Year 2020, Volume 8 , Issue 2, Pages 227 - 236 2020-12-31

The Estimation of Turkey's Energy Demand Through Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Regression Methods

Mehmet KAYAKUŞ [1]


Energy demand and consumption are very important for the development and progress of countries. Energy demand is increasing rapidly day by day, especially in developing countries. Energy policies should be determined correctly to sustain the industry sector and make the right investments. Forecasting energy demand in the near and long term is important for the strategy that countries will follow. In this study, by using the monthly electricity energy data realized in Turkey between January 2016 and March 2020 and other data affecting this, a model to estimate electrical energy consumption was developed. In this model, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) were used as methods. This study used 15 independent variables as the input value, and Turkey's energy consumption value as the dependent variable was estimated. Correlation, coefficient of determination, MAE, MSE, RMSE, MAPE statistical methods were used to measure success and error rate, and both models were found to have acceptable error values and success estimation rates. According to the results, it was concluded that the ANN method was more successful than the SVR method.
Energy consumption, artificial neural networks, support vector regression
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Primary Language en
Subjects Industrial Engineering
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Orcid: 0000-0003-0394-5862
Author: Mehmet KAYAKUŞ (Primary Author)
Institution: AKDENİZ ÜNİVERSİTESİ
Country: Turkey


Dates

Application Date : June 23, 2020
Acceptance Date : November 25, 2020
Publication Date : December 31, 2020

APA Kayakuş, M . (2020). The Estimation of Turkey's Energy Demand Through Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Regression Methods . Alphanumeric Journal , 8 (2) , 227-236 . DOI: 10.17093/alphanumeric.756651