BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

A Multifactor Pricing Model For Cat Bonds In The Secondary Market

Yıl 2014, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 247 - 258, 01.06.2014

Öz

Given the relevance that Cat Bonds are taking in the financial markets, as well as their appeal for different types of investors, it becomes pertinent to understand the price dynamics of these securities in the secondary market. Several authors have developed and proposed different valuation approaches, focusing on the probability of occurrence of catastrophic events, as the main variable impacting the pricing of Cat bonds in the secondary market. However, the lack of inclusion of other factors considered relevant for investors, narrows the range of pricing driver’s of Cat Bonds. This paper seeks to address the former need, presenting a panel data approach of a multifactor spread model, which comprehends 5 relevant variables. The results proved an adequate fitness and show that the model can be applied to both the P&C and, the Life market.

Kaynakça

  •  Aon Benfield. (2014), “The Aon Benfield Aggregate. Results for the year ended December 31, 2013”, available at: https://www.abconnect.aonbenfield.com/ABConnect/Pages/MarketReView/Mar ketReView.aspx?bc=25 (accessed June 2014).
  •  Baryshnikov Y., Mayo A. and Taylor, D. R. (2011), Pricing of CAT Bonds, Statistical Tools for Finance and Insurance, Vol. 1, pp. 371-391.
  •  Bodoff, N. M., and Gan, Y. (2009), An analysis of the market price of Cat Bonds, Casualty Actuarial Society E-Forum. Spring, 2009
  •  Braun, Alexander. (2012), Pricing in the primary market for cat bonds: new empirical evidence, Working papers on risk management and insurance, Vol. 116.  Cox, S. H., and Pedersen, H. W. (2000), Catastrophe risk bonds, North American Actuarial Journal, Vol 4, No.4, pp. 56-82.
  •  Cummins, J. D. (2008), CAT bonds and other risk-linked securities: State of the market and recent developments, Risk Management and Insurance Review, Vol. 11, pp. 23-47.
  •  Cummins, J. David, & Weiss, M. A. (2009), Convergence of Insurance and Financial Markets: Hybrid and Securitized Risk‐Transfer Solutions, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 493-545.
  •  Dieckmann, S. (2008), By force of nature: explaining the yield spread on catastrophe bonds, Working Paper, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
  •  Galeotti, M., Guertler, M., and Winkelvos, C. (2013), Accuracy of Premium Calculation Models for Cat Bonds – An Empirical Analysis, Journal of Risk and Insurance, forthcoming.
  •  Gomez, L. and Carcamo, U. (2014), Multifactor Spread Model for Cat Bonds in the Primary Market. Manuscript sumbitted for publication.
  •  Gürtler, M.; Hibbeln, M. and Winkelvos, C. (2012), The impact of the financial crisis and natural catastrophes on CAT bonds, Working Papers, Institut für Finanzwirtschaft, Technische Universität Braunschweig, No.IF40V1.
  •  Guy Carpenter. (2013), “Capital Stewardship: Charting the course to profitable growth.”, available at: http://www.guycarp.com/content/dam/guycarp/en/documents/dynamiccontent/Mid-Year-Market-Overview-Sept-2013.pdf (accessed January, 2014).
  •  Jin-Ping, and Min-Teh (2002), Pricing Default-Risky Cat Bonds with Moral Hazard and Basis Risk, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 69 No.1 pp. 25-44.
  •  Lane Financial LLC. (2013), Soft Markets Ahead? Annual Review for the Four Quarters, Q2 2012 to Q1 2013. Publications, available at: http://www.lanefinancialllc.com/index.php?searchword=2006&option=com_sear ch&Itemid= (accessed March, 2014).
  •  Lane Financial LLC. (2013), Trade Notes. Annual Review for the four quarters, Q2 2012 to Q1 2013. Publication available at : http://www.lanefinancialllc.com/index.php?option=com_search&Itemid=999999 99&searchword=lane&searchphrase=any&ordering=newest&limit=30&limitstart =65 (accessed March 2014).
  •  Lane, M., & Mahul, O. (2008), Catastrophe risk pricing: an empirical analysis, World Bank publications, available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/6900/WPS4765. pdf?sequence=1 (accessed 20 December 2014)
  •  Loubergé et al. (1999), Using Catastrophe-Linked Securities to Diversify Insurance Risk: A Financial Analysis of Cat Bonds, Journal of insurance issues, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp.125-146.
  •  Tao, Z. (2011), Zero-Beta Characteristic of CAT Bonds, BIFE '11 Proceedings of the 2011 Fourth International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering, pp. 641-644.
Yıl 2014, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 247 - 258, 01.06.2014

Öz

Kaynakça

  •  Aon Benfield. (2014), “The Aon Benfield Aggregate. Results for the year ended December 31, 2013”, available at: https://www.abconnect.aonbenfield.com/ABConnect/Pages/MarketReView/Mar ketReView.aspx?bc=25 (accessed June 2014).
  •  Baryshnikov Y., Mayo A. and Taylor, D. R. (2011), Pricing of CAT Bonds, Statistical Tools for Finance and Insurance, Vol. 1, pp. 371-391.
  •  Bodoff, N. M., and Gan, Y. (2009), An analysis of the market price of Cat Bonds, Casualty Actuarial Society E-Forum. Spring, 2009
  •  Braun, Alexander. (2012), Pricing in the primary market for cat bonds: new empirical evidence, Working papers on risk management and insurance, Vol. 116.  Cox, S. H., and Pedersen, H. W. (2000), Catastrophe risk bonds, North American Actuarial Journal, Vol 4, No.4, pp. 56-82.
  •  Cummins, J. D. (2008), CAT bonds and other risk-linked securities: State of the market and recent developments, Risk Management and Insurance Review, Vol. 11, pp. 23-47.
  •  Cummins, J. David, & Weiss, M. A. (2009), Convergence of Insurance and Financial Markets: Hybrid and Securitized Risk‐Transfer Solutions, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 493-545.
  •  Dieckmann, S. (2008), By force of nature: explaining the yield spread on catastrophe bonds, Working Paper, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
  •  Galeotti, M., Guertler, M., and Winkelvos, C. (2013), Accuracy of Premium Calculation Models for Cat Bonds – An Empirical Analysis, Journal of Risk and Insurance, forthcoming.
  •  Gomez, L. and Carcamo, U. (2014), Multifactor Spread Model for Cat Bonds in the Primary Market. Manuscript sumbitted for publication.
  •  Gürtler, M.; Hibbeln, M. and Winkelvos, C. (2012), The impact of the financial crisis and natural catastrophes on CAT bonds, Working Papers, Institut für Finanzwirtschaft, Technische Universität Braunschweig, No.IF40V1.
  •  Guy Carpenter. (2013), “Capital Stewardship: Charting the course to profitable growth.”, available at: http://www.guycarp.com/content/dam/guycarp/en/documents/dynamiccontent/Mid-Year-Market-Overview-Sept-2013.pdf (accessed January, 2014).
  •  Jin-Ping, and Min-Teh (2002), Pricing Default-Risky Cat Bonds with Moral Hazard and Basis Risk, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 69 No.1 pp. 25-44.
  •  Lane Financial LLC. (2013), Soft Markets Ahead? Annual Review for the Four Quarters, Q2 2012 to Q1 2013. Publications, available at: http://www.lanefinancialllc.com/index.php?searchword=2006&option=com_sear ch&Itemid= (accessed March, 2014).
  •  Lane Financial LLC. (2013), Trade Notes. Annual Review for the four quarters, Q2 2012 to Q1 2013. Publication available at : http://www.lanefinancialllc.com/index.php?option=com_search&Itemid=999999 99&searchword=lane&searchphrase=any&ordering=newest&limit=30&limitstart =65 (accessed March 2014).
  •  Lane, M., & Mahul, O. (2008), Catastrophe risk pricing: an empirical analysis, World Bank publications, available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/6900/WPS4765. pdf?sequence=1 (accessed 20 December 2014)
  •  Loubergé et al. (1999), Using Catastrophe-Linked Securities to Diversify Insurance Risk: A Financial Analysis of Cat Bonds, Journal of insurance issues, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp.125-146.
  •  Tao, Z. (2011), Zero-Beta Characteristic of CAT Bonds, BIFE '11 Proceedings of the 2011 Fourth International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering, pp. 641-644.
Toplam 17 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Bölüm Articles
Yazarlar

Laura Gomez Bu kişi benim

Ulises Carcamo Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Haziran 2014
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2014 Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Gomez, L., & Carcamo, U. (2014). A Multifactor Pricing Model For Cat Bonds In The Secondary Market. Journal of Business Economics and Finance, 3(2), 247-258.

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