and S. Baylor (2024). Measuring bank credit supply shocks using the senior loan officer survey. FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, (May 24).
  • Chen, K., P. Higgins, and T. Zha (2021). Cyclical lending standards: a structural analysis. Review on Economic Dynamics 42, 283–306.
  • Ciccarelli, M., A. Maddaloni, and J.-L. Peydró (2015). Trusting the bankers: a new look at the credit channel of monetary policy. Review on Economic Dynamics 18(4), 979–1002.
  • Cunningham, T.J., (2006). The predictive power of the senior loan officer survey: Do lending officers know anything special? Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper Number 2006-24.
  • Dell’ariccia, G., I. Laeven, and G. Suarez (2013). Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel: Evidence from the United States, IMF Working Paper
  • Dell'ariccia, G., and R. Marquez (2006). Lending Booms and Lending Standards. The Journal of Finance, LXI (5), 2511-2546.
  • Faccia, D., F. Maruhn and P. Köhler-Ulbrich, (2024). What drives banks’ credit standards? An analysis based on a large bank-firm panel, Working Paper Series 2902, European Central Bank.
  • Jimenez, G., S. Jime, J. L. Peydró, and J. Saurina (2012). Credit Supply and Monetary Policy: Identifying the Bank Balance-Sheet Channel with Loan Applications. American Economic Review, 2301-2326.
  • Kashyap, A., and C. Jeremy (2000). What do a Million Observations on Banks Say About the Transmission of Monetary Policy? The American Economic Review, 90(3).
  • Khwaja, A.I. and A. Mian (2008). Tracing the impact of bank liquidity shocks: evidence from an emerging market. Am. Econ. Rev. 98 (4), 1413–1442.
  • Lown, C.S. and D.P. Morgan (2006). The Credit Cycle and The Business Cycle: New Findings Using the Loan Officer Opinion Survey. J. Money, Credit Bank. 38 (6), 1575–1597.
  • Maddaloni, A. and J.-L. Peydró (2011). Bank risk-taking, securitization, supervision, and low interest rates: evidence from the euro-area and the U.S. lending standards. Rev. Financ. Stud. 24 (6), 2121–2165.
  • Maddaloni, A. J.L. Peydró, and S. Scopel (2008). Does monetary policy affect bank credit standards? Evidence from the euro area bank lending survey, ECB Working Paper
  • Park, D., A. Ramayand, and K. Shin (2016). Capital flows during quantitative easing: Experiences of developing countries. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 52(4), 886-903.
  • Ricci, L., G. Soggia, and L. Trimarchi (2023). The Impact of Bank Lending Standards on Credit to Firms, Journal of Banking and Finance, 152(C), 106880
  • Rodano, G., N. S. Velarde, and E. Tarantino (2017). Lending Standards Over the Credit Cycle, Working Papers 563, Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research, Bocconi University.
  • Saurina, J. and G. Jimenez (2006). Credit Cycles, Credit Risk, and Prudential Regulation. International Journal of Central Banking, June, 66-98
  • Swarbrick, J. (2023). Lending standards, productivity, and credit crunches. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 37:456–481
  • Vojtech, C.M., B.S. Kay, and J.C. Driscoll (2020). The Real Consequences of Bank Morgage Lending Standards., Journal of Financal Intermediation. 44, 100846.
  • Xiaoling, W. (2007). Excess Liquidity and Financial Market Risks, Elischolar, A digital platform for Scholarly Publishing at Yale, (https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=15506&context=ypfs-documents). (accessed March 3, 2025)
  • Yağlı, İ., and M. Topcu (2023). Determinants of Credit Risk in the Turkish Banking Sector: Does Ownership Matter? Sosyoekonomi, 31(55), 49-67.
There are 33 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Applied Macroeconometrics
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Selman Dal 0009-0008-8959-1025

Seyid Mahmud 0000-0002-0355-4514

Submission Date March 17, 2025
Acceptance Date July 18, 2025
Publication Date August 3, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 17 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Dal, S., & Mahmud, S. (2025). The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks. International Econometric Review, 17(1), 29-43. https://doi.org/10.33818/ier.1659420
AMA Dal S, Mahmud S. The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks. IER. August 2025;17(1):29-43. doi:10.33818/ier.1659420
Chicago Dal, Selman, and Seyid Mahmud. “The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks”. International Econometric Review 17, no. 1 (August 2025): 29-43. https://doi.org/10.33818/ier.1659420.
EndNote Dal S, Mahmud S (August 1, 2025) The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks. International Econometric Review 17 1 29–43.
IEEE S. Dal and S. Mahmud, “The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks”, IER, vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 29–43, 2025, doi: 10.33818/ier.1659420.
ISNAD Dal, Selman - Mahmud, Seyid. “The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks”. International Econometric Review 17/1 (August2025), 29-43. https://doi.org/10.33818/ier.1659420.
JAMA Dal S, Mahmud S. The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks. IER. 2025;17:29–43.
MLA Dal, Selman and Seyid Mahmud. “The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks”. International Econometric Review, vol. 17, no. 1, 2025, pp. 29-43, doi:10.33818/ier.1659420.
Vancouver Dal S, Mahmud S. The Role of Banks’ Lending Standards in Determining Creditworthiness of Firms: Evidence from Turkish Banks. IER. 2025;17(1):29-43.