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Beyond Egyptian’s Historical Narrative: The Completions of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and Its Hydro-political Implications on the Nile Region

Year 2026, Volume: 1 Issue: 9, 27 - 45, 31.01.2026

Abstract

Abstract
The main objective of the paper is to assess the historic narrative of Egypt over the Nile River and the positions of Ethiopia against it, and how the completion of GERD challenges a historic narrative and a shift in the hydro-political landscape of the Nile region. To meet its objectives, the study mainly employs a descriptive and explanatory approach under the qualitative research methodology. In doing so, the study utilizes primary and secondary sources of data from books, journal articles, legal and document analysis, media sources, and open sources like websites. The GERD, located in Guba, Benishangul-Gumuz regional state, is the largest African hydro-electric power. It symbolizes the determination, resilience, and unity of the Ethiopian people, who financed the project by their own contributions, including buying bonds and preparing fundraising campaigns. In celebrating the completion of the GERD, the media outlet like print media, digital media, broadcasting media, and other social media echoes the “impossible made it real”, which signifies the reality is there beyond Egyptian’s historic narrations; and it became the de facto changes of the existing status quo in the Nile region. The completion of the GERD remarks as a historic milestone for reshaping the broader Nile basin region, and a new approach of hydro-politics analysis in the area. The accomplishment of GERD is a game-changer or shift of power dynamics that creates new emerging water-sharing by substituting the existing status quo in the region.

References

  • Addisu, Lashitew. (2020, May 10). Why Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan should ditch a rushed, Washington-brokered Nile Treaty. Retrieved from African in Focus:
  • Almesafri, A., Abdulsattar, S., Alblooshi, A., Al-Juboori, R. A., Jephson, N., & Hilal, N. (2024). Waters of Contention: The GERD and Its Impact on Nile Basin Cooperation and Conflict. Water, 16(15), 2174.
  • Attia, H., & Saleh, M. (2021). The Political Deadlock on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. (GIGA Focus Afrika, 4). Hamburg: German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA) Leibniz-Institute for Global and Regional Study, Institute for Afrika-Studien.
  • Baines. J. (2011). The Story of the Nile. Accessed: https://www.bbc.co.uk/history/ancient/egyptians/nile_01.shtml
  • Chesire, D.k. (2010). Control over the Nile: Implications across Nations, MA thesis, Naval postgraduate School Monterey, California.
  • Dereje. Zeleke. (2010). The Nile Basin Cooperative Framework Agreement Negotiations and the Adoption of a “Water Security” Paradigm: Flight into Obscurity or a Logical Cul-de-sac? European Journal of International Law, 21(2), 421–440.
  • Elias, Ashebir. (2009). The politics of the Nile basin. PHD Dissertations, University of the wit waters, Johannesburg, South Africa.
  • Essa, M. (2015). An Appraisal of the Nile Basin Cooperative Framework Agreement. MA thesis, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia.
  • Heggy, E., Abotalib, A. Z., You, J., Hanert, E., & Ramah, M. (2024). Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam can generate sustainable hydropower while minimizing downstream water deficit during prolonged droughts. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 1-15.
  • El-Nashar, W. Y., & Elyamany, A. H. (2018). Managing risks of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on Egypt. Ain Shams Engineering Journal, 9 (4),
  • Fenton-Harvey. J. (2021). The Africa Horn is set for a Cold War: Here’s Why? Libyan Express: accessed at: https://www.libyanexpress.com/the-africa-horn-is-set-for-a-cold-war-heres-why/
  • Hijazi, A. (2020). The GERD Conflict: challenges to Egypt’s Water Security. Center for Middle Eastern studies, Report Paper, No: 15/2020.
  • Kazichas. A. (2016). Competitions or cooperation on the Nile River: A contemporary Analysis of Ethiopian-Egyptian Relations. A minor Dissertations, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
  • Mahamud, Eshetu (2020). Sink or swim Alternative for Unlocking the Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam Disputes, Journal Article, Colombia Journal of Transnational Law 39: 1
  • Mahari Tadle (2020). The Nile River and its Peace and Security Implications: What Can the African Union Do? Institute for Peace and Security Studies, Policy Brief, vol.1, issue.1.
  • Mbaku, M.J. (2020). The controversy over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. African in Focus.Availableat: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2020/08/05/the-controversy-over-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam/
  • Mohammed, B. K. (2021). How the Concept of “African Solutions for African Problems” Can Be Applied to Resolve the GERD Dispute. Open Journal of Political Science, 11(04), 594–613.
  • Matthews, R., & Vivoda, V. (2023). ‘Water Wars’: strategic implications of the grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Conflict, Security & Development, 23(4), 333–366.
  • Mumma-Martinon, C. A. (2010). Role of Sub Regional Organizations in Preventing Water-Related Conflicts in the Eastern African Region, Occasional paper, International Peace Support Training Centre Nairobi, Kenya, serious 1, No 7.
  • Nunzio. J. D. (2013). Conflict in the Nile: The future transboundary water disputes over the world’s longest river. Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interest.
  • Owiro, A. (2004). The Nile Treaty State succession and International Treaty Commitments: Occasional Paper, Konrad Adewnuer Foundations, Nairobi, Kenya.
  • Pohl, P. (2014). The Rise of Hydro-diplomacy: Strengthening Foreign policy for Trans-boundary Rivers, adelphi, Berlin, Available at: https://www.adelphi.de
  • Salman, A. (2015). Blue Diplomacy: Transboundary Water Governance from a Foreign Policy Lens, Policy brief, Regional green Dialogue.
  • Shay, S. (2018). The “Renaissance dam crisis”, Herzeliya Conference Paper, April, 2018.
  • Sintayehu, F., Mohammed, Y.A., Melkamu, M. (2025). The Hydropolitics and Legal Dimension of Ethiopia’s Right to Utilize the Abbay River. In: Melesse, A., Gessesse, B., Zewdie, W. (eds) Abbay River Basin. Springer Geography. Springer, Cham.
  • Tafesse, Tesfaye. (2000). The Hydro political Assessment of the Nile Question: An Ethiopian Perspective. Water International, 26 (4), 1–11.
  • Tesfa, Belachew. (2013).Benefit of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Project (GERDP) for Sudan and Egypt. Discussion Paper. EIPSA Communicating Article: Energy, Water, Environment & Economic. Warner, J., & de Man, R. (2020). Powering hydro diplomacy: How a broader power palette can deepen our understanding of water conflict dynamics. Environmental Science & Policy, 114, 283–294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.08.015
  • Whittington, D., Waterbury, J., & Jeuland, M. (2014). The Grand Renaissance Dam and prospects for cooperation on the Eastern Nile. Water Policy, 16, 595–608.
  • Worku, M. G. (2024). Public diplomacy and Ethio-Egyptian relation; enhancing mutual understanding on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Cogent Social Sciences, 10(1).
  • Yacob, A. (2007). Ethiopia and the Nile Dilemmas of National and Regional Hydro-politics, Center for Security Studies, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich CTHZentrum SEI, Seilergraben 49, Switzerland.
  • Yildiz, D., Yildiz, D., and Gunes, M. (2016). Africa in Motion: Why the rush to build Grand Renaissance and Inga 3 Dams in Africa? International Advanced Research Journal in Science, Engineering and Technology, 3(9). Yohannes Woldemariam and Genevieve Donnellon (2024). May The politics of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Oxford Global Society, Climate diplomacy.
  • Yihdego, Z. (2020). Was USA Involvement in Blue Nile Dam Negotiations a Mediations or A Coercion and Intervention? Critical Legal Analysis and Conclusion Part IV. University of Aberdeen Scotland, Global Water Forum. Media Sources
  • EBC. (2020). Addis Dialogue: Interview with Sileshe Bekele (Dr.) GERD part two etv. In YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ErFdGjLgPTY
  • EBC. (2021). Addis Dialogue: Professor Brook Hailu Beshah on GERD, Sudan, Egypt and upcoming election. In YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiUfD61zHh0.
  • United Nations. (2021). Ethiopia on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) - Media Stakeout (8 July 2021). In YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqfPMFVZ4bk.

Year 2026, Volume: 1 Issue: 9, 27 - 45, 31.01.2026

Abstract

References

  • Addisu, Lashitew. (2020, May 10). Why Ethiopia, Egypt, and Sudan should ditch a rushed, Washington-brokered Nile Treaty. Retrieved from African in Focus:
  • Almesafri, A., Abdulsattar, S., Alblooshi, A., Al-Juboori, R. A., Jephson, N., & Hilal, N. (2024). Waters of Contention: The GERD and Its Impact on Nile Basin Cooperation and Conflict. Water, 16(15), 2174.
  • Attia, H., & Saleh, M. (2021). The Political Deadlock on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. (GIGA Focus Afrika, 4). Hamburg: German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA) Leibniz-Institute for Global and Regional Study, Institute for Afrika-Studien.
  • Baines. J. (2011). The Story of the Nile. Accessed: https://www.bbc.co.uk/history/ancient/egyptians/nile_01.shtml
  • Chesire, D.k. (2010). Control over the Nile: Implications across Nations, MA thesis, Naval postgraduate School Monterey, California.
  • Dereje. Zeleke. (2010). The Nile Basin Cooperative Framework Agreement Negotiations and the Adoption of a “Water Security” Paradigm: Flight into Obscurity or a Logical Cul-de-sac? European Journal of International Law, 21(2), 421–440.
  • Elias, Ashebir. (2009). The politics of the Nile basin. PHD Dissertations, University of the wit waters, Johannesburg, South Africa.
  • Essa, M. (2015). An Appraisal of the Nile Basin Cooperative Framework Agreement. MA thesis, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia.
  • Heggy, E., Abotalib, A. Z., You, J., Hanert, E., & Ramah, M. (2024). Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam can generate sustainable hydropower while minimizing downstream water deficit during prolonged droughts. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 1-15.
  • El-Nashar, W. Y., & Elyamany, A. H. (2018). Managing risks of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on Egypt. Ain Shams Engineering Journal, 9 (4),
  • Fenton-Harvey. J. (2021). The Africa Horn is set for a Cold War: Here’s Why? Libyan Express: accessed at: https://www.libyanexpress.com/the-africa-horn-is-set-for-a-cold-war-heres-why/
  • Hijazi, A. (2020). The GERD Conflict: challenges to Egypt’s Water Security. Center for Middle Eastern studies, Report Paper, No: 15/2020.
  • Kazichas. A. (2016). Competitions or cooperation on the Nile River: A contemporary Analysis of Ethiopian-Egyptian Relations. A minor Dissertations, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
  • Mahamud, Eshetu (2020). Sink or swim Alternative for Unlocking the Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam Disputes, Journal Article, Colombia Journal of Transnational Law 39: 1
  • Mahari Tadle (2020). The Nile River and its Peace and Security Implications: What Can the African Union Do? Institute for Peace and Security Studies, Policy Brief, vol.1, issue.1.
  • Mbaku, M.J. (2020). The controversy over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. African in Focus.Availableat: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2020/08/05/the-controversy-over-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam/
  • Mohammed, B. K. (2021). How the Concept of “African Solutions for African Problems” Can Be Applied to Resolve the GERD Dispute. Open Journal of Political Science, 11(04), 594–613.
  • Matthews, R., & Vivoda, V. (2023). ‘Water Wars’: strategic implications of the grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Conflict, Security & Development, 23(4), 333–366.
  • Mumma-Martinon, C. A. (2010). Role of Sub Regional Organizations in Preventing Water-Related Conflicts in the Eastern African Region, Occasional paper, International Peace Support Training Centre Nairobi, Kenya, serious 1, No 7.
  • Nunzio. J. D. (2013). Conflict in the Nile: The future transboundary water disputes over the world’s longest river. Independent Strategic Analysis of Australia’s Global Interest.
  • Owiro, A. (2004). The Nile Treaty State succession and International Treaty Commitments: Occasional Paper, Konrad Adewnuer Foundations, Nairobi, Kenya.
  • Pohl, P. (2014). The Rise of Hydro-diplomacy: Strengthening Foreign policy for Trans-boundary Rivers, adelphi, Berlin, Available at: https://www.adelphi.de
  • Salman, A. (2015). Blue Diplomacy: Transboundary Water Governance from a Foreign Policy Lens, Policy brief, Regional green Dialogue.
  • Shay, S. (2018). The “Renaissance dam crisis”, Herzeliya Conference Paper, April, 2018.
  • Sintayehu, F., Mohammed, Y.A., Melkamu, M. (2025). The Hydropolitics and Legal Dimension of Ethiopia’s Right to Utilize the Abbay River. In: Melesse, A., Gessesse, B., Zewdie, W. (eds) Abbay River Basin. Springer Geography. Springer, Cham.
  • Tafesse, Tesfaye. (2000). The Hydro political Assessment of the Nile Question: An Ethiopian Perspective. Water International, 26 (4), 1–11.
  • Tesfa, Belachew. (2013).Benefit of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Project (GERDP) for Sudan and Egypt. Discussion Paper. EIPSA Communicating Article: Energy, Water, Environment & Economic. Warner, J., & de Man, R. (2020). Powering hydro diplomacy: How a broader power palette can deepen our understanding of water conflict dynamics. Environmental Science & Policy, 114, 283–294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.08.015
  • Whittington, D., Waterbury, J., & Jeuland, M. (2014). The Grand Renaissance Dam and prospects for cooperation on the Eastern Nile. Water Policy, 16, 595–608.
  • Worku, M. G. (2024). Public diplomacy and Ethio-Egyptian relation; enhancing mutual understanding on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Cogent Social Sciences, 10(1).
  • Yacob, A. (2007). Ethiopia and the Nile Dilemmas of National and Regional Hydro-politics, Center for Security Studies, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich CTHZentrum SEI, Seilergraben 49, Switzerland.
  • Yildiz, D., Yildiz, D., and Gunes, M. (2016). Africa in Motion: Why the rush to build Grand Renaissance and Inga 3 Dams in Africa? International Advanced Research Journal in Science, Engineering and Technology, 3(9). Yohannes Woldemariam and Genevieve Donnellon (2024). May The politics of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Oxford Global Society, Climate diplomacy.
  • Yihdego, Z. (2020). Was USA Involvement in Blue Nile Dam Negotiations a Mediations or A Coercion and Intervention? Critical Legal Analysis and Conclusion Part IV. University of Aberdeen Scotland, Global Water Forum. Media Sources
  • EBC. (2020). Addis Dialogue: Interview with Sileshe Bekele (Dr.) GERD part two etv. In YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ErFdGjLgPTY
  • EBC. (2021). Addis Dialogue: Professor Brook Hailu Beshah on GERD, Sudan, Egypt and upcoming election. In YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiUfD61zHh0.
  • United Nations. (2021). Ethiopia on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) - Media Stakeout (8 July 2021). In YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqfPMFVZ4bk.
There are 35 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Security
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Melak Mehariw

Submission Date October 27, 2025
Acceptance Date December 25, 2025
Publication Date January 31, 2026
Published in Issue Year 2026 Volume: 1 Issue: 9

Cite

MLA Mehariw, Melak. “Beyond Egyptian’s Historical Narrative: The Completions of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and Its Hydro-Political Implications on the Nile Region”. International Journal of Water Management and Diplomacy, vol. 1, no. 9, Jan. 2026, pp. 27-45, https://izlik.org/JA42RP28KA.


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