Investigating the Impact of Climate Parameters on Honey Yield under Migratory Beekeeping Conditions through Decision Tree Analysis: The Case of İzmir Province

Year 2023, Volume: 33 Issue: 2, 268 - 280, 29.12.2023

Zekiye Şengül Banu Yücel Gamze Saner Çiğdem Takma

https://doi.org/10.18615/anadolu.1394787

Abstract

This study has investigated how climatic parameters affect honey yield in İzmir Province under the conditions of migratory beekeeping. The climate parameters of the years 1990-2020 obtained from the Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) and the General Directorate of Meteorology were used in this research. The data were analyzed considering the routes used by migratory beekeepers in İzmir province to transport their colonies, and the effects of climatic parameters in these regions on honey yield were determined using a decision tree algorithm. The average minimum temperature was identified as the first effective factor for honey yield. This was followed by average wind speed, average relative humidity, average maximum temperature, total precipitation and average temperature. Based on results the average honey yield per hive is predicted to be 26.29 kg in climatic conditions where the average minimum temperature is greater than 10.81°C, the relative humidity is more than 66.03% and the average temperature is more than 18.36°C.

Keywords

Beekeeping, climate change, decision tree, honey yield

İklim Parametrelerinin Gezginci Arıcılık Modeli Koşullarında Bal Verimi Üzerine Etkisinin Karar Ağaçları Yöntemi ile Araştırılması: İzmir İli Örneği

Abstract

Bu çalışmada göçer arıcılığın yapıldığı İzmir ilinde iklim parametrelerinin bal verimini nasıl etkilediği araştırılmıştır. Çalışmada kullanılan veriler 1990-2020 yıllarına ilişkin olup, Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu ve Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğünden temin edilmiştir. Verilerin analizinde İzmir ilinde göçer arıcıların, kolonilerini taşıdıkları güzergahlar dikkate alınarak bu bölgelerdeki iklim parametrelerinin İzmir ili bal verimine etkisi Karar ağacı algoritması ile ortaya konulmuştur. Sonuçlara göre bal verimine ilk etkili faktörün ortalama minimum sıcaklık değişkeni olduğu belirlenmiştir. Bunu sırasıyla ortalama rüzgâr hızı değişkeni, nispi nem, ortalama maksimum sıcaklık, toplam yağış ve ortalama sıcaklık izlemiştir. Sonuçlara göre ortalama minimum sıcaklığın 0,81 dereceden yüksek, nisbi nemin %66,03’ten fazla ve ortalama sıcaklığın 18,36 dereceden fazla olduğu iklim koşullarında kovan başına bal verim ortalamasının 26,29 kg olması beklenmektedir.

Keywords

Arıcılık, iklim değişikliği, karar ağacı, bal verimi

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