Israel and the US are currently balancing against Iran because both perceive a nucleararmed Iran as a threat to regional and world security. But does balancing really work? Does it reduce threat and provide security? I will use Stephan M. Walt’s “Balance of Threat” theory to address these questions. In addition to Walt’s theory, I assume that perceiving a state’s intention s as aggressive is decisive for that state being perceived as a threat. I hypothesise that balancing fails and likely backfires in that it exacerbates the security dilemma and reinforces the threat perceived by the balancing states Israel und the US . The use of balancing strategies in the current Iranian nuclear crisis would be futile and, if anything, would only strengthen the belief in Tehran that Iranian nuclear weapons are a necessary means of deterrence and self-defence
Cuban missile crisis “balance of threat”-theory balancing perception and misperception Iranin nuclear crisis Stephen M. Walt.
Birincil Dil | İngilizce |
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Bölüm | Articles |
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Yayımlanma Tarihi | 1 Temmuz 2014 |
Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2014 Cilt: 19 Sayı: 2 |