Matematiksel Epidemiyoloji: Pandemik A/H1N1 Gribi Vakası

Yıl 2009, Cilt: 38 Sayı: 2, 197 - 209, 22.12.2008

Eyüp Çetin , Barış Kiremitci İrem Yurt

Öz

İnsanlığın yüzyıllardır mücadele ettiği epidemik hastalıkların tanımlanması, modellenmesi, davranışlarının tahmin edilmesi, kontrol ve tedavi edilmesinde matematiksel ve sayısal
bilimler değerli katkılarda bulunmaktadırlar. Bu çalışmada, matematiksel epidemiyoloji bir alt disiplin olarak ele alınmış, açıklayıcı bir uygulama verilmiştir. Epidemiklerin ekonomi ve iş dünyası üzerindeki etkileri ile bazı senaryolar verilmiştir. Mevcut A/H1N1 pandemiğine ilişkin bazı matematiksel modeller ve katkıları ele alınarak tartışılmıştır. Sayısal bilimcilerle sağlık bilimcileri arasındaki işbirliklerine dikkat çekilerek bir sinerji oluşturmanın önemine değinilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Epidemiyoloji, matematiksel model, pandemik, ekonomik etkiler, domuz gribi, A/H1N1, Türkiye

Mathematical Epidemiology: Pandemic A/H1N1 Case

Öz

Mathematicians and quantitative analysts make valuable contributions to epidemics with that humanity handles during the centuries in defining, modeling, estimating the behaviour, controling and treating of epidemic diseases. In this study, it is considered mathematical epidemiology as a sub-discipline and given a descriptive application. This effort gives some impacts of epidemics on economics and business and some possible scenarios. It is discussed some mathematical models and their contributions regarding the current A/H1N1 pandemics. This paper highlightes the importance of synergy stemming from the cooperations of quantitative and health scientists. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Epidemiology, mathematical model, pandemics, economics impacts, swine flu, A/H1N, Turkey

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