Araştırma Makalesi
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Otoyol Projelerinde Risk Analizi Uygulaması

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3 - Ek Sayı, 520 - 529, 29.05.2021
https://doi.org/10.29130/dubited.848112

Öz

Otoyol projeleri büyük yatırım projeleri olup birçok risk faktörünü içerisinde barındırmaktadır. Bu risk faktörlerinin kapsamlı bir risk yönetimi stratejisi ile yönetilmesiyle proje başarısını etkileyebilecek olumsuzlukların azaltılması mümkündür. Bu çalışmada otoyol projelerinde karşılaşılan risk faktörlerinin önem derecelerinin belirlenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Otoyol projelerinin sözleşme, tasarım ve yapımında karşılaşılan risk faktörleri literatür taraması yapılarak belirlenmiştir. Belirlenen risk faktörleri riskin kaynağına göre 7 ana başlıkta sınıflandırılarak ilgili risk faktörünün otoyol projesinin hangi aşamasında hangi alt risklerle ortaya çıktığı araştırılmıştır. Risk faktörleri otoyol projelerinde tecrübe sahibi ve konusunda uzman kişilerce anket yöntemi ile değerlendirilip, karar matrisi yöntemi kullanılarak risk analizi yapılıp önem dereceleri belirlenmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlar ekonomik ve politik riskler başlığı altındaki ekonomik kriz riskinin en önemli risk faktörü olduğunu ortaya koymuştur.

Kaynakça

  • [1] M. Çebin, “Otoyol Projelerinde Gecikme Nedenlerinin ve Sonuçlarının Araştırılması,” Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Balıkesir Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2019.
  • [2] M.M. Sharaf and H.T. Abdelwahab, “Analysis of Risk Factors for Highway Construction Projects in Egypt,” Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture, 9, 526-533, 2015.
  • [3] T. Birgönül and İ. Dikmen, “İnşaat Projelerinin Risk Yönetimi,” İnşaat Mühendisleri Odası Teknik Dergi, 7(4), 1305-1326, 1996.
  • [4] N. Vasishta, D.S. Chandra, and S.S Asadi, “Analysis of Risk Assesment in Construction of Highway Projects Using Relative Importance Index Method,” International Journal of Mechanical Engineering and Technology, 9(3),1-6, 2018.
  • [5] PMBOK® Guide, “A Guide tothe Project Management Body of Knowledge,” PMI, 2017.
  • [6] M.A. Mustafa and J.F. Al-Bahar, “Project Risk Assessment Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process,” IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 38(1), 46-51, 1991.
  • [7] J. H. M. Tah, A. Thorpe and R. McCaffer, “Contractor Project Risks Contingency Allocation Using Linguistic Approximation,” Computing System in Engineering, 4(2),281-293, 1993.
  • [8] F. Özbey, “Ulaşım Altyapı Projelerinde Risk Değerlendirmesi ve Alternatif Uyuşmazlık Çözüm Uygulamaları,” Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, 2015.
  • [9] A. Vishwakarma, and A. Salunkhe, “Risk Assesment in Construction of Highway Project,” International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology, 5(2), 637-640, 2016.
  • [10] L. Jie, M. Peng, D. Zhaohua and Z. Jing., “Traffic Allocation Mode of PPP Highway Project: A Risk Management Approach,” Advances in Civil Engineering,. 1-12, 2018.
  • [11] P. X. W. Zou, G. Zhang and J. Wang, “Identifying Key Risks in Construction Projects: Life Cycle and Stakeholder Perspectives.,” Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture, 18, 1-14, 2006.
  • [12] V.W.Y Tam, L.Y. Shen, C.M. Tam and W.W.S. Pang, “Investigating the Intentional Quality Risks in Public Foundation Projects: A Hong Kong Study,” The International Journal of Building Science and Its Application, 42(1), 330-343, 2007.
  • [13] I. Mahamid, A. Bruland and N. Dmaidi, “Delay Causes in Road Construction Projects”, ASCE Journal of Management in Engineering, 28 (3), 300–310, 2012.
  • [14] P. Thapanont, C. Santi, X. Pruethipong, “Causes of Delay on Highway Construction Projects in Thailand,” The 4th International Conference on Engineering, Applied Sciences and Technology (ICEAST 2018), Exploring Innovative Solutions for Smart Society, Volume 192, 2018.
  • [15] L. Edwards, “Practical Risk Management in The Construcion Industry.” London: Thomas Telford Publications, 1995.
  • [16] B.A.K.S Perera, I. Dhanasinghe, and R. Rameezdeen, “Risk Management in Road Construction: The Case of Sri Lanka,” International Journal of Strategic Property Management,13,87-102, 2009.
  • [17] J. Reilly and G. Arrigoni, “Management and Control of Cost and Risk for Tunneling and Infrastructure Projects, in China perspective, for the South to North Great Western,” Diversion. Proc. International Tunnelling Conference. Singapore, 2004.
  • [18] M.R. Aydos, “Üst Yapı İnşaatlarında Ön Tehlike Analizi (PHA) İle Risk Değerlendirmesi,” İş Sağlığı ve Güvenliği Uzmanlık Tezi, Çalışma ve Sosyal Güvenlik Bakanlığı, Ankara, 2015.
  • [19] B. B. Xu, Y. Q. Chen and C.M. Wang, “Risk Management of Construction Projects Based On Sandpile Model: A Frame of Risk Conductioni,” Departmant of Construction Management, IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 50-236, Bangkok, 2013.
  • [20] T.C. Kinnear and J.R. Taylor, “Marketing Research: An Applied Approach,” McGraw-Hill, Singapore, 1991.
  • [21] k. Sandal, “İnşaat Firmalarında Alt Yüklenici Başarım Analizi,” Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Balıkesir Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2019.

Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3 - Ek Sayı, 520 - 529, 29.05.2021
https://doi.org/10.29130/dubited.848112

Öz

Highway projects are large investment projects and have many risk factors. It is possible to reduce the problems that may affect the success of a project by managing such risk factors through a comprehensive risk management strategy. In this study, it was aimed to determine the significance levels of risk factors faced in highway projects. Risk factors seen in agreement, design and construction stages of highway projects were specified by carrying out a literature review. The specified risk factors were classified under 7 main titles according to the source of risk, and emergence of the relevant risk factor at which stage of the highway project along with which sub-risks was investigated. Risk factors were evaluated by administrating questionnaires to the individuals experienced in highway projects and specialised in their fields. Later on, risk analysis was performed using the decision matrix method and their importance levels were determined. Obtained results suggested that the risk of economic crisis under the title of economic and political risks was the most important risk factor.

Kaynakça

  • [1] M. Çebin, “Otoyol Projelerinde Gecikme Nedenlerinin ve Sonuçlarının Araştırılması,” Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Balıkesir Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2019.
  • [2] M.M. Sharaf and H.T. Abdelwahab, “Analysis of Risk Factors for Highway Construction Projects in Egypt,” Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture, 9, 526-533, 2015.
  • [3] T. Birgönül and İ. Dikmen, “İnşaat Projelerinin Risk Yönetimi,” İnşaat Mühendisleri Odası Teknik Dergi, 7(4), 1305-1326, 1996.
  • [4] N. Vasishta, D.S. Chandra, and S.S Asadi, “Analysis of Risk Assesment in Construction of Highway Projects Using Relative Importance Index Method,” International Journal of Mechanical Engineering and Technology, 9(3),1-6, 2018.
  • [5] PMBOK® Guide, “A Guide tothe Project Management Body of Knowledge,” PMI, 2017.
  • [6] M.A. Mustafa and J.F. Al-Bahar, “Project Risk Assessment Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process,” IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 38(1), 46-51, 1991.
  • [7] J. H. M. Tah, A. Thorpe and R. McCaffer, “Contractor Project Risks Contingency Allocation Using Linguistic Approximation,” Computing System in Engineering, 4(2),281-293, 1993.
  • [8] F. Özbey, “Ulaşım Altyapı Projelerinde Risk Değerlendirmesi ve Alternatif Uyuşmazlık Çözüm Uygulamaları,” Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, 2015.
  • [9] A. Vishwakarma, and A. Salunkhe, “Risk Assesment in Construction of Highway Project,” International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology, 5(2), 637-640, 2016.
  • [10] L. Jie, M. Peng, D. Zhaohua and Z. Jing., “Traffic Allocation Mode of PPP Highway Project: A Risk Management Approach,” Advances in Civil Engineering,. 1-12, 2018.
  • [11] P. X. W. Zou, G. Zhang and J. Wang, “Identifying Key Risks in Construction Projects: Life Cycle and Stakeholder Perspectives.,” Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture, 18, 1-14, 2006.
  • [12] V.W.Y Tam, L.Y. Shen, C.M. Tam and W.W.S. Pang, “Investigating the Intentional Quality Risks in Public Foundation Projects: A Hong Kong Study,” The International Journal of Building Science and Its Application, 42(1), 330-343, 2007.
  • [13] I. Mahamid, A. Bruland and N. Dmaidi, “Delay Causes in Road Construction Projects”, ASCE Journal of Management in Engineering, 28 (3), 300–310, 2012.
  • [14] P. Thapanont, C. Santi, X. Pruethipong, “Causes of Delay on Highway Construction Projects in Thailand,” The 4th International Conference on Engineering, Applied Sciences and Technology (ICEAST 2018), Exploring Innovative Solutions for Smart Society, Volume 192, 2018.
  • [15] L. Edwards, “Practical Risk Management in The Construcion Industry.” London: Thomas Telford Publications, 1995.
  • [16] B.A.K.S Perera, I. Dhanasinghe, and R. Rameezdeen, “Risk Management in Road Construction: The Case of Sri Lanka,” International Journal of Strategic Property Management,13,87-102, 2009.
  • [17] J. Reilly and G. Arrigoni, “Management and Control of Cost and Risk for Tunneling and Infrastructure Projects, in China perspective, for the South to North Great Western,” Diversion. Proc. International Tunnelling Conference. Singapore, 2004.
  • [18] M.R. Aydos, “Üst Yapı İnşaatlarında Ön Tehlike Analizi (PHA) İle Risk Değerlendirmesi,” İş Sağlığı ve Güvenliği Uzmanlık Tezi, Çalışma ve Sosyal Güvenlik Bakanlığı, Ankara, 2015.
  • [19] B. B. Xu, Y. Q. Chen and C.M. Wang, “Risk Management of Construction Projects Based On Sandpile Model: A Frame of Risk Conductioni,” Departmant of Construction Management, IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 50-236, Bangkok, 2013.
  • [20] T.C. Kinnear and J.R. Taylor, “Marketing Research: An Applied Approach,” McGraw-Hill, Singapore, 1991.
  • [21] k. Sandal, “İnşaat Firmalarında Alt Yüklenici Başarım Analizi,” Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Balıkesir Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2019.
Toplam 21 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Mühendislik
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Ali Erkan Karaman 0000-0003-1958-9743

Eray Köseoğlu 0000-0002-4590-0489

Yayımlanma Tarihi 29 Mayıs 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3 - Ek Sayı

Kaynak Göster

APA Karaman, A. E., & Köseoğlu, E. (2021). Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim Ve Teknoloji Dergisi, 9(3), 520-529. https://doi.org/10.29130/dubited.848112
AMA Karaman AE, Köseoğlu E. Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects. DÜBİTED. Mayıs 2021;9(3):520-529. doi:10.29130/dubited.848112
Chicago Karaman, Ali Erkan, ve Eray Köseoğlu. “Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects”. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim Ve Teknoloji Dergisi 9, sy. 3 (Mayıs 2021): 520-29. https://doi.org/10.29130/dubited.848112.
EndNote Karaman AE, Köseoğlu E (01 Mayıs 2021) Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi 9 3 520–529.
IEEE A. E. Karaman ve E. Köseoğlu, “Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects”, DÜBİTED, c. 9, sy. 3, ss. 520–529, 2021, doi: 10.29130/dubited.848112.
ISNAD Karaman, Ali Erkan - Köseoğlu, Eray. “Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects”. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi 9/3 (Mayıs 2021), 520-529. https://doi.org/10.29130/dubited.848112.
JAMA Karaman AE, Köseoğlu E. Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects. DÜBİTED. 2021;9:520–529.
MLA Karaman, Ali Erkan ve Eray Köseoğlu. “Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects”. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim Ve Teknoloji Dergisi, c. 9, sy. 3, 2021, ss. 520-9, doi:10.29130/dubited.848112.
Vancouver Karaman AE, Köseoğlu E. Risk Analysis Application in Highway Projects. DÜBİTED. 2021;9(3):520-9.