jpepfm Journal of Public Economy and Public Financıal Management 2822-3187 Akademik Çalışmalar Derneği 10.71284/jpepfm.2026616 Policy of Treasury Political Economy Public Finance Maliye Politikası Politik Ekonomi Kamu Maliyesi BAĞIMLILIK İÇİNDE AYRIŞMA: KARŞILIKLI BAĞIMLILIK, TİCARET SAVAŞLARI VE KAMU MALİYESİNİN STRATEJİK DÖNÜŞÜMÜ DECOUPLING WITHIN INTERDEPENDENCE: TRADE WARS AND THE STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATION OF PUBLIC FINANCE https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9049-4264 Özayrancı Yunus Emre DOKUZ EYLÜL ÜNİVERSİTESİ 03 23 2026 6 1 85 100 02 17 2026 03 13 2026 Copyright © 2021, Kamu Ekonomisi ve Kamu Mali Yönetimi Dergisi 2021 Kamu Ekonomisi ve Kamu Mali Yönetimi Dergisi

Bu çalışma, küresel ekonomide artan ticaret savaşlarını kapitalizmin tarihsel gelişimi içinde analiz ederek, karşılıklı bağımlılık ile ayrışma arasındaki diyalektik ilişkiyi kamu maliyesi perspektifinden incelemektedir. Literatürde ticaret savaşları çoğunlukla dış ticaret politikaları ve güç dengesi bağlamında ele alınırken, bu çalışma söz konusu çatışmaların mali ve kurumsal boyutlarını merkeze almaktadır. Araştırmanın temel sorusu, ticaret savaşlarının kapitalizmin evrimi içinde hangi mali araçlar aracılığıyla yeniden üretildiği ve kamu maliyesinin bu süreçte nasıl stratejik bir işlev üstlendiğidir. Yöntem olarak tarihsel-karşılaştırmalı analiz ve ekonomi politik yaklaşımı benimsenmiştir. Merkantilist rekabetten Bretton Woods düzenine, neoliberal küreselleşmeden ABD–Çin ticaret savaşına uzanan süreç incelenmiştir. Bulgular, ticaret savaşlarının yalnızca gümrük tarifeleriyle sınırlı olmadığını; kamu harcamaları, sübvansiyonlar, borçlanma politikaları ve sanayi teşvikleri gibi mali enstrümanlar aracılığıyla kurumsal bir nitelik kazandığını göstermektedir. Çalışma, karşılıklı bağımlılığın ortadan kalkmadığını; aksine kamu maliyesi araçları üzerinden yeniden biçimlendirildiğini ortaya koymakta ve kamu maliyesinin küresel ayrışma süreçlerinde artan ölçüde stratejik bir politika alanı olarak konumlandığını analiz etmektedir.

This study analyzes the increasing trade wars in the global economy within the historical evolution of capitalism, examining the dialectical relationship between interdependence and separation from a public finance perspective. While the existing literature primarily addresses trade wars in terms of trade policy instruments and power politics, this study centers on their fiscal and institutional dimensions. The main research question investigates through which fiscal instruments trade wars are reproduced across different phases of capitalism and how public finance assumes a strategic function in this process. Methodologically, the study adopts a historical-comparative analysis grounded in political economy. It traces the transformation of trade conflicts from mercantilist rivalry to the Bretton Woods order, from neoliberal globalization to the contemporary U.S.–China trade war. The findings indicate that trade wars extend beyond tariff measures and acquire an institutional character through fiscal instruments such as public expenditures, subsidies, borrowing policies, and industrial incentives. The study further demonstrates that interdependence has not disappeared; rather, it has been reconfigured through public finance instruments, positioning public finance as an increasingly strategic policy domain in contemporary processes of global separation.

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