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THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY AND INFLATION WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF VOICE AND ACCOUNTABILITY

Year 2024, Volume: 1 Issue: 1, 1 - 13, 26.12.2024

Abstract

Monetary policy instruments are also employed in the battle against inflation since monetary factors are typically cited as the primary cause of inflation. The issue of inflation has started to be examined in terms of institutional quality measures, aside from monetary components, in recent years. This research takes a fresh approach in examining the relationship between inflation and the institutional quality indicator known as the "voice and accountability" index. Data from 12 Eastern European and Central Asian nations between 2002 and 2022 were utilized in this context. A positive relationship between institutional quality and inflation was found for the whole group, according to the findings from the panel Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares Mean Group estimator. This demonstrates that the inflation issue has not been resolved by improvements in institutional quality. On the other hand, a similar situation is valid for Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, North Macedonia and Ukraine. In Albania, Armenia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, and Turkey, however, there was a negative relationship between improvements in institutional quality and inflation. It can be claimed that these nations' inflation issues will be resolved in part by improvements in institutional quality.

References

  • Aisen, A., & Veiga, F. J. (2008). Political instability and inflation volatility. Public choice, 135, 207-223.
  • Akbakay, Z. (2022). Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde enflasyonun politik ve kurumsal belirleyicileri. Third Sector Social Economic Review, 57(3), 2347-2363.
  • Asadi, S. P., & Sheidaei, Z. (2017). Institutional quality and inflation dynamics: A case study of Iran. 1st
  • International Conference on Economic Planning Sustainable and Balanced Regional Development; Approaches and Applications, 03-04 May, 2017.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. West Sussex: John Wiley and Sons. Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The review of economic studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Cukierman, A., Sebastian, E., & Guido, T. (1992). Seigniorage and political economy. American Economic Review, 82(3), 537-555.
  • Çiçen, Y. B. (2023). The Nexus between Institutional Quality and inflation in emerging markets: a panel causality test with a fourier function. Ekonomika, 102(1), 140-152.
  • Fenira, M. (2014). Democracy: a determinant factor in reducing inflation. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 4(2), 363-375.
  • Friedman, M. (1970). Counter-Revolution in Monetary Theory. Wincott Memorial Lecture, Institute of Economic Affairs, Occasional paper 33.
  • Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2012). Governance matters VI: Aggregate and individual governance indicators, 1996-2006.
  • Khan, M., & Hanif, W. (2020). Institutional quality and the relationship between inflation and economic growth. Empirical Economics, 58, 627-649.
  • Kinlaw, W., Kritzman, M., Metcalfe, M., & Turkington, D. (2023). The determinants of inflation. Journal of investment management, 21(3), 29-41.
  • Kolcu, F. (2023). Türkiye’de enflasyonun belirleyicileri. Hitit Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 16(1), 31-56. Melaku, M. (2021). Determinants of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic. Developing Country Studies, 11(3), 16-19.
  • Mujahid, H., Uddin, I., Tabash, M., Ayubi, S., & Asad, M. (2021). Inflation Volatility, Quality Of Institutions, And Openness. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 25(7), 16-19.
  • Pedroni, Peter (2001). “Purchasing Power Parity Tests in Cointegrated Panels”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 83(4), 727-731.
  • Peseran, M.H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels, University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, Cambridge WP0435 in Economics.
  • Pesaran, M.H. ve Smith, R.P. (1995). Estimating Long-Run Relationships from Dynamic Heterogenous Panels, Journal of Econometrics, 68, 79-113.
  • Ridwan, M. (2022). Determinants of Inflation: Monetary and Macroeconomic Perspectives. KINERJA: Jurnal Manajemen Organisasi dan Industri, 1(1), 1-10.
  • Salahodjaev, R., & Chepel, S. (2014). Institutional quality and inflation. Modern Economy, 5(03), 219-223. Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. R. (2012). Modern Makroekonomi: Temelleri, Gelişimi ve Bugünü, Efil Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Swamy, P. A. (1970). Efficient inference in a random coefficient regression model. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 311-323.
  • Taylor, M. P., & Sarno, L. (1998). The behavior of real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period. Journal of international Economics, 46(2), 281-312.
  • The World Bank (2024a), World Development Indicators, Inflation, consumer prices (annual %), https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024.
  • The World Bank (2024b), World Development Indicators, Consumer price index (2010 = 100), https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024
  • The World Bank (2024c), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Voice and Accountability: Estimate, https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024
  • The World Bank (2024d), World Development Indicators, GDP per capita (current US$), https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024
  • Williams, J. C. (2012). Monetary policy, money, and inflation. FRBSF Economic Letter, 21(9). Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2017). Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi, Beta Yayınları, İstanbul
  • Yilmazkuday, H. (2022). Drivers of Turkish inflation. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 84, 315-323.
  • Yousaf, A., & Mukhtar, T. (2018). Capital Account Liberalization, Institutional Quality and Inflation Dynamics: The Case Of Pakistan. Pakistan Journal Of Applied Economics, 28(1), 513-535.

SÖZ HAKKI VE HESAP VEREBİLİRLİK ÇERÇEVESİNDE KURUMSAL KALİTE – ENFLASYON İLİŞKİSİ

Year 2024, Volume: 1 Issue: 1, 1 - 13, 26.12.2024

Abstract

Enflasyon, genel olarak parasal unsurlar temelinde açıklandığından, enflasyonla mücadelede de para politikası araçlarına başvurulmaktadır. Son yıllarda enflasyon problemi, parasal unsurlar dışında kurumsal kalite göstergeleri açısından da ele alınmaya başlanmıştır. Bu çalışmada da farklı bir bakış açısı olarak kurumsal kalite göstergelerinden “söz hakkı ve hesap verebilirlik” endeksi ile enflasyon arasındaki ilişki incelenmektedir. Bu kapsamda, Doğu Avrupa ve Orta Asya’da yer alan 12 ülkenin 2002-2022 yılları arasındaki verilerinden hareket edilmiştir. Ortalama Grup Panel Dinamik En Küçük Kareler tahmincisi çerçevesinde elde edilen sonuçlara göre; tüm grup için kurumsal kalite ile enflasyon arasında pozitif bir ilişkiye ulaşılmıştır. Bu durum, kurumsal kalitedeki ilerlemelerin enflasyon sorunu için bir çözüm ortaya koyamadığını göstermektedir. Diğer taraftan benzer bir durum, Azerbaycan, Belarus, Bosna-Hersek, Kuzey Makedonya ve Ukrayna için de geçerlidir. Bununla birlikte; Arnavutluk, Ermenistan, Gürcistan, Kazakistan, Kırgızistan, Moldova ve Türkiye’de ise kurumsal kalite düzeyindeki gelişmeler ile enflasyon arasında negatif ilişki bulunmuştur. Bu ülkeler için enflasyon probleminin çözümünde kurumsal kalite düzeyindeki ilerlemelerin önemli olduğu söylenebilir.

References

  • Aisen, A., & Veiga, F. J. (2008). Political instability and inflation volatility. Public choice, 135, 207-223.
  • Akbakay, Z. (2022). Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde enflasyonun politik ve kurumsal belirleyicileri. Third Sector Social Economic Review, 57(3), 2347-2363.
  • Asadi, S. P., & Sheidaei, Z. (2017). Institutional quality and inflation dynamics: A case study of Iran. 1st
  • International Conference on Economic Planning Sustainable and Balanced Regional Development; Approaches and Applications, 03-04 May, 2017.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. West Sussex: John Wiley and Sons. Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The review of economic studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Cukierman, A., Sebastian, E., & Guido, T. (1992). Seigniorage and political economy. American Economic Review, 82(3), 537-555.
  • Çiçen, Y. B. (2023). The Nexus between Institutional Quality and inflation in emerging markets: a panel causality test with a fourier function. Ekonomika, 102(1), 140-152.
  • Fenira, M. (2014). Democracy: a determinant factor in reducing inflation. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 4(2), 363-375.
  • Friedman, M. (1970). Counter-Revolution in Monetary Theory. Wincott Memorial Lecture, Institute of Economic Affairs, Occasional paper 33.
  • Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2012). Governance matters VI: Aggregate and individual governance indicators, 1996-2006.
  • Khan, M., & Hanif, W. (2020). Institutional quality and the relationship between inflation and economic growth. Empirical Economics, 58, 627-649.
  • Kinlaw, W., Kritzman, M., Metcalfe, M., & Turkington, D. (2023). The determinants of inflation. Journal of investment management, 21(3), 29-41.
  • Kolcu, F. (2023). Türkiye’de enflasyonun belirleyicileri. Hitit Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 16(1), 31-56. Melaku, M. (2021). Determinants of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic. Developing Country Studies, 11(3), 16-19.
  • Mujahid, H., Uddin, I., Tabash, M., Ayubi, S., & Asad, M. (2021). Inflation Volatility, Quality Of Institutions, And Openness. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 25(7), 16-19.
  • Pedroni, Peter (2001). “Purchasing Power Parity Tests in Cointegrated Panels”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 83(4), 727-731.
  • Peseran, M.H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels, University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, Cambridge WP0435 in Economics.
  • Pesaran, M.H. ve Smith, R.P. (1995). Estimating Long-Run Relationships from Dynamic Heterogenous Panels, Journal of Econometrics, 68, 79-113.
  • Ridwan, M. (2022). Determinants of Inflation: Monetary and Macroeconomic Perspectives. KINERJA: Jurnal Manajemen Organisasi dan Industri, 1(1), 1-10.
  • Salahodjaev, R., & Chepel, S. (2014). Institutional quality and inflation. Modern Economy, 5(03), 219-223. Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. R. (2012). Modern Makroekonomi: Temelleri, Gelişimi ve Bugünü, Efil Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Swamy, P. A. (1970). Efficient inference in a random coefficient regression model. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 311-323.
  • Taylor, M. P., & Sarno, L. (1998). The behavior of real exchange rates during the post-Bretton Woods period. Journal of international Economics, 46(2), 281-312.
  • The World Bank (2024a), World Development Indicators, Inflation, consumer prices (annual %), https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024.
  • The World Bank (2024b), World Development Indicators, Consumer price index (2010 = 100), https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024
  • The World Bank (2024c), Worldwide Governance Indicators, Voice and Accountability: Estimate, https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024
  • The World Bank (2024d), World Development Indicators, GDP per capita (current US$), https://databank.worldbank.org/, Erişim: 25.07.2024
  • Williams, J. C. (2012). Monetary policy, money, and inflation. FRBSF Economic Letter, 21(9). Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2017). Panel Zaman Serileri Analizi, Beta Yayınları, İstanbul
  • Yilmazkuday, H. (2022). Drivers of Turkish inflation. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 84, 315-323.
  • Yousaf, A., & Mukhtar, T. (2018). Capital Account Liberalization, Institutional Quality and Inflation Dynamics: The Case Of Pakistan. Pakistan Journal Of Applied Economics, 28(1), 513-535.
There are 28 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Inflation
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Ömer Faruk Biçen 0000-0003-1021-5198

Publication Date December 26, 2024
Submission Date September 6, 2024
Acceptance Date October 17, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 1 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Biçen, Ö. F. (2024). SÖZ HAKKI VE HESAP VEREBİLİRLİK ÇERÇEVESİNDE KURUMSAL KALİTE – ENFLASYON İLİŞKİSİ. Amasya Üniversitesi Ekonomi Ticaret Ve Pazarlama Dergisi, 1(1), 1-13.