Research Article

NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS

Volume: 15 Number: 11 November 3, 2025

NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS

Abstract

This paper introduces a novel approach to calculating the failure probability of $k-out-of-n$ systems under harmful shocks, which occur randomly and affect at least one component. Traditional methods for this calculation face challenges such as high computational costs and complexity, especially for large systems. The new approach simplifies the computation by developing an easily executable algorithm, saving time and resources. The proposed formula has been shown to be equivalent to existing ones. Additionally, it has been demonstrated that the failure probability under certain conditions follows a binomial distribution, with system design influencing the failure probability for each shock.

Keywords

Thanks

The authors would like to extend their gratitude for the reviewers for the valuable feedback and insightful comments, which have greatly contributed to improving the clarity and quality of this work. Thank you for the time and effort you dedicated to guiding this work in the right direction.

References

  1. Carpitella, S., Certa, A., Izquierdo J. and La Fata, C. M., (2017), k-out-of-n systems: an exact formula for the stationary availability and multi-objective configuration design based on mathematical programming and TOPSIS, J Comput Appl Math 330, pp. 1007-1015.
  2. Fernandez, A. J., (2014), Computing tolerance limits for the lifetime of a k-out-of-n:F system based on prior information and censored data, Appl Math Model, 38, pp. 548-561.
  3. Gupta, H. and Sharma, J., (1979), A method of symbolic steady-state availability evaluation of k-out-of-n:G system, IEEE Trans Reliab, R-28(1), pp.56-57.
  4. Hamdan, K., Tavangar and M., Asadi, M., (2020), Optimal preventive maintenance for repairable weighted k-out-of-n systems, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 205, pp. 107-267.
  5. Liang, X. and Tang, Y., (2019), The improvement upon the reliability of the k-out-of-n:F system with the repair rates differentiation policy, Eur J Oper Res 92(2), pp. 479-500.
  6. Linton, D. and Saw, J., (1974) , Reliability analysis of the k-out-of-n:F system, IEEE Trans Reliab, R-23(2), pp. 97-103.
  7. Mannai, N. and Gasmi, S., (2018) , Optimal design of k-out-of-n system under first and last replacement in reliability theory, Oper Res Int J, 20, pp. 1353-1368.
  8. Moghaddass, R. and Zuo, M., (2011), Optimal design of repairable k-out-of-n systems considering maintenance, In: Proceedings of the annual reliability and maintainability symposium, Orlando, USA, pp. 1-6.

Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Applied Statistics, Operations Research İn Mathematics

Journal Section

Research Article

Publication Date

November 3, 2025

Submission Date

September 4, 2024

Acceptance Date

December 19, 2024

Published in Issue

Year 2025 Volume: 15 Number: 11

APA
Jarray, M., Mannai, N., & Gasmi, S. (2025). NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS. TWMS Journal of Applied and Engineering Mathematics, 15(11), 2624-2637. https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW
AMA
1.Jarray M, Mannai N, Gasmi S. NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS. JAEM. 2025;15(11):2624-2637. https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW
Chicago
Jarray, Moujib, Nizar Mannai, and Soufiane Gasmi. 2025. “NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS”. TWMS Journal of Applied and Engineering Mathematics 15 (11): 2624-37. https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW.
EndNote
Jarray M, Mannai N, Gasmi S (November 1, 2025) NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS. TWMS Journal of Applied and Engineering Mathematics 15 11 2624–2637.
IEEE
[1]M. Jarray, N. Mannai, and S. Gasmi, “NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS”, JAEM, vol. 15, no. 11, pp. 2624–2637, Nov. 2025, [Online]. Available: https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW
ISNAD
Jarray, Moujib - Mannai, Nizar - Gasmi, Soufiane. “NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS”. TWMS Journal of Applied and Engineering Mathematics 15/11 (November 1, 2025): 2624-2637. https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW.
JAMA
1.Jarray M, Mannai N, Gasmi S. NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS. JAEM. 2025;15:2624–2637.
MLA
Jarray, Moujib, et al. “NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS”. TWMS Journal of Applied and Engineering Mathematics, vol. 15, no. 11, Nov. 2025, pp. 2624-37, https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW.
Vancouver
1.Moujib Jarray, Nizar Mannai, Soufiane Gasmi. NEW APPROACH TO EVALUATE THE FAILURE PROBABILITY OF A $K-OUT-OF-N$ SYSTEM UNDER HARMFUL SHOCKS. JAEM [Internet]. 2025 Nov. 1;15(11):2624-37. Available from: https://izlik.org/JA27HP75NW