Cattle Presence Development Trend and Projections in D-8 Countries

Abstract

The agriculture sector is one of the indispensable sectors with its place in its ancient history and its importance in the continuation of human life. Agriculture conceptually includes both vegetable and animal production. Today, the integration of these two production areas with each other and the relations of the agricultural sector with other sectors constitute the most important part of a sustainable life. It is stated that the less developed and developing countries in terms of both population and area in the world will reach a better point in the productivity and efficiency of agricultural production when they work together, not alone. For this reason, it is seen that countries around the world now act as groups / blocks. The aim of this study is to reveal the change in cattle breeding activities in D-8 countries, which is an economic cooperation organization, with time series data analysis. In the study, cattle numbers of D-8 countries were used between 1961-2018. As a result, it is predicted that there will be an increase in the number of animals in 6 countries (Turkey and Bangladesh will decrease). However, it can be stated that the number of animals per capita is in a decreasing trend in all countries. This situation may cause animal protein deficits to come to the fore in countries. For this reason, it is important to evaluate the issue at the point of sustainability with the relevant policy instruments and to take the necessary steps within the framework of food security.

Keywords

• Agricultural Policy
• Livestock
• D-8 Countries

D-8 Ülkelerinde Sığır Varlığı Gelişim Trendi ve Projeksiyonlar

Abstract

Tarım sektörü gerek kadim tarihindeki yeri gerekse insanoğlunun hayatının devamındaki önemi ile vazgeçilmesi mümkün olmayan sektörlerin başında gelmektedir. Tarım kavramsal olarak hem bitkisel hem de hayvansal üretimleri içermektedir. Günümüzde bu iki üretim alanının birbirleri ile olan entegrasyonu ve tarım sektörünün diğer sektörlerle olan ilişkileri sürdürülebilir bir hayatın en önemli parçasını oluşturmaktadır. Dünyada gerek nüfus gerekse alan bakımından az gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkelerin tarımsal üretimdeki verimlilik ve etkinliğinde ülkelerin tek başına değil ancak birlikte çalıştıklarında daha iyi noktaya gelecekleri ifade edilmektedir. Bu nedenledir ki Dünya üzerindeki ülkelerin artık gruplar/bloklar şeklinde hareket ettikleri görülmektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı bir ekonomik iş birliği örgütü olan D-8 ülkelerinde büyükbaş hayvancılık faaliyetlerindeki değişimi zaman serisi veri analizi ile ortaya konulmasıdır. Çalışmada 1961-2018 yılları arasında D-8 ülkelerinin büyükbaş hayvan sayıları kullanılmıştır. Sonuç olarak Bangladeş ve Türkiye hariç diğer 6 ülkenin hayvan sayısında artış olacağı öngörülmektedir. Ancak, kişi başına düşen hayvan sayısının tüm ülkelerde azalış trendinde olduğu ifade edilebilir. Bu durum ülkelerin hayvansal protein açığının gündeme gelmesine neden olabilir. Bu nedenle ilgili politika enstrümanları ile konunun sürdürülebilirlik noktasında değerlendirilmesi ve gıda güvencesi çerçevesinde gerekli adımların atılması önemlidir.

Keywords

• Tarım politikası
• Hayvancılık
• D-8 Ülkeleri

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