Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 31 Sayı: 3, 214 - 222, 01.09.2019
https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.512278

Öz

In this
paper, we consider the stress-strength reliability
 for record data when the distribution of
random stress
 and strength  have the type I extreme-value distribution.
First, classical inference methods, namely uniformly minimum variance unbiased
estimate (UMVUE) and maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), are used for
. Second,
Bayesian inference of
 are considered for gamma priors assumption.
When the common parameter of stress and strength variables is known, the exact
Bayes estimate and Bayesian credible interval of
 are obtained. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
method are used to derive the Bayes estimate and highest probability density
(HPD) credible interval of
 when the common parameter is unknown. Finally,
Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performance of the
obtained estimates. A real data set about the weather temperature is analyzed
to illustrate the performances of the derived estimators in the paper.

Kaynakça

  • Referenc1: Murthy, D.N.P, Xie, M, Jiang R. (2003). Weibull Models. Wiley. New York.
  • Referenc2: Lai, C.D., Xie, M. (2003). A modified Weibull distribution. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 52, 33-37.
  • Referenc3: Chandler, K.N. (1952). The distribution and frequency of record values. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 14, 220-228.
  • Referenc4: Arnold, B.C., Balakrishnan, N., Nagaraja, H.N. (1998). Records. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
  • Referenc5: Ahsanullah, M., Nevzorov, V. (2015). Records via probability theory. Atlantis Press.
  • Referenc6: Birnbaum, Z.W. (1956). On a use of Mann-Whitney statistics. In Proceedings of 3rd Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, 1, 13-17.
  • Referenc7: Kotz, S., Lumelskii, Y., Pensky, M. (2003). The Stress-Strength Model and its Generalizations: Theory and Applications. World Scientific, Singapore.
  • Referenc8: Tarvirdizade, B., Gharehchobogh, H.K. (2015). Inference on Pr⁡(X>Y) based on record values from the Burr Type X distribution. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 45, 267-278.
  • Referenc9: Basirat, M., Baratpour, S., Ahmadi , J. (2016). On estimation of stress–strength parameter using record values from proportional hazard rate models. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 45, 5787-5801.
  • Referenc10: Kızılaslan, F., Nadar, M. (2017). Statistical inference of P(X<Y) for the Burr Type XII distribution based on records. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 46, 713-742.
  • Referenc11:Rasethuntsa, T. R., Nadar, M. (2018). Stress–strength reliability of a non-identical-component-strengths system based on upper record values from the family of Kumaraswamy generalized distributions. Statistics, 52, 684-716.
  • Referenc12: Çetinkaya, Ç., Genç, A.İ. (2019). Stress–strength reliability estimation under the standard two-sided power distribution. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 65, 72-88.
  • Referenc13: Basirat, M., Baratpour, S., Ahmadi, J. (2015). Statistical inferences for stress-strength in the proportional hazard models based on progressive type-ii censored samples. Journal of Statistical Computational and Simulation, 85, 431-449.
  • Referenc14: Gelman, A., Carlin, J.B., Stern, H.S., Rubin, D.B. (2003). Bayesian Data Analysis. Chapman & Hall, London.
  • Referenc15: Chen, M.H., Shao, Q.M. (1999). Monte carlo estimation of Bayesian credible and hpd intervals. Journal of Computational Graphical and Statistics, 8, 69-92.

I.Tip Uçdeğer Dağılımından Gelen Rekor Değerler İçin Stres Dayanıklılık Modelinin Güvenilirliğinin Tahmini

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 31 Sayı: 3, 214 - 222, 01.09.2019
https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.512278

Öz

Bu çalışmada, stres Y ve dayanıklılık X rastgele
değişkenleri I. Tip uçdeğer dağılımına sahip olduğunda rekor değerler için
stres dayanıklılık modelinin güvenilirliği
ele alınmıştır. İlk olarak  için klasik
yaklaşım yani değişmez en küçük varyanslı yansz minimum varyans tahmin edici ve
en çok olabilirlik tahmin edicisi kullanılmıştır. Sonra, önsellerin gamma
dağılımına sahip olması varsayımı altın
 için Bayes
yaklaşımı ele alınmıştır. Stres ve dayanıklılık değişkenlerinin ortak
parametresi biliniyorken,
 nin kesin Bayes
tahmin edicisi ve Bayes güven aralığı elde edilmiştir. Stres ve dayanıklılık
değişkenlerinin ortak parametresi bilinmiyorken,
’nin Bayes tahmin edicisi ve en yüksek olasılık
yoğunluklu Bayes güven aralığı Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo (MCMC) metodu ile
elde edilmiştir. Son olarak elde edilen tahmin edicilerin performanslarını
karşılaştırmak için Monte Carlo simülasyonu gerçekleştirildi. Elde edilen
tahmin edicilerin performanslarını göstermek için hava sıcaklıkları ile ilgili
gerçek veri seti analiz edilmiştir.

Kaynakça

  • Referenc1: Murthy, D.N.P, Xie, M, Jiang R. (2003). Weibull Models. Wiley. New York.
  • Referenc2: Lai, C.D., Xie, M. (2003). A modified Weibull distribution. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 52, 33-37.
  • Referenc3: Chandler, K.N. (1952). The distribution and frequency of record values. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 14, 220-228.
  • Referenc4: Arnold, B.C., Balakrishnan, N., Nagaraja, H.N. (1998). Records. John Wiley & Sons, New York.
  • Referenc5: Ahsanullah, M., Nevzorov, V. (2015). Records via probability theory. Atlantis Press.
  • Referenc6: Birnbaum, Z.W. (1956). On a use of Mann-Whitney statistics. In Proceedings of 3rd Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, 1, 13-17.
  • Referenc7: Kotz, S., Lumelskii, Y., Pensky, M. (2003). The Stress-Strength Model and its Generalizations: Theory and Applications. World Scientific, Singapore.
  • Referenc8: Tarvirdizade, B., Gharehchobogh, H.K. (2015). Inference on Pr⁡(X>Y) based on record values from the Burr Type X distribution. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 45, 267-278.
  • Referenc9: Basirat, M., Baratpour, S., Ahmadi , J. (2016). On estimation of stress–strength parameter using record values from proportional hazard rate models. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 45, 5787-5801.
  • Referenc10: Kızılaslan, F., Nadar, M. (2017). Statistical inference of P(X<Y) for the Burr Type XII distribution based on records. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 46, 713-742.
  • Referenc11:Rasethuntsa, T. R., Nadar, M. (2018). Stress–strength reliability of a non-identical-component-strengths system based on upper record values from the family of Kumaraswamy generalized distributions. Statistics, 52, 684-716.
  • Referenc12: Çetinkaya, Ç., Genç, A.İ. (2019). Stress–strength reliability estimation under the standard two-sided power distribution. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 65, 72-88.
  • Referenc13: Basirat, M., Baratpour, S., Ahmadi, J. (2015). Statistical inferences for stress-strength in the proportional hazard models based on progressive type-ii censored samples. Journal of Statistical Computational and Simulation, 85, 431-449.
  • Referenc14: Gelman, A., Carlin, J.B., Stern, H.S., Rubin, D.B. (2003). Bayesian Data Analysis. Chapman & Hall, London.
  • Referenc15: Chen, M.H., Shao, Q.M. (1999). Monte carlo estimation of Bayesian credible and hpd intervals. Journal of Computational Graphical and Statistics, 8, 69-92.
Toplam 15 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Fatih Kızılaslan 0000-0001-6457-0967

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Eylül 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2019 Cilt: 31 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Kızılaslan, F. (2019). Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences, 31(3), 214-222. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.512278
AMA Kızılaslan F. Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records. JEPS. Eylül 2019;31(3):214-222. doi:10.7240/jeps.512278
Chicago Kızılaslan, Fatih. “Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 31, sy. 3 (Eylül 2019): 214-22. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.512278.
EndNote Kızılaslan F (01 Eylül 2019) Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 31 3 214–222.
IEEE F. Kızılaslan, “Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records”, JEPS, c. 31, sy. 3, ss. 214–222, 2019, doi: 10.7240/jeps.512278.
ISNAD Kızılaslan, Fatih. “Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 31/3 (Eylül 2019), 214-222. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.512278.
JAMA Kızılaslan F. Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records. JEPS. 2019;31:214–222.
MLA Kızılaslan, Fatih. “Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences, c. 31, sy. 3, 2019, ss. 214-22, doi:10.7240/jeps.512278.
Vancouver Kızılaslan F. Stress-Strength Reliability Estimation for the Type I Extreme-Value Distribution Based on Records. JEPS. 2019;31(3):214-22.