Research Article

Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks

Volume: 4 Number: 3 October 31, 2024

Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks

Abstract

Electricity is one of the most important elements for economic growth and development of societies in today’s modern societies. The research of electricity generation, knowing the size of the electricity supply, and the methods developed to meet this supply are among the important subjects of study today. With the increase in electricity supply and the increasing importance of environmental pollution, the use of renewable energy sources in electricity generation is increasing. In this study, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), a type of recurrent neural network, is used to predict the energy production in a hydroelectric power plant. The LSTM method is one of the most popular recurrent neural network methods and is widely used in the field of deep learning. The graphical and numerical results obtained at the end of the study show the success and efficiency of the LSTM method. Ct represents the updated cell state. With ft, forgotten information is removed, with it, new information is added. In the last step, the output layer is obtained by using the equations given below.

Keywords

References

  1. 1. E. F. Moran, M. C. Lopez, N. Moore, N. Müller, and D. W. Hyndman, “Sustainable hydropower in the 21st century,” Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. U. S. A., vol. 115, no. 47, pp. 11891–11898, 2018.
  2. 2. R. Uddin, A. J. Shaikh, H. R. Khan, M. A. Shirazi, A. Rashid, and S. A. Qazi, “Renewable energy perspectives of Pakistan and Turkey: Current analy- sis and policy recommendations,” Sustainability, vol. 13, no. 6, p. 3349, 2021.
  3. 3. D. Bin, “Discussion on the development direction of hydropower in China,” Clean Energy, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 10–18, 2021.
  4. 4. G. Shahgholian, M. Moazzami, S. M. Zanjani, A. Mosavi, and A. Fathol- lahi, “A hydroelectric power plant brief: Classification and application of artificial intelligence,” in 17th International Symposium on Applied Computational Intelligence and Informatics (SACI), May 2023. IEEE Publications, 2023, pp. 000141–000146.
  5. 5. S. K. Ahmad, and F. Hossain, “Maximizing energy production from hydropower dams using short-term weather forecasts,” Renew. Energy, vol. 146, pp. 1560–1577, 2020.
  6. 6. S. Camal, F. Teng, A. Michiorri, G. Kariniotakis, and L. Badesa, “Scenario generation of aggregated Wind, Photovoltaics and small Hydro production for power systems applications,” Appl. Energy, vol. 242, pp. 1396–1406, 2019.
  7. 7. Z. Ding et al., “A forecast-driven decision-making model for long-term operation of a hydro-wind-photovoltaic hybrid system,” Appl. Energy, vol. 291, p. 116820, 2021.
  8. 8. J. Jurasz, A. Kies, and P. Zajac, “Synergetic operation of photovoltaic and hydro power stations on a day-ahead energy market,” Energy, vol. 212, p. 118686, 2020.

Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Electrical Energy Generation (Incl. Renewables, Excl. Photovoltaics)

Journal Section

Research Article

Publication Date

October 31, 2024

Submission Date

July 8, 2024

Acceptance Date

August 7, 2024

Published in Issue

Year 2024 Volume: 4 Number: 3

APA
Aksu, İ. Ö., & Demirdelen, T. (2024). Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems, 4(3), 159-164. https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2024.24018
AMA
1.Aksu İÖ, Demirdelen T. Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. TEPES. 2024;4(3):159-164. doi:10.5152/tepes.2024.24018
Chicago
Aksu, İnayet Özge, and Tuğçe Demirdelen. 2024. “Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources With Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks”. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 4 (3): 159-64. https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2024.24018.
EndNote
Aksu İÖ, Demirdelen T (October 1, 2024) Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 4 3 159–164.
IEEE
[1]İ. Ö. Aksu and T. Demirdelen, “Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks”, TEPES, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 159–164, Oct. 2024, doi: 10.5152/tepes.2024.24018.
ISNAD
Aksu, İnayet Özge - Demirdelen, Tuğçe. “Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources With Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks”. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 4/3 (October 1, 2024): 159-164. https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2024.24018.
JAMA
1.Aksu İÖ, Demirdelen T. Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. TEPES. 2024;4:159–164.
MLA
Aksu, İnayet Özge, and Tuğçe Demirdelen. “Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources With Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks”. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems, vol. 4, no. 3, Oct. 2024, pp. 159-64, doi:10.5152/tepes.2024.24018.
Vancouver
1.İnayet Özge Aksu, Tuğçe Demirdelen. Forecasting Model of Electricity Production from Hydroelectric Sources with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. TEPES. 2024 Oct. 1;4(3):159-64. doi:10.5152/tepes.2024.24018