Avrupa Birliği Manzarasını Yeniden Şekillendirmek: Aşırı Sağ Hareketlerin Yükselişi ve Orta Doğu Politikası Üzerindeki Potansiyel Etkileri

Yıl 2024, Sayı: 15, 413 - 434, 31.12.2024

Zaoui Rabah

https://doi.org/10.53791/imgelem.1569427

Öz

Avrupa Birliği'nde aşırı sağ partilerin yükselişi, AB dış politikasında, özellikle Orta Doğu'ya yönelik olası değişimler konusunda endişelere yol açmıştır. Bu artış, AB'nin temel değerlerini zorlamakta ve diplomatik stratejilerini, yardım politikalarını ve bölgesel katılımını önemli ölçüde değiştirebilir. Analiz, AB kurumlarında aşırı sağ partilerin artan varlığından etkilenmesi muhtemel Orta Doğu politika alanlarına odaklanmaktadır. Bunlar arasında göç ve mülteci politikaları, AB'nin İsrail-Filistin çatışmasına yönelik tutumu, İran ile ilişkiler ve Orta Doğu barış süreçlerine katılım yer almaktadır. Çalışma ayrıca, Orta Doğu politikası oluşturulmasında AB karar alma organları içindeki potansiyel güç değişimlerini vurgulayarak durumun aciliyetini ortaya koymaktadır. Hipotezler, aşırı sağın artan etkisinin daha kısıtlayıcı göç politikalarına, İsrail yanlısı pozisyonlara, İran'a karşı çatışmacı bir yaklaşıma, Orta Doğu barış çabalarında AB'nin katılımının azalmasına ve bölgeye yönelik mali yardımın azalmasına yol açabileceğini öne sürmektedir. Araştırma ayrıca, AB üyesi ülkeler ile Orta Doğu ülkeleri arasında ikili ilişkilerin artma olasılığını da değerlendirmekte, bu durumun AB'nin ortak dış politikasını zayıflatabileceğini ve daha parçalı bir yaklaşıma yol açabileceğini belirtmektedir. Çalışma, aşırı sağın ana akımlaşmasının Avrupa siyaseti ve AB'nin Orta Doğu'daki rolü üzerindeki önemli etkisi nedeniyle bu olgunun inceliklerini anlamanın önemini vurgulamaktadır. Bu zorlukların ele alınması, AB'nin temel değerlerini ve karmaşık jeopolitik ortamlarda yön bulma yeteneğini korumak için çok önemlidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

AB, Aşırı Sağ Partiler, Potansiyel Etkiler, Orta Doğu Politikası.

Reshaping the European Union Landscape: The Rise of Far-Right Movements and Their Potential Impact on Middle East Policy

Öz

The rise of far-right parties within the European Union has raised significant concerns about potential shifts in EU foreign policy, particularly with regard to the Middle East. This development challenges the core values of the EU and has the potential to markedly reshape its diplomatic strategies, aid distribution, and regional engagement. This analysis examines key areas of Middle East policy likely to be influenced by the growing presence of far-right parties in EU institutions, including immigration and refugee policies, the EU's stance on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, relations with Iran, and involvement in peace processes in the region. Additionally, the study emphasizes potential shifts in power dynamics within EU decision-making bodies concerning Middle East policy, underscoring the urgency of the issue. The hypotheses suggest that the increased influence of far-right parties may result in more restrictive immigration policies, stronger pro-Israel positions, a more confrontational approach towards Iran, diminished EU involvement in Middle East peace initiatives, and a reduction in regional financial aid. The research also explores the likelihood of greater bilateral engagement between individual EU member states and Middle Eastern countries, which could weaken the EU's common foreign policy and lead to a more fragmented regional strategy. This study highlights the critical importance of understanding the complexities of this phenomenon, as the mainstreaming of far-right ideologies has profound implications for European politics and the EU’s role in the Middle East. Addressing these challenges is essential for safeguarding the EU’s foundational values and maintaining its ability to navigate intricate geopolitical landscapes.

Anahtar Kelimeler

EU, Far-Right parties, Potential Effects, Middle East Policy.

Kaynakça

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