Review Article

Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020

Volume: 1 Number: 2 October 31, 2021

Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020

Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive review of the studies on electricity energy forecasting for Turkey during the years between 2003 and 2020. The review analyzes the forecasting studies in terms of the methods that are applied for forecasting, the profiles of the researchers and their institutions, and the years and location information about the data for which the forecasting is implemented. The search that is presented in this paper covers almost all related works that are published in the literature. Forecasting of electricity energy has been always a tool for energy demand–supply planning and has become indispensable due to increasing needs for the prediction of electricity production and consumption in the management of smart grid systems. Therefore, development of competencies in electricity energy forecasting is a must for all nationwide actors who have responsibilities in the management of smart grids. This paper may be used to identify the already developed competencies in electricity energy forecasting by the individual researchers on their own, and the institutions of Turkey. Thus, it may constitute a base for future works to build up new competency centers to meet Turkey’s need on short-, medium-, and long-term forecasting of electricity production and consumption.

Keywords

References

  1. 1. EPİAŞ Turkish energy Exchange. “EPİAŞ Turkish energy Exchange Annual report 2019,” 2020. Available: https://www.epias.com.tr/wp-content/ uploads/2020/08/EXIST-Annual-Report-2019.pdf. [accessed: Mar. 01, 2021].
  2. 2. T. Hong and S. Fan, “Probabilistic electric load forecasting: A tutorial review,” International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 914–938, 2016.
  3. 3. D. C. Montgomery, C. L. Jennings and M. Külahçı, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. Chichester, UK: Wiley, 2008.
  4. 4. E. Yukseltan, A. Yucekaya and A. H. Bilge, “Forecasting electricity demand for Turkey: Modeling periodic variations and demand segregation,” Applied Energy, vol. 193, pp. 287–296, 2017.
  5. 5. T. Ülgen and G. Poyrazoğlu, “Predictor Analysis for Electricity Price Forecasting by Multiple Linear Regression,” 2020 International Symposium on Power Electronics, Electrical Drives, Automation and Motion (SPEEDAM) 2020, pp. 618–622, 2020.
  6. 6. K. Kavaklioglu, “Modeling and prediction of Turkey’s electricity consumption using Support Vector Regression,” Applied Energy, vol. 88, no. 1, pp. 368–375, 2011.
  7. 7. K. Boran, “The box Jenkins approach to forecast net electricity consumption in Turkey,” Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects, vol. 36, no. 5, 515–524, 2014.
  8. 8. G. Akarsu, “Forecasting regional electricity demand for Turkey,” International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, vol. 7, no. 4, 2017.

Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Electrical Energy Generation (Incl. Renewables, Excl. Photovoltaics)

Journal Section

Review Article

Publication Date

October 31, 2021

Submission Date

April 7, 2021

Acceptance Date

May 7, 2021

Published in Issue

Year 2021 Volume: 1 Number: 2

APA
Özkurt, N., Oztura, H., & Güzeliş, C. (2021). Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems, 1(2), 118-128. https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2021.21019
AMA
1.Özkurt N, Oztura H, Güzeliş C. Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020. TEPES. 2021;1(2):118-128. doi:10.5152/tepes.2021.21019
Chicago
Özkurt, Nalan, Hacer Oztura, and Cüneyt Güzeliş. 2021. “Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020”. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 1 (2): 118-28. https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2021.21019.
EndNote
Özkurt N, Oztura H, Güzeliş C (October 1, 2021) Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 1 2 118–128.
IEEE
[1]N. Özkurt, H. Oztura, and C. Güzeliş, “Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020”, TEPES, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 118–128, Oct. 2021, doi: 10.5152/tepes.2021.21019.
ISNAD
Özkurt, Nalan - Oztura, Hacer - Güzeliş, Cüneyt. “Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020”. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems 1/2 (October 1, 2021): 118-128. https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2021.21019.
JAMA
1.Özkurt N, Oztura H, Güzeliş C. Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020. TEPES. 2021;1:118–128.
MLA
Özkurt, Nalan, et al. “Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020”. Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems, vol. 1, no. 2, Oct. 2021, pp. 118-2, doi:10.5152/tepes.2021.21019.
Vancouver
1.Nalan Özkurt, Hacer Oztura, Cüneyt Güzeliş. Electricity Energy Forecasting for Turkey: A Review of the Years 2003–2020. TEPES. 2021 Oct. 1;1(2):118-2. doi:10.5152/tepes.2021.21019