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Year 2015, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 23 - 61, 01.06.2015

Abstract

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References

  • Aizenman, Joshua, Menzie D. Chinn, and Hiro Ito. 2008. Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma’s ConŞ gurations Overtime. NBER Working Paper No.14533. December.
  • Alamsyah, Halim. 2008. Persistensi Infl asi dan Implikasinya terhadap Pilihan Kebijakan Moneter di Indonesia. PhD. Dissertation. University of Indonesia.
  • Bank Indonesia, Indonesian Economic Report, several publications.
  • _____________, Indonesian Financial Statistics, several publications.
  • Barro, R.J. and D.B. Gordon. 1983. “Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy”. Journal of Monetary Economics.12.
  • Bean, Charles, Matthias Paustian, Adrian Penalver and Tim Taylor. 2010. Monetary Policy After the Fall. FRB of Kansas City Annual Conference, Wyoming.
  • Bernanke, B. S., Laubach, T., Mishkin, F.S., Posen, A.S. 1999. Infl ation Targeting: Lessons from International Experience, Princenton University Press.
  • Clarida, Richard H., Gali, Jordi and Gertler, Mark. 1999. “Th e Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective”. NBER Working Paper No. W7147. May.
  • Coats, David (Ed.). 2011. Exiting from Th e Crisis: Towards a Model of More Equitable and Sustainable Growth. European Trade Union Institute (ETUI).
  • Daboussi, Olfa Manai. 2014. “Economic Performance and Infl ation Targeting in Developing Economies”. Journal of World Economic Research. Vol. 3, No 1.
  • Felipe, Jesus and Joseph Lim. 2005. Export or Domestic- Led Growth in Asia?. Economic and Research Department (ERD) Working Paper Series No. 69, Asian Development Bank.
  • Gali, Jordi. 2008. Monetary Policy, Infl ation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynessian Framework. Princeton University Press.
  • Goodfriend, Marvin and Robert G . King. 1997. “Th e New Neoclassical Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy”. In Ben S. Bernanke and Julio Rotemberg. Eds. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12. MIT Press. January.
  • Harmanta .2009. Kredibilitas Kebijakan Moneter dan Dampaknya terhadap Persistensi Infl asi dan Strategi Disinfl asi di Indonesia: dengan Model Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE). PhD. Dissertation. University of Indonesia.
  • Henderson, D. and McKibbin, W. J. 1993. “A Comparison of Some Basic Monetary Policy Regimes for Open Economies: Implications of Diff erent Degrees of Instrument Adjustment and Wage ersistence,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 221—317.
  • Juhro, Solikin and Miranda S. Goeltom. 2012. Monetary Policy Regime in Indonesia: towards A Post-GFC Framework. Structural Research Project on Monetary Policy Regime in PaciŞ c Region, PaciŞ c Economic Outlook (PEO). Osaka.
  • Juhro, Solikin M. 2012. Th e Role of Central Bank in A New Sustainable Growth Model, SEACEN and CeMCoA/BOJ Conference Proceeding, Kuala Lumpur.
  • Juhro, Solikin M. 2010. Th e Vicious Circle of Rising Capital Infl ows and Eff ectiveness of Monetary Control in Indonesia. Policy Research Note. Bank Indonesia.
  • Juhro, Solikin M. et al. 2009. Review of the Implementation of ITF in Indonesia. Bank Indonesia Working Paper. Bank Indonesia.
  • Kydland, F.E. and E.C. Prescott. 1977. “Rule Rather Th an Discretion: Th e Inconsistency of Optimal Plans”. Journal of Political Economy. Vol.85.
  • McKibbin, Renée A. Fry and Chen Wang. 2014. “Does Infl ation Targeting Outperform Alternative Policies during Global Downturns”. Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) Working Paper, No.64. Th e Australian National University. August.
  • Mishkin, Frederic S. 2011. Monetary Policy Strategy. NBER Working Paper No.16755. February.
  • Mishkin, Frederic S. and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel. 2001. “One Decade of Infl ation Targeting in the World: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?”. in Norman Loayza and Raimundo Soto, eds., Infl ation Targeting: Design, Performance, Challenges. Central Bank of Chile: Santiago.
  • Nelson, Daniel B. 1991. Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica. Vol. 59.
  • Palley, Th omas I. 2011. Th e Rise and Fall of Export-led Growth. Levy Economics Institute Working Paper No. 675.
  • Palley, Th omas I. 2009. Rethinking the Economics of Capital Mobility and Capital Controls. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 29. No 3 (115). July- September.
  • Rogoff , Kenneth. 1985. “Th e Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target”. Quarterly Journal of Economics.November.
  • Rotemberg, Julio J. and Michael Woodford. 1997. “An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy”. In Ben S. Bernanke and Julio Rotemberg. Eds. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12. MIT Press. January.
  • Svensson, Lars E O. 2009. Flexible Infl ation Targeting – Lessons from the Financial Crisis. Speech at the Workshop “Towards a new framework for monetary policy? Lessons from the Crisis”. the Netherlands Bank, Amsterdam, September.
  • ________________. 1997. “Infl ation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Infl ation Targets”. European Economic Review. Vol. 41.
  • Walsh, Carl E. 2008. Infl ation Targeting: What Have We Learned?. Lecture, prepared for “International Experience with the Conduct of Monetary Policy under Infl ation Targeting”. Bank of Canada.
  • Warjiyo, Perry. 2013. “Macroeconomic Policy Mix for Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth”, Keynote Speech At the ESCAP High Level Policy Dialogue and the 11th Bank Indonesia Annual International Seminar. Yogyakarta
  • Warjiyo, Perry and Solikin M. Juhro. 2012, “Bank Indonesia Policy Framework and Decision Making Process”, Policy Note, Bank Indonesia. August.
  • Watt, Andrew and Andreas Botsch (Eds.). 2010, After the Crisis: Towards a Sustainable Growth Model. European Trade Union Institute (ETUI).

The Role of the Central Bank in Promoting Sustainable Growth: Perspectives on the Implementation of Flexible ITF in Indonesia

Year 2015, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 23 - 61, 01.06.2015

Abstract

The global financial crisis of 2008-09 (GFC) and the deep accompanying recession created an overarching structural condition of a
global and domestic demand shortage. Since then, from a broader
policy perspective, there has been a growing call for a revival of the
subdued role of the central bank in promoting sustainable economic
growth. This paper shows that, in the midst of global uncertainty,
the policy configuration to maintain sustainable economic growth
should be aimed to simultaneously strike the internal and external
balance. Th is implies that domestic policy cannot abandon export
promotion strategies, while building up the domestic demand side of
the economy. The role of the central bank, therefore, should be directed to integrate monetary and financial system stability frameworks.
The paper also shows that the post-GFC monetary policy framework
enhancement in Indonesia is characterized by the Flexible Infl ation
Targeting Framework (ITF). In this regard, the policy framework
continues to adhere to an infl ation target as the overriding objective
of monetary policy. Th e main characteristics of ITF will remain;
however, Bank Indonesia must also consider a number of other factors, including financial sector stability as well as the dynamics of
capital fl ows and exchange rates. Th e feasibility of the framework
should be in line with the empirical fi ndings of this paper and provide a firm justifi cation that, in a broader sense, a monetary policy
framework aimed at achieving price stability is relevant for the Indonesian economy. By adopting ITF-based monetary policy, Bank
Indonesia has sufficient policy space to absorb a certain degree of
negative impacts of a crisis, thus preserving economic growth. To
this point, strengthening policy coordination between Bank Indonesia and the Government in order to advance structural reform
is sufficient to drive sustainable growth in the medium–long term.

References

  • Aizenman, Joshua, Menzie D. Chinn, and Hiro Ito. 2008. Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma’s ConŞ gurations Overtime. NBER Working Paper No.14533. December.
  • Alamsyah, Halim. 2008. Persistensi Infl asi dan Implikasinya terhadap Pilihan Kebijakan Moneter di Indonesia. PhD. Dissertation. University of Indonesia.
  • Bank Indonesia, Indonesian Economic Report, several publications.
  • _____________, Indonesian Financial Statistics, several publications.
  • Barro, R.J. and D.B. Gordon. 1983. “Rules, Discretion, and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy”. Journal of Monetary Economics.12.
  • Bean, Charles, Matthias Paustian, Adrian Penalver and Tim Taylor. 2010. Monetary Policy After the Fall. FRB of Kansas City Annual Conference, Wyoming.
  • Bernanke, B. S., Laubach, T., Mishkin, F.S., Posen, A.S. 1999. Infl ation Targeting: Lessons from International Experience, Princenton University Press.
  • Clarida, Richard H., Gali, Jordi and Gertler, Mark. 1999. “Th e Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective”. NBER Working Paper No. W7147. May.
  • Coats, David (Ed.). 2011. Exiting from Th e Crisis: Towards a Model of More Equitable and Sustainable Growth. European Trade Union Institute (ETUI).
  • Daboussi, Olfa Manai. 2014. “Economic Performance and Infl ation Targeting in Developing Economies”. Journal of World Economic Research. Vol. 3, No 1.
  • Felipe, Jesus and Joseph Lim. 2005. Export or Domestic- Led Growth in Asia?. Economic and Research Department (ERD) Working Paper Series No. 69, Asian Development Bank.
  • Gali, Jordi. 2008. Monetary Policy, Infl ation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynessian Framework. Princeton University Press.
  • Goodfriend, Marvin and Robert G . King. 1997. “Th e New Neoclassical Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy”. In Ben S. Bernanke and Julio Rotemberg. Eds. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12. MIT Press. January.
  • Harmanta .2009. Kredibilitas Kebijakan Moneter dan Dampaknya terhadap Persistensi Infl asi dan Strategi Disinfl asi di Indonesia: dengan Model Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE). PhD. Dissertation. University of Indonesia.
  • Henderson, D. and McKibbin, W. J. 1993. “A Comparison of Some Basic Monetary Policy Regimes for Open Economies: Implications of Diff erent Degrees of Instrument Adjustment and Wage ersistence,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 221—317.
  • Juhro, Solikin and Miranda S. Goeltom. 2012. Monetary Policy Regime in Indonesia: towards A Post-GFC Framework. Structural Research Project on Monetary Policy Regime in PaciŞ c Region, PaciŞ c Economic Outlook (PEO). Osaka.
  • Juhro, Solikin M. 2012. Th e Role of Central Bank in A New Sustainable Growth Model, SEACEN and CeMCoA/BOJ Conference Proceeding, Kuala Lumpur.
  • Juhro, Solikin M. 2010. Th e Vicious Circle of Rising Capital Infl ows and Eff ectiveness of Monetary Control in Indonesia. Policy Research Note. Bank Indonesia.
  • Juhro, Solikin M. et al. 2009. Review of the Implementation of ITF in Indonesia. Bank Indonesia Working Paper. Bank Indonesia.
  • Kydland, F.E. and E.C. Prescott. 1977. “Rule Rather Th an Discretion: Th e Inconsistency of Optimal Plans”. Journal of Political Economy. Vol.85.
  • McKibbin, Renée A. Fry and Chen Wang. 2014. “Does Infl ation Targeting Outperform Alternative Policies during Global Downturns”. Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) Working Paper, No.64. Th e Australian National University. August.
  • Mishkin, Frederic S. 2011. Monetary Policy Strategy. NBER Working Paper No.16755. February.
  • Mishkin, Frederic S. and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel. 2001. “One Decade of Infl ation Targeting in the World: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?”. in Norman Loayza and Raimundo Soto, eds., Infl ation Targeting: Design, Performance, Challenges. Central Bank of Chile: Santiago.
  • Nelson, Daniel B. 1991. Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica. Vol. 59.
  • Palley, Th omas I. 2011. Th e Rise and Fall of Export-led Growth. Levy Economics Institute Working Paper No. 675.
  • Palley, Th omas I. 2009. Rethinking the Economics of Capital Mobility and Capital Controls. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 29. No 3 (115). July- September.
  • Rogoff , Kenneth. 1985. “Th e Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target”. Quarterly Journal of Economics.November.
  • Rotemberg, Julio J. and Michael Woodford. 1997. “An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy”. In Ben S. Bernanke and Julio Rotemberg. Eds. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12. MIT Press. January.
  • Svensson, Lars E O. 2009. Flexible Infl ation Targeting – Lessons from the Financial Crisis. Speech at the Workshop “Towards a new framework for monetary policy? Lessons from the Crisis”. the Netherlands Bank, Amsterdam, September.
  • ________________. 1997. “Infl ation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Infl ation Targets”. European Economic Review. Vol. 41.
  • Walsh, Carl E. 2008. Infl ation Targeting: What Have We Learned?. Lecture, prepared for “International Experience with the Conduct of Monetary Policy under Infl ation Targeting”. Bank of Canada.
  • Warjiyo, Perry. 2013. “Macroeconomic Policy Mix for Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth”, Keynote Speech At the ESCAP High Level Policy Dialogue and the 11th Bank Indonesia Annual International Seminar. Yogyakarta
  • Warjiyo, Perry and Solikin M. Juhro. 2012, “Bank Indonesia Policy Framework and Decision Making Process”, Policy Note, Bank Indonesia. August.
  • Watt, Andrew and Andreas Botsch (Eds.). 2010, After the Crisis: Towards a Sustainable Growth Model. European Trade Union Institute (ETUI).
There are 34 citations in total.

Details

Other ID JA34DD86YP
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Solikin M Juhro This is me

Publication Date June 1, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2015 Volume: 4 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Juhro, S. M. (2015). The Role of the Central Bank in Promoting Sustainable Growth: Perspectives on the Implementation of Flexible ITF in Indonesia. Afro Eurasian Studies, 4(1), 23-61.

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