ÜÇÜNCÜ NESİL KRİZ TEORİLERİ VE 1997/8 ASYA KRİZİ

Abstract

Kriz teorileri bakımından 1997/8 Asya krizi fenomeni bir dönüm noktasıdır. Asya krizi hem gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerde 1929 krizinden bu yana tecrübe edilen en büyük kriz vakası ve hem de geleneksel kriz teorilerince izah edilememektedir. Krizin vuku bulacağını arafesi yılda bile kimse tahmin etmemiştir. Bu karakterleri sebebiyle Asya krizi kriz literatüründe yeni perspektiflere ihtiyacı kuvvetlendirmiş ve bu yönde arayışları tetiklemiştir. Üçüncü nesil kriz teorileri sözkonusu yeni yaklaşım ihtiyaç ve arayışlarının ürünü olup kısaca Asya krizi akabinde ortaya çıkıp kuvvetlenen ve bu fenomeni izah etmeyi hedefleyen teoriler olarak ifade edilebilir. Makalemizde üçüncü nesil kriz teorileri üzerine odaklanılmaktadır. Birinci kısımda genel olarak üçüncü nesil kriz teorilerinin çerçevesi üzerinde durulmuştur. İkinci kısımda 1997/8 Asya krizini 1. ve 2. nesil kriz teorilerinin niçin açıklayamamakta olduğu ele alınmıştır. Üçüncü kısımda üçüncü nesil kriz teorileri tasnif edilmesine çalışılmıştır. Dördüncü kısımda üçüncü nesil kriz teorilerinin ortak temel özelliklerine yer verilmiştir. Beşinci kısım ise ulaşılan bazı sonuçları içermektedir.

Keywords

• Bankacılık paniği, Uluslararası illikidite, Üçüncü nesil kriz teorileri, Blanço kötüleşmesi, Ahlakî tehlike, Finansal kriz, Finansal kırılganlık, 1

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