KARADENİZ EKONOMİK İŞBİRLİĞİ BÖLGESİNDE TİCARET AKIMLARININ BELİRLEYİCİLERİ: ÇEKİM MODELİ YAKLAŞIMI

Yıl 2011, Cilt: 25 Sayı: 2, 207 - 224, 08.07.2011

Murat Genç Seyfettin Artan Metin Berber

Öz

Bu çalışma, Karadeniz Ekonomik İşbirliği (KEİ) bölgesindeki
ticaret akımlarının belirleyicilerini çekim modelini kullanarak analiz etmektedir.
Bu amaçla, 1997-2007 dönemi için panel veri yöntemi uygulanmıştır.
Çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlara göre, ihracatçı ve ithalatçı ülkelerin gayri safi
yurt içi hasılaları (GSYH) ve nüfusları bölgedeki ticaret akımlarını pozitif
olarak etkilemektedir. Ancak, ihracatçı ülkelerin GSYH’ları ve nüfuslarının
ticaret akımları üzerindeki etkisi daha fazladır. Diğer taraftan, üye ülkelerin
başkentlerinin birbirine olan uzaklığı ticaret akımlarını negatif olarak etkilerken,
ülkelerin ortak sınıra sahip olmaları ve aynı dili konuşmaları ticaret akımlarını
pozitif olarak etkilemektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Çekim modeli, KEİ, Panel veri analizi, Bölgeselleşme

Kaynakça

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