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Çin'in Merkezi Asya'daki Ekonomik Etkisinin Analizi: Kırgızistan ve Tacikistan Örneğiyle Bir İnceleme

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 4, 171 - 191, 09.12.2024

Öz

Çin'in Orta Asya›da, özellikle de Kırgızistan ve Tacikistan gibi ekonomik açıdan dezavantajlı ülkelerde artan etkisi derinlemesine analiz gerektiren çok yönlü bir olgu olarak ortaya çıkmıştır. Bu makale, Çin›in bu iki Orta Asya ülkesindeki angajmanının etkisini incelemekte ve bu kapsamda Çin›in kullandığı kalkınma yardımı ve Kuşak ve Yol Girişimi (BRI) gibi araçlara ışık tutmaktadır. Yaşadıkları ekonomik zorluklara rağmen Kırgızistan ve Tacikistan; hibeler, imtiyazlı krediler ve altyapı projeleri aracılığıyla sosyoekonomik görünümlerini yeniden şekillendiren Çin yardımının önde gelen alıcıları haline gelmiştir. Çin›in bu ülkelerdeki yardım angajmanının temelinde Kırgızistan ve Tacikistan›ı Çin›in bölgesel bağlantı arayışında önemli düğüm noktaları olarak konumlandıran iddialı Kuşak ve Yol Girişimi yatmaktadır. Kırgızistan ve Tacikistan, Çin ile ilişkilerini sürdürürken, Orta Asya›da gelişen jeopolitik dinamikler ortasında ulusal çıkarlarını koruyarak, ekonomik fırsatlardan yararlanma gibi hassas bir görevle karşı karşıyadırlar. Bu makale, Çin›in kalkınma yardımı ve Kuşak ve Yol Girişimi yoluyla Kırgızistan ve Tacikistan›daki etkisini incelemeyi ve bu ilişkinin ortaya çıkardığı zorlukları ve fırsatları aydınlatmayı amaçlamaktadır.

Kaynakça

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Unraveling China’s Aid Strategy Towards Central Asian Countries: The Case of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 4, 171 - 191, 09.12.2024

Öz

China’s burgeoning influence in Central Asia, particularly in economically disadvantaged nations like Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, presents a multifaceted phenomenon deserving of deeper analysis. This article delves into the impact of Chinese involvement in these two Central Asian countries, shedding light on the instruments employed by China, such as development aid and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Despite their economic challenges, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have emerged as key recipients of Chinese aid, receiving grants, concessional loans, and infrastructure projects that have reshaped their socio-economic landscapes. At the heart of China’s engagement lies the ambitious Belt and Road Initiative, which has positioned Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan as pivotal nodes in China’s quest for regional connectivity. As Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan navigate their relationship with China, they face the delicate task of leveraging economic opportunities while safeguarding their national interests amidst evolving geopolitical dynamics in Central Asia. This article aims to analyze Chinese influence through development aid and the BRI in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, illuminating both the opportunities and challenges of this relationship.

Etik Beyan

This article is an expanded version of the paper titled “the Impact Analysis of Chinese Aid to Central Asia”, which was presented at “International Congress on Changing Geopolitics of Central Asia and Caucasus: Challenges and Prospects” organized by Arel USAM on 17-18 Haz 2023 in İstanbul.

Kaynakça

  • Abduvaliev, M., & Bustillo, R. (2020). Patterns of official development assistance in Tajikistan: Effects on growth and poverty reduction. Redalyc. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from https://www.redalyc.org/journal/358/35863121005/html/
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  • Feng, Yujun (2020). 中国与中亚国家的关系: 现状与趋势 (Relations between China and Central Asian countries: Present situation and trend). Retrieved April 17, 2023, from https://www.thepaper.cn/newsDetail_forward_5524433
  • Heiduk, F., & Wacker, G. (2020). From Asia-Pacific to Indo-Pacific: Significance, implementation, and challenges. SWP Berlin. Retrieved from https://www.swp-berlin.org/10.18449/2020RP09/#hd- d24373e2496
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  • Herlevi, A. A., & Waidelich, B. (2024, May). The East and South China Seas: One sea, near seas, whose seas? War on the Rocks. Retrieved from https://warontherocks.com/2024/05/the-east-and- south-china-seas-one-sea-near-seas-whose-seas/
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  • Huang, Meibo & Tang, Luping (2013). 南南合作与中国对外援助 (South-South cooperation and China’s foreign aid). 国际经济合作 (Journal of International Economic Cooperation), (5), 66–71.
  • Hung, M.-T., & Liu, H.-C. (2011). 中国对中亚外交政策的分析 (An analysis of China’s foreign policy in Central Asia). 全球政治评论 (Review of Global Politics), (33). Retrieved May 23, 2023, from https://gioip.nchu.edu.tw/File/Userfiles/0000000034/files/%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%89%E5%8D%81%E4%B8%89%E6%9C%9F-%E6%B4%AA%E9%8A%98%E5%BE%B7.pdf
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  • Jarosiewicz, A., & Strachota, K. (2013, October). China vs. Central Asia: The achievements of the past two decades. OSW Studies, (45), 64–68. Warsaw.
  • Johnston, L. A., & Rudyak, M. (2018). 中国创新务实的对外援助: 从全球化塑造到重塑全球化 (Innovative and pragmatic Chinese foreign aid: From shaping globalization to reshaping globalization). In L. Song, R. Garnaut, C. Fang, & L. Johnston (Eds.), China’s new sources of economic growth: Human capital, innovation and technological change (Vol. 2, pp. 413–433). Social Sciences Academic Press.
  • Jones, I. (2023). Perceptions of Chinese investments in Kyrgyzstan. In A. Mihr, P. Sorbello, & B. Weiffen (Eds.), Securitization and democracy in Eurasia (pp. 307). Springer.
  • Kassenova, N. (2022). How China’s foreign aid fosters social bonds with Central Asian ruling elites. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/12/07/how-china-s-foreign-aid-fosters-social-bonds-with-central-asian-ruling-elites-pub-88579
  • Kuzmina, E. (2019). Борьба за инвестиции и серый импорт: Отношения Кыргызстана и Китая (Struggle for investments and gray imports: Relations between Kyrgyzstan and China). Retrieved April 6, 2024, from https://eurasia.expert/investitsii-i-seryy-import-otnosheniya-kyrgyzstana-i-kitaya/
  • Lengauer, S. (2011). China’s foreign aid policy: Motive and method. Culture Mandala: Bulletin of the Centre for East-West Cultural & Economic Studies, 9(2), 35–81. Retrieved May 22, 2023, from https://oa.mg/work/170024562
  • Lauren Johnston, & Marina Rudyak. (2018). China’s ‘innovative and pragmatic’ foreign aid:Shaped by and now shaping globalization. In L. Song, R. Garnaut, C. Fang, & L. Johnston (Eds.), China’s new sources of economic growth (Vol. 2). ANU Press. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt1trkk3v.26
  • Li, Hongqiang & Wang, Limao (2009). 中亚能源地缘政治格局演进: 中国力量的变化, 影响与对策 (Evolution processes of energy geopolitical pattern in Central Asia: Changes and impacts of China’s power and its countermeasures). 资源科学 (Resources Science), 31(10), 2009. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from http://sourcedb.igsnrr.cas.cn/zw/lw/201003/P020100324482684126331.pdf
  • Li, Xiaoyun (2019). China’s foreign aid and aid to Africa: Overview. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from http://aaun.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/AAUN-China-Aid-to-Africa.pdf
  • Lillis, J. (2022, May 25). Uzbekistan: China comes bearing gifts. Eurasianet. Retrieved May 22, 2023, from https://eurasianet.org/uzbekistan-china-comes-bearing-gifts
  • Luo, Zhaohui (2021, July 5). 七十年援外路 五大洲风雨情 [Seventy years of foreign aid: Five continents in wind and rain]. 人民日报 (People’s Daily). Retrieved May 22, 2023, from http://world.people.com.cn/n1/2021/0705/c1002-32148239.html
  • Maniyar, J. (2022). The assertiveness of Chinese foreign policy under Xi Jinping. Retrieved from https://www.ipcircle.org/op-eds/the-assertiveness-of-chinese-foreign-policy-under-xi-jinping
  • Mariani, B. (2013, October). China’s role and interests in Central Asia. Briefing, SAFERWORLD. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/172938/chinas-role-and-interests-in- central-asia.pdf
  • Morgenthau, H. (1967). Politics among nations. Alfred A. Knopf.
  • Najibullah, F. (2019, October 4). Silver lining? Tajikistan defends controversial decision to give mine to China. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from https://www.rferl.org/a/silver-lining-tajikistan-defends-controversial-decision-to-give-mine-to-china/30199786.html
  • Owens, M. (2023). Estimating the Xi effect: How Chinese aid affects economic and political institutions. Digital Commons, Ursinus College. Retrieved from https://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1056&context=bus_econ_hon
  • Putz, C. (2020, February). Kyrgyz-Chinese joint venture scrapped after protests. The Diplomat. Retrieved April 5, 2024, from https://thediplomat.com/2020/02/kyrgyz-chinese-joint-venture- scrapped-after-protests/
  • Schulz, D. (2022, February). China-Kyrgyzstan relations. Caspian Policy Center. Retrieved from https://www.caspianpolicy.org/research/security-and-politics-program-spp/china-kyrgyzstan- relations
  • Shamiev, S. (2020). China’s policy of political and lending conditionality: Is there a “debt-trap diplomacy” in Central Asia? In China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Central Asia: Ambitions, risks and realities (Special Issue 2, pp. 76–84). OSCE Academy in Bishkek.
  • Shi, J. (2013). 中国对中亚援助状况分析--以中国援助中亚国家重点项目为例 (Evaluation of China’s aid to Central Asia: With key Chinese aid projects as examples). Retrieved April 19, 2023, from http://ems86.com/touzi/html/?18488.html
  • Shih, G.-C. (2007). 從「大國外交」到「和諧世界」-中共外交戰略之轉變 (From “big-power diplomacy” to “harmonious world” - The transformation of China’s foreign strategy). 展望與探索 (Prospect & Exploration), 5(1), 8–12.
  • Stanzel, V. (2016). Danger on the high seas: The East Asian security challenge. Policy Brief. European Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved from https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/195938/Danger_on_the_High_Seas_An_East_Asian_Security_Challenge.pdf
  • State Council Information Office of the People's Republic of China. (2011). 中国的对外援助白皮书 (White paper on China's foreign aid). Beijing: 人民出版社.
  • State Council Information Office of the People's Republic of China. (2014). 中国的对外援助白皮书 (White paper on China's foreign aid). Beijing: 人民出版社.
  • State Council Information Office of the People's Republic of China. (2021). 新时代的中国国际发展合作白皮书 (White paper on China's international development cooperation in the new era). Retrieved from https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2021-01/10/content_5578617.htm
  • Su, Ruixue (2019). 习近平对外援助理论与中国对外援助实践 (Xi Jinping's theory of foreign aid and China's foreign aid practices). Retrieved from https://www.ecdc.net.cn/new/zjwz/3884.html
  • Sutch, P., & Elias, J. (2007). International relations: The basics. Routledge.
  • Takaaki, K. (2008). Evolution of China’s aid policy. JBIC Working Paper, (27). Retrieved May 22, 2023, from
  • https://www.jica.go.jp/jica-ri/IFIC_and_JBICIStudies/jicari/english/publication/archives/jbic/report/working/pdf/wp27_e.pdf
  • Tang, Xiaosong (2018). 论中国对中亚国家的公共外交 (China's public diplomacy towards Central Asian countries). 教学与研究 (Teaching and Research), 2018(2), 50–57.
  • Van der Kley, D. (2020). China diversifies in Central Asia. Eurasianet. Retrieved May 20, 2023, from https://eurasianet.org/china-diversifies-in-central-asia
  • Van der Kley, D., & Yau, N. (2021). How Central Asians pushed Chinese firms to localize. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Retrieved April 6, 2024, from https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/10/15/how-central-asians-pushed-chinese-firms-to-localize-pub-85561
  • Viotti, P., & Kauppi, M. V. (2013). International relations and world politics. Pearson.
  • Waltz, K. (1959). Man, the state, and war. Columbia University Press.
  • Wang, L. (2020). China and the United States in Africa: Cooperation or competition? China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies, 6(1). Retrieved May 22, 2023, from https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/epdf/10.1142/S2377740020500037
  • Wang, P., & Zhang, Mengchen (2019). 中国国际合作发展事业70年 (China’s international development cooperation course at seventy). Retrieved May 22, 2023, from http://www.ecdc.net.cn/new/zjwz/3928.html
  • Wendt, A. (1999). Social theory of international politics. Cambridge University Press.
  • Xi, J. (2023). Working together for a China-Central Asia community with a shared future featuring mutual assistance, common development, universal security, and everlasting friendship. Keynote Speech at the China-Central Asia Summit. Retrieved May 23, 2023, from http://ee.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zgyw/202305/t20230519_11079941.htm
  • Xinhuanet. (2021, January 15). 创设五年,亚投行的这份成绩单令人瞩目 (After five years of establishment, the performance record of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is remarkable). Retrieved from http://www.news.cn/fortune/2021-01/15/c_1126988301.htm
  • Xu, Hongcai (2016). Introduction of China’s foreign aid policy. Retrieved from https://www.cciee.org.cn/UserFile/201622146.pdf
  • Xu, Xiaohong (2015). 中国对外经济援助: 历程,特色与反思 (China’s foreign economic assistance: Historic course, features and reflection). Retrieved May 22, 2023, from http://comment.cfisnet.com/2015/0206/1300623.html
  • Xie, T. (2017). Chinese foreign policy with Xi Jinping characteristics. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Retrieved from https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2018/01/chinese- foreign-policy-with-xi-jinping-characteristics?lang=en
  • Yang, Jiechi (2017, July 17). Study and implement General Secretary Xi Jinping’s thought on diplomacy in a deep-going way and keep writing new chapters of major-country diplomacy with distinctive Chinese features. Xinhua. Retrieved May 19, 2024, from http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-07/19/c_136456009.htm
  • Yuan, J.D., Su, F., & Ouyang, X. (2023). China’s evolving approach to foreign aid. SIPRI Policy Paper. Retrieved May 22, 2023, from https://www.sipri.org/publications/2022/sipri-policy- papers/chinas-evolving-approach-foreign-aid
  • Yuan, S. (2023). Tracing China’s diplomatic transition to wolf warrior diplomacy and its implications. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10(1), 837. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599- 023-02367-6
  • Yuan, Shengyu., & Wang, Weimin (2015). 丝绸之路经济带与中国的中亚政策 (The Silk Road Economic Belt and China's Central Asia policy). 世界经济与政治 (World Economics and Politics), 5, 197–201.
  • Yuan, J. (2023). Tracing China’s diplomatic transition to wolf warrior diplomacy and its implications. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10(1), 837. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599- 023-02367-6
  • https://asiaplustj.info/en/news/tajikistan/power/20200131/construction-of-new-building-of-tajik-parliament-and-government-will-start-in-the-near-future
  • http://en.cidca.gov.cn/2018-08/09/c_261159.htm
  • https://www.aei.org/china-global-investment-tracker/
Toplam 70 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Siyaset Bilimi (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Rahman Nurdun 0009-0009-1677-5226

Yayımlanma Tarihi 9 Aralık 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 16 Nisan 2024
Kabul Tarihi 9 Eylül 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 14 Sayı: 4

Kaynak Göster

APA Nurdun, R. (2024). Unraveling China’s Aid Strategy Towards Central Asian Countries: The Case of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. İnsan Ve Toplum, 14(4), 171-191.