TÜRKİYE’DE SEKTÖREL İSTİHDAM VE BÖLGESEL KALKINMA İLİŞKİSİ: SHIFT – SHARE (DEĞİŞİM PAYI) ANALİZİ

Yıl 2013, Cilt: 63 Sayı: 2, 0 - , 02.06.2014

Merter Akıncı Ömer Yılmaz

Öz

Bölgesel kalkınma bağlamında, bölgelerin istihdam potansiyelinden yeterli
pay alabilme durumları kadar, güçlü sektörlerde istihdamı çekebilmeleri
de büyük önem taşımaktadır. İstihdamın sektörel dağılımdaki değişmeler
ise zamanla önemli farklılıkları yansıtabilmektedir. Bu çalışmada, sektörler
arasındaki istihdamın bölgesel kalkınma süreci üzerindeki etkilerini 26 alt
bölge için 2004 – 2011 döneminde belirleyebilmek amacıyla geleneksel shift
– share analizi kullanılmıştır. Üç ana sektör düzeyinde yapılan analiz sonuçları,
Marmara ve Ege bölgelerinde bulunan alt bölgelerin kalkınma süreçlerinin
en yüksek olduğunu göstermiştir. İlaveten, Marmara ve Ege bölgelerini
takiben Orta ve Güney Anadolu bölgelerinin de önemli kalkınma süreci
gösterdikleri tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca, ilgili dönemde en kötü performansın
Kuzeydoğu ve Doğu Anadolu bölgeleri tarafından sergilendiği söylenebilir.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Sektörel İstihdam, Bölgesel Kalkınma, Shift –
Share Analizi
JEL Sınıflandırması: C10, E24, R11, R12
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SECTORAL EMPLOYMENT AND
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN TURKEY: SHIFT – SHARE ANALYSIS
ABSTRACT
In the context of regional development, besides taking enough shares from
employment potential, attracting the employment in the powerful sectors is
also important. The changes in the sectoral distribution of employment can
also show important differences in the course of time. Therefore in this study,
traditional shift – share analysis is used in order to determine the effects
of inter-sectoral employment on regional development process for 26 sub

regions in the period of 2004 – 2011. The results of the analysis applied for
three main sectors level indicate that the development process is the highest
in the sub-regions located in Marmara and Aegean regions. In addition, it is
found that following the Marmara and Aegean regions, Central and South
Anatolia regions have shown important development process, either. Also,
it can be said that the worst performance have introduced by Northeast and
East Anatolia regions in the mentioned period.
Keywords: Sectoral Employment, Regional Development, Shift –
Share Analysis
JEL Classification: C10, E24, R11, R12

Anahtar Kelimeler

Sektörel İstihdam, Bölgesel Kalkınma, Shift – Share Analizi

Kaynakça

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