Büyük Güçler Mücadelesi: Dünya Yeniden İkili Kutuplaşmaya mı Gidiyor?

Yıl 2024, Sayı: 15, 450 - 476, 31.12.2024

Harun Semercioğlu

https://doi.org/10.53791/imgelem.1566739

Öz

2020 yılındaki pandemiden sonra “Amerika Birleşik Devletleri (ABD) ve Çin Halk Cumhuriyeti (ÇHC) etrafında oluşan iki kutuplu bir uluslararası sistem yeniden ortaya çıkmaya başladı” tanımlamaları son zamanlarda akademik alanda artış göstermiştir. Bu makale ile “zamanımızın süper güçleri olan bu devletlerin mücadelesi, 2020 pandemisiyle yeniden şekillenen küresel düzende ortaya konulduğu gibi, Soğuk Savaş’ta olduğu üzere, yeniden ‘iki kutuplu bir dünya düzeni’ getirecektir” hipotezi test edilecektir. Bu bağlamda iki kutuplu dünya düzeninin kavramsal çerçevesi çizilecek, devamında iki ülkenin ulusal güç unsurları realist teori çerçevesinde araştırılacak ve sonuç bölümünde rekabetlerinin uluslararası sonuçları analiz edilecektir. Çalışmada nicel araştırma yöntemi kullanılarak gerekli veriler toplanmış ve bu veriler içerik analizi tekniği ile analiz edilmiştir. Sonuçta test edilen hipotezin doğruluğu tartışılarak bir değerlendirme yapılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Amerika Birleşik Devletleri, Çin Halk Cumhuriyeti, Büyük Güç, Rekabet, İki Kutuplu Dünya Düzeni.

Great Powers' Struggle: Is the World Heading Toward Bipolarity Again?

Öz

After the 2020 pandemic, there has been an increasing academic discourse describing the emergence of a new bipolar international system centered around the United States (US) and the People's Republic of China (PRC). This article aims to test the hypothesis that “the struggle between these superpowers, as seen in the reshaped global order following the 2020 pandemic, will once again bring about a ‘bipolar world order’ similar to that of the Cold War.” In this context, the conceptual framework of the bipolar world order will be outlined, followed by an analysis of the national power elements of the two countries within the framework of realist theory. The international implications of their competition will then be analyzed in the conclusion. A quantitative research method will be employed to collect the necessary data, which will be analyzed using content analysis techniques. Finally, the accuracy of the tested hypothesis will be discussed and evaluated.

Anahtar Kelimeler

United States of America, People’s Republic of China, Great Power, Rivalry, Bipolar World Order.

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