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ASSESSMENT OF URBAN FLOOD RISKS OF THE CITIES USING ENTROPY-VIKOR METHODS IN TÜRKİYE

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1, 162 - 176, 01.03.2024
https://doi.org/10.36306/konjes.1281943

Öz

In recent years, there is growing interest for evaluation of urban flood risks of cities over the past decade due to rapid urbanization and climate change. The optimal flood risk assessment is strategically achieved not only with classical risk modelling approaches but also with holistic and comprehensive framework. This paper focuses on a detailed flood assessment providing risk database for policymakers and urban planners to decide the flood prone areas in Turkey. In this context, the Entropy based VIKOR (VIseKriterijumska Optimizacija Kompromisno Resenje) was provided to evaluate a range of flood risk criteria named number of floods, population density and number of buildings, flood protection area which are under the concept of risk dimension including “hazard, exposure and vulnerability” aspects. Computational results demonstrate that the provinces of Şanlıurfa, Ordu, Zonguldak and Van are assigned with higher urban risk values, respectively and the ranking of the cities was presented with different q values. The findings should support practitioners and researchers for land use planning and risk reduction works as the detailed flood risk evaluation was presented in terms of the flood management.

Kaynakça

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Yıl 2024, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1, 162 - 176, 01.03.2024
https://doi.org/10.36306/konjes.1281943

Öz

Kaynakça

  • W. Qi, C. Ma, H. Xu, K. Zhao, and Z. Chen, “A comprehensive analysis method of spatial prioritization for urban flood management based on source tracking,” Ecological Indicators, vol. 135, no. 108565, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108565
  • M. Gimenez-Maranges, J. Breuste, and A. Hof, “Sustainable Drainage Systems for transitioning to sustainable urban flood management in the European Union: A review,” Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 255, no. 120191, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120191
  • T. Wu, (2021). “Quantifying coastal flood vulnerability for climate adaptation policy using principal component analysis,” Ecological Indicators, vol. 129, no. 108006, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108006
  • A. M. Camarasa-Belmonte, and J. Soriano-García, “Flood risk assessment and mapping in peri-urban Mediterranean environments using hydrogeomorphology. Application to ephemeral streams in the Valencia region (eastern Spain),” Landscape and Urban Planning, vol. 104, no. 2, pp. 189-200, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2011.10.009
  • E. G. Polat, “Distribution centre location selection for disaster logistics with integrated goal programming-AHP based TOPSIS method at the city level,” Afet ve Risk Dergisi, vol 5, no. 1, pp. 282-296, 2022. https://doi.org/10.35341/afet.1071343
  • F. Fatemi, A. Ardalan, B. Aguirre, N. Mansouri, and I. Mohammadfam, “Social vulnerability indicators in disasters: Findings from a systematic review,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 22, pp. 219-227, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2016.09.006
  • N. Etinay, C. Egbu, and V. Murray, “Building urban resilience for disaster risk management and disaster risk reduction,” Procedia Engineering, vol. 212, pp. 575-582, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2018.01.074
  • M. M. de Brito, and M. Evers, “Multi-criteria decision-making for flood risk management:<? xmltex\newline?> a survey of the current state of the art,” Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 1019-1033, 2016. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1019-2016
  • O. Derse, “A new approach to the Fine Kinney method with AHP based ELECTRE I and math model on risk assessment for natural disasters,” J Geogr, vol. 42, pp. 155-164, 2021. Doi: 10.26650/JGEOG2021-875427
  • K. S. Jun, E. S. Chung, J. Y. Sung, and K. S. Lee, “Development of spatial water resources vulnerability index considering climate change impacts,” Science of The Total Environment, vol. 409, no. 24, pp. 5228-5242, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.08.027
  • G. Lee, K. S. Jun, and E. S. Chung, “Robust spatial flood vulnerability assessment for Han River using fuzzy TOPSIS with α-cut level set,” Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 41, no, 2, pp. 644-654, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2013.07.089
  • S. M. H. Mojtahedi, and B. L. Oo, “Coastal buildings and infrastructure flood risk analysis using multi‐attribute decision‐making,” Journal of Flood Risk Management, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 87-96, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12120
  • J. Sörensen, A. Persson, C. Sternudd, H. Aspegren, J. Nilsson, J. Nordström, ... and S. Mobini, “Re-thinking urban flood management—Time for a regime shift,” Water, vol. 8, no. 8, pp. 332, 2016. https://doi.org/10.3390/w8080332
  • X. L. Yang, J. H. Ding, and H. Hou, “Application of a triangular fuzzy AHP approach for flood risk evaluation and response measures analysis,” Natural Hazards, vol. 68, pp. 657-674, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0642-x
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  • M. Moghadas, A. Asadzadeh, A. Vafeidis, A. Fekete, and T. Kötter, “A multi-criteria approach for assessing urban flood resilience in Tehran, Iran,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 35, no. 10106, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101069
  • R. Sun, Z. Gong, G. Gao, and A. A. Shah, “Comparative analysis of Multi-Criteria Decision-Making methods for flood disaster risk in the Yangtze River Delta,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 51, no. 101768, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101768
  • A. A. Shah, J. Ye, M. Abid, J. Khan, and S. M. Amir, “Flood hazards: household vulnerability and resilience in disaster-prone districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan,” Natural Hazards, vol. 93, pp. 147-165, 2018.
  • D. Liu, Y. Li, X. Shen, Y. Xie, and Y. Zhang, “Flood risk perception of rural households in western mountainous regions of Henan Province, China,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 27, pp. 155-160, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.09.051
  • H. Xu, C. Ma, J. Lian, K. Xu, and E. Chaima, “Urban flooding risk assessment based on an integrated k-means cluster algorithm and improved entropy weight method in the region of Haikou, China,” Journal of Hydrology, vol. 563, pp. 975-986, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.06.060
  • Y. Liu, M. You, J. Zhu, F. Wang, and R. Ran, “Integrated risk assessment for agricultural drought and flood disasters based on entropy information diffusion theory in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 38, no. 101194, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101194
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  • J. R. Doorga, L. Magerl, P. Bunwaree, J. Zhao, S. Watkins, C. G. Staub,... and R.Boojhawon, “GIS-based multi-criteria modelling of flood risk susceptibility in Port Louis, Mauritius: Towards resilient flood management,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 67, no. 102683, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102683
  • J. Garrote, A. Díez-Herrero, C. Escudero, and I. García, “A framework proposal for regional-scale flood-risk assessment of cultural heritage sites and application to the Castile and León Region (Central Spain),” Water, vol. 12, no. 2, page 329, 2020. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12020329
  • D. Souissi, L. Zouhri, S. Hammami, M. H. Msaddek, A. Zghibi, and M. Dlala, “GIS-based MCDM–AHP modeling for flood susceptibility mapping of arid areas, southeastern Tunisia,” Geocarto International, vol. 35, no. 9, pp. 991-1017, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2019.1566405
  • S. Hadian, H. Afzalimehr, N. Soltani, E. Shahiri Tabarestani, and Q. B. Pham, “Application of MCDM methods for flood susceptibility assessment and evaluation the impacts of past experiences on flood preparedness,” Geocarto International, pp. 1-24, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2022.2107714
  • H. M. Lyu, S. L. Shen, A. Zhou, and J. Yang, “Perspectives for flood risk assessment and management for mega-city metro system,” Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology, vol. 84, pp. 31-44, 2019.
  • E. G. Polat, “Medical waste management during coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic at the city level,” International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, vol. 19, no. 5, pp. 3907-3918, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-021-03748-7
  • C. Dağsuyu, E. Göçmen, M. Narlı, and A. Kokangül, “Classical and fuzzy FMEA risk analysis in a sterilization unit,” Computers & Industrial Engineering, vol. 101, pp. 286-294, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2016.09.015
  • M. Narlı, E. Göçmen, and O. Derse, “Risk assessment using a novel hybrid method: a case study at the biochemistry department,” Hacettepe Sağlık İdaresi Dergisi, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 571-588, 2021.
  • C. Dagsuyu, O. Derse, and M. Oturakci, “Integrated risk prioritization and action selection for cold chain,” Environmental Science and Pollution Research, vol. 28, no. 13, pp. 15646-15658, 2021.
  • T. Tingsanchali, and Y. Keokhumcheng, “A method for evaluating flood hazard and flood risk of east Bangkok plain, Thailand,” Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Engineering Sustainability, Thomas Telford Ltd. vol. 172, no. 7, pp. 385-392, 2018.
  • T. Tingsanchali, and T. Promping, “Comprehensive assessment of flood hazard, vulnerability, and flood risk at the household level in a municipality area: A case study of Nan Province, Thailand,” Water, vol. 14, no. 2, page 161, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14020161
  • M. P. Mohanty, and S. P. Simonovic, “Understanding dynamics of population flood exposure in Canada with multiple high-resolution population datasets,” Science of The Total Environment, vol. 759, no. 143559, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143559
  • M. M. A. Khan, N. A. B. Shaari, A. M. A. Bahar, M. A. Baten, and D. B. Nazaruddin, “Flood impact assessment in Kota Bharu, Malaysia: a statistical analysis,” World Applied Sciences Journal, vol. 32, no. 4, pp. 626-634, 2014.
  • D. Ma, J. Chen, W. Zhang, L. Zheng, and Y. Liu, “Farmers’ vulnerability to flood risk: a case study in the Poyang Lake Region,” Journal of Geographical Sciences, vol. 17, pp. 269-284, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-007-0269-5
  • M. I. Mahmood, N. A. Elagib, F. Horn, and S. A. Saad, “Lessons learned from Khartoum flash flood impacts: An integrated assessment,” Science of the Total Environment, vol. 601, pp. 1031-1045, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.05.260
  • T.R. Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, General Directorate of Meteorology, 2019 Meteorological Disasters Evaluation, “The Distribution of Heavy Rainfall/Flood Disasters in Turkey in 2019 by Provinces”, Ankara, 2020.
  • T.R. Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change General Directorate of Meteorology, 2020 Meteorological Disasters Assessment, “The Distribution of Heavy Rainfall/Flood Disasters in Turkey in 2020 by Provinces”, Ankara, 2021.
  • T.R. Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, General Directorate of Meteorology, Assessment of Meteorological Disasters for 2021, “The Distribution of Heavy Rain/Flood Disasters in Turkey in 2021 by Provinces”, Ankara, 2022.
  • Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK), “Annual growth rate of population and population density of provinces by years, 2007-2022”, [Accessed: 03.04.2023].
  • Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK), “Households by provinces and ownership status of the dwelling, 2021”, [Accessed: 03.04.2023].
  • General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works (DSI), “Flood Protection Facilities by Province, 2013-2021”, https://www.dsi.gov.tr/Sayfa/Detay/1622, [Accessed: 01.04.223].
  • A. Godfrey, R. L. Ciurean, C. J. Van Westen, N. C. Kingma, and T. Glade, “Assessing vulnerability of buildings to hydro-meteorological hazards using an expert-based approach–An application in Nehoiu Valley, Romania,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 13, pp. 229-241, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.06.001
  • Z. E. Yin, J. Yin, S. Xu, and J. Wen, “Community-based scenario modelling and disaster risk assessment of urban rainstorm waterlogging,” Journal of Geographical Sciences, vol. 21, pp. 274-284, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-011-0844-7
  • K. Khosravi, H. R. Pourghasemi, K. Chapi, and M. Bahri, “Flash flood susceptibility analysis and its mapping using different bivariate models in Iran: a comparison between Shannon’s entropy, statistical index, and weighting factor models,” Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, vol. 188, pp. 1-21, 2016.
  • Y. Ma, S. Guga, J. Xu, X. Liu, Z. Tong, and J. Zhang, “Assessment of maize drought risk in Midwestern Jilin Province: A comparative analysis of TOPSIS and VIKOR models,” Remote Sensing, vol. 14, no. 10, page 2399, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14102399
  • L. A. Hadi, W. M. Naim, N. A. Adnan, A. Nisa, and E. S. Said, “GIS based multi-criteria decision making for flood vulnerability index assessment,” Journal of Telecommunication, Electronic and Computer Engineering (JTEC), vol. 9, no. 1-2, pp. 7-11, 2017.
  • H. Desalegn, and A. Mulu, “Flood vulnerability assessment using GIS at Fetam watershed, upper Abbay basin, Ethiopia,” Heliyon, vol. 7, no. 1, page e05865, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e05865
  • E. Feloni, I. Mousadis, and E. Baltas, “Flood vulnerability assessment using a GIS‐based multi‐criteria approach—The case of Attica region,” Journal of Flood Risk Management, vol. 13, page e12563, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12563
  • K. Garbutt, C. Ellul, and T. Fujiyama, “Mapping social vulnerability to flood hazard in Norfolk, England,” Environmental Hazards, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 156-186, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1080/17477891.2015.1028018
  • L. Rygel, D. O’sullivan, and B. Yarnal, “A method for constructing a social vulnerability index: an application to hurricane storm surges in a developed country,” Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, vol. 11, pp. 741-764, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-006-0265-6
  • Ö. Ekmekcioğlu, K. Koc, and M. Özger, “Towards flood risk mapping based on multi-tiered decision making in a densely urbanized metropolitan city of Istanbul,” Sustainable Cities and Society, vol. 80, no. 103759, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.103759
  • C. Sawangnate, B. Chaisri, and S. Kittipongvises, “Flood hazard mapping and flood preparedness literacy of the elderly population residing in Bangkok, Thailand,” Water, vol. 14, no. 8, page 1268, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14081268
Toplam 55 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Mühendislik
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Onur Derse 0000-0002-4528-1999

Elifcan Göçmen Polat 0000-0002-0316-281X

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Mart 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 12 Nisan 2023
Kabul Tarihi 1 Şubat 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

IEEE O. Derse ve E. Göçmen Polat, “ASSESSMENT OF URBAN FLOOD RISKS OF THE CITIES USING ENTROPY-VIKOR METHODS IN TÜRKİYE”, KONJES, c. 12, sy. 1, ss. 162–176, 2024, doi: 10.36306/konjes.1281943.