An examination of the BRICS-T countries with regard to the sustainable development goal of health and quality of life and a future forecast with NGBM(1,1)

Year 2025, Volume: 27 Issue: Özel Sayı, 140 - 156, 19.03.2025

Tezcan Şahin

Abstract

This study aims to examine the BRICS-T countries, consisting of Brazil (B), Russia (R), India (I), China (C), South Africa (S) and Turkey (T), in terms of health and quality of life goals, which are sub-goals of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and to make future estimates for these countries by 2030. In this study, the health indicators of the BRICS-T countries were analysed. The base year of the data is 2005, and some indicators end in 2019, 2020 or 2021. Using this data, estimates were made up to 2030. The analyses were carried out using the NGBM(1,1) method. It was found that the BRICS-T countries had varying degrees of success in achieving their health targets. According to the estimates for the year 2030, all countries will be successful in reducing the maternal mortality ratio. However, there will be differences between countries in achieving other health targets. Although each country is likely to make significant progress in some areas, they will probably struggle to meet some specific health targets. Therefore, it is concluded that the BRICS-T countries need to review their current health policies, reduce regional inequalities, improve access to health services, strengthen inter-sectoral cooperation, implement more comprehensive social reforms and cooperate internationally to achieve the SDG 3 targets.

Keywords

Sustainable development goals, Health indicators, Future forecast, BRICS-T

BRICS-T ülkelerinin sürdürülebilir kalkınma hedefi kapsamında sağlık ve kaliteli yaşam açısından incelenmesi ve NGBM(1,1) ile gelecek tahmini

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Brezilya (B), Rusya (R), Hindistan (I), Çin (C), Güney Afrika (S) ve Türkiye (T)’den oluşan BRICS-T ülkelerini Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları’nın (SKA) alt hedeflerinden biri olan sağlık ve kaliteli yaşam hedefleri açısından incelemeyi ve bu ülkeler için 2030 yılına kadar gelecek tahminleri yapmayı amaçlamaktadır. Bu çalışmada, BRICS-T ülkelerinin sağlık göstergeleri analiz edilmiştir. Verilerin başlangıç yılı 2005 olup, bazı göstergeler 2019, 2020 veya 2021 yıllarında sona ermektedir. Bu veriler kullanılarak 2030 yılına kadar tahminler yapılmıştır. Analizler NGBM(1,1) yöntemi kullanılarak gerçekleştirilmiştir. BRICS-T ülkelerinin sağlık hedeflerine ulaşmada farklı düzeylerde başarılar elde ettiği bulunmuştur. 2030 yılı için yapılan tahminlere göre, tüm ülkelerin anne ölüm oranlarını azaltmada başarılı olacağı öngörülmektedir. Ancak diğer sağlık hedeflerine ulaşmada ülkeler arasında farklılıklar olacaktır. Her ne kadar her bir ülkenin bazı alanlarda önemli ilerlemeler kaydetmesi beklense de bazı spesifik sağlık hedeflerine ulaşmada zorluklarla karşılaşacakları öngörülmektedir. Bu nedenle, BRICS-T ülkelerinin SKA 3 hedeflerine ulaşabilmeleri için mevcut sağlık politikalarını gözden geçirmeleri, bölgesel eşitsizlikleri azaltmaları, sağlık hizmetlerine erişimi iyileştirmeleri, sektörler arası iş birliğini güçlendirmeleri ve daha kapsamlı sosyal reformlar gerçekleştirmeleri ile uluslararası işbirliği yapmaları gerektiği sonucuna varılmıştır.

Keywords

Sürdürülebilir kalkınma hedefleri, Sağlık göstergeleri, Gelecek tahmini, BRICS-T

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