Abstract
Nowadays, the most cricital element of modern world is to establish connection. The most critical sector of country development and sustaining global economic growth is undouble aviation industry which is applied technological innovations in the fastest way and provides establishing these connections.
In this article, firstly the air passangers numbers between1970 to 2013 try to analysis by the diagnostic time series analysis. After that, it has been researched that the law changes are really effect air transport sector. For testing this situation Chow’s Breakpoint test has been chosen.
After analysis shown that law changes in 2001 really effect that Turkeys air passengers numbers than its cause to appear a break point in time series.
References
- Backxa M., Michael Carneyb, M., Gedajlovicc E., Public, Private And Mixed Ownership And The Performance Of İnternational Airlines, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 8, Issue 4, July 2002, Pages 213–220
- Bonilla, J.L.M., 2008, Influence Of The State-Owned Airlines On Passenger Satisfaction, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 14, Issue 3, May 2008, Pages 143–145
- Box, G. E.P., Jenkins, G. N., Reinsel, 1976, Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control, Holden-Day Inc., ISBN:0-8162-1104-3, USA
- Chow, G.C., (1960). Tests Of Equality Between Sets Of Coefficients İn Two Linear Regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591-605.
- Dickey, D., Fuller, W., 1979, Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.
- Enders, W., 2004, Applied Econometric Times Series, International Edition, Wiley Series in Probability and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, John, ISBN: 9780471451730, Newyork, USA
- Gerber, P. 2002, Success Factors For The Privatisation of Airports—An Airline Perspective, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 8, Issue 1, January 2002, Pages 29–36
- Gujarati, D., 2004, Basic Econometrics, 4th Edition, Mc Graw Hill Companies, ISBN: 0072478527, 1221 Avenue of the Americas - 47th floor, New York, NY 10020-1095, USA
- Hooper, P., 2002 Privatization of Airports in Asia, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 8, Issue 5, September 2002, Pages 289–300
- Lipovich, G. A., 2008, The Privatization Of Argentine Airports, Journal of Air Transport Management, Volume 14, Issue 1, January 2008, Pages 8–15
- Ouma, T.H., Adlerb N., Yua, C., Privatization, Corporatization, Ownership Forms And Their Effects On The Performance Of The World's Major Airports, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 12, Issue 3, May 2006, Pages 109–121 (Air Transport Research Society Conference, Rio de Janeiro, July 2005)
- Yanga X., Tok S.A., Suc, F., The Privatization And Commercialization Of China's Airports, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 14, Issue 5, September 2008, Pages 243–251
- Uaştırma Bakanlığı Havacılık Sektörü Raporu, 2013
- Ulaştırma Bakanlığı Havacılık ve Uzay Raporu, 2014
- www.dhmi.gov.tr
- www.worldbank.org
HAVAYOLU TAŞIMACILIĞI KANUNLARINDAKİ DEĞİŞİKLİĞİN TÜRKİYE’DEKİ HAVAYOLU YOLCU TAŞIMACILIĞI ÜZERİNE ETKİLERİNİN ARAŞTIRILMASI
Abstract
Günümüzde modern dünyanın en kritik unsuru bağlantı kurmaktır. Ülkelerin gelişiminde ve küresel ekonomik büyümenin sürdürülmesinde en kritik öneme sahip sektörlerden biride, hiç kuşkusuz bu bağlantının kurulmasını sağlayan ve teknolojik yeniliklerin en hızlı hayata geçirildiği havacılık sektörüdür.Bu çalışmada Türkiye’deki 1970-2013 yılları arası havayolu ile taşınan yolcu sayılarına ait verilerin temel zaman serileri analizleri kullanılarak serinin gösterdiği davranışlar analiz edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Özellikle 2000’li yıllardan sonra devlet teşvikleri ve kanun değişikleri ile hayata geçen uygulamaların sektör üzerinde nasıl bir etkisi olduğunun anlaşılması için yapısal kırılma testi olarak da bilinen Chow’un Yapısal Kırılma (Chow’s Break Point Test) testi uygulanmıştır. Analizler sonucunda özellikle 2001 yılındaki kanun değişikliğinden sonra serinin trendinin arttığı bu durumda seride yapısal bir kırılmaya sebep olduğu tespit edilmiştir.
References
- Backxa M., Michael Carneyb, M., Gedajlovicc E., Public, Private And Mixed Ownership And The Performance Of İnternational Airlines, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 8, Issue 4, July 2002, Pages 213–220
- Bonilla, J.L.M., 2008, Influence Of The State-Owned Airlines On Passenger Satisfaction, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 14, Issue 3, May 2008, Pages 143–145
- Box, G. E.P., Jenkins, G. N., Reinsel, 1976, Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control, Holden-Day Inc., ISBN:0-8162-1104-3, USA
- Chow, G.C., (1960). Tests Of Equality Between Sets Of Coefficients İn Two Linear Regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591-605.
- Dickey, D., Fuller, W., 1979, Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.
- Enders, W., 2004, Applied Econometric Times Series, International Edition, Wiley Series in Probability and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, John, ISBN: 9780471451730, Newyork, USA
- Gerber, P. 2002, Success Factors For The Privatisation of Airports—An Airline Perspective, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 8, Issue 1, January 2002, Pages 29–36
- Gujarati, D., 2004, Basic Econometrics, 4th Edition, Mc Graw Hill Companies, ISBN: 0072478527, 1221 Avenue of the Americas - 47th floor, New York, NY 10020-1095, USA
- Hooper, P., 2002 Privatization of Airports in Asia, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 8, Issue 5, September 2002, Pages 289–300
- Lipovich, G. A., 2008, The Privatization Of Argentine Airports, Journal of Air Transport Management, Volume 14, Issue 1, January 2008, Pages 8–15
- Ouma, T.H., Adlerb N., Yua, C., Privatization, Corporatization, Ownership Forms And Their Effects On The Performance Of The World's Major Airports, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 12, Issue 3, May 2006, Pages 109–121 (Air Transport Research Society Conference, Rio de Janeiro, July 2005)
- Yanga X., Tok S.A., Suc, F., The Privatization And Commercialization Of China's Airports, Journal of Air Transport Management Volume 14, Issue 5, September 2008, Pages 243–251
- Uaştırma Bakanlığı Havacılık Sektörü Raporu, 2013
- Ulaştırma Bakanlığı Havacılık ve Uzay Raporu, 2014
- www.dhmi.gov.tr
- www.worldbank.org
Details
| Primary Language | Turkish |
|---|---|
| Journal Section | Articles |
| Authors | |
| Publication Date | March 30, 2015 |
| Submission Date | March 30, 2015 |
| Published in Issue | Year 2015 Volume 3, Issue 1, 2015 |
Alphanumeric Journal is hosted on DergiPark, a web based online submission and peer review system powered by TUBİTAK ULAKBIM.