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Akut Pankreatit Sonuçlarını Tahmin Etmede Prognostik Beslenme İndeksi ve CRP/Albümin Oranı

Year 2026, Volume: 79 Issue: 1, 21 - 31, 27.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.65092/autfm.1803879
https://izlik.org/JA32MY23YA

Abstract

Amaç: Akut pankreatit (AP), değişken klinik sonuçlara sahip zorlu bir hastalık olmaya devam etmektedir. Bu çalışma, AP hastalarında hastalık şiddetini ve yoğun bakım ünitesi (YBÜ) yatışını öngörmede C-reaktif protein (CRP)/albümin oranı ile Prognostik Nütrisyonel İndeks’in (PNI) prognostik değerini araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır.
Gereç ve Yöntem: Bu retrospektif çalışma, Ankara Etlik Şehir Hastanesi İç Hastalıkları Kliniği’nde akut pankreatit tanısı alan 444 erişkin hastayı içermektedir. Hastalık şiddeti, Revize Atlanta Kriterleri’ne göre sınıflandırılmıştır. CRP/albümin oranı ve PNI, başvuru anındaki laboratuvar verilerinden hesaplanmış; alıcı işletim karakteristik (ROC) analizi ile prediktif performansları değerlendirilmiştir.
Bulgular: Toplam 444 hastanın 340’ı (%76,6) hafif AP, 104’ü (%23,4) orta-ağır AP grubundaydı. Orta-ağır grupta CRP/albümin oranı anlamlı olarak daha yüksek (p < 0,001) ve PNI skorları anlamlı olarak daha düşüktü (p < 0,001). YBÜ’ye kabul edilen hastalarda da CRP/albümin oranı yüksek (p < 0,001) ve PNI düşük (p < 0,001) bulundu. ROC analizi, CRP/albümin oranının (AUC = 0,698) ve PNI’nın (AUC = 0,806) hastalık şiddetini öngörebildiğini ve optimal kesim değerlerinin sırasıyla 13,43 ve 47,2 olduğunu gösterdi. YBÜ yatışı için PNI, CRP/albümin oranına (AUC = 0,705) kıyasla daha güçlü prediktif yeteneğe sahipti (AUC = 0,904).
Sonuç: CRP/albümin oranı ve PNI, akut pankreatitte erken risk sınıflandırması için erişilebilir ve düşük maliyetli biyo-belirteçlerdir. Her iki parametre de hastalık şiddeti ve YBÜ gereksinimi açısından güçlü prediktif değer göstermiş; PNI, yoğun bakım ihtiyacını belirlemede daha üstün doğruluk sağlamıştır. Bu indeksler, özellikle kaynakların kısıtlı olduğu ortamlarda klinik kararın doğruluğunu destekleyebilir.

Ethical Statement

Yazarlar, bu çalışmanın Helsinki Deklarasyonu ilkelerine ve Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Sağlık Bakanlığı İlaç Araştırmaları Yönetmeliği’ne uygun olarak yürütüldüğünü ve Ankara Etlik Şehir Hastanesi Etik Kurulu’nun 28/02/2024 tarih ve AEŞH-BADEK-2024-177 numarasıyla onaylandığını beyan etmektedirler.

Supporting Institution

Yok

Thanks

Yok

References

  • Tenner S, Vege SS, Sheth SG, et al. American College of Gastroenterology Guidelines: Management of Acute Pancreatitis. Am J Gastroenterol. 2024;119:419–437.
  • Roberts SE, Morrison-Rees S, John A, et al. The incidence and aetiology of acute pancreatitis across Europe. Pancreatology. 2017;17:155–165.
  • Mederos MA, Reber HA, Girgis MD. Acute Pancreatitis: A Review. JAMA. 2021;325:382–390.
  • Trikudanathan G, Yazici C, Phillips AE, et al. Diagnosis and Management of Acute Pancreatitis. Gastroenterology. 2024;167:673–688.
  • Yildirim T, Kiris T, Avci E, et al. Increased Serum CRP-Albumin Ratio Is Independently Associated With Severity of Carotid Artery Stenosis. Angiology. 2020;71:740–746.
  • Aydın A, Kaçmaz O. CRP/albumin ratio in predicting 1-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery. Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci. 2023;27:8438–8446.
  • Wang R, He M, Ou X, et al. CRP Albumin ratio is positively associated with poor outcome in patients with traumatic brain injury. Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2020;195:106051.
  • Senjo H, Onozawa M, Hidaka D, et al. High CRP-albumin ratio predicts poor prognosis in transplant ineligible elderly patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia. Sci Rep. 2022;12:8885.
  • Tarar MY, Khalid A, Choo XY, et al. Use of the C-Reactive Protein (CRP)/ Albumin Ratio as a Severity Tool in Acute Pancreatitis: Systematic Review. Cureus. 2022;14: e29243.
  • Mariadi IK, Somayana G, Shalim CP, et al. Prognostic value of C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio in acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. F1000Res.2023;22:12:748.
  • Ding P, Guo H, Sun C, et al. Combined systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) predicts chemotherapy response and prognosis in locally advanced gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy with PD-1 antibody sintilimab and XELOX: a prospective study. BMC Gastroenterol. 2022;22:121.
  • Toscano A, Bellone F, Maggio N, et al. Unlocking the Predictive Power of Nutritional Scores in Septic Patients. Nutrients. 2025;17:545.
  • Zhang X, Zhang J, Liu F, et al. Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) as a Predictor in Patients with Metabolic Syndrome and Heart Failure. Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes. 2023;16:2503–2514.
  • Akkuzu MZ, Altıntaş E, Yaraş S, et al. Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) Score and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) Are Good Candidates for Prognostic Markers for Acute Pancreatitis. Medicina (Kaunas). 2022; 59:70.
  • Shi PN, Song ZZ, He XN, et al. Evaluation of scoring systems and hematological parameters in the severity stratification of early-phase acute pancreatitis. World J Gastroenterol. 2025;31:105236.
  • Banks PA, Bollen TL, Dervenis C, et al. Classification of acute pancreatitis- 2012: revision of the Atlanta classification and definitions by international consensus. Gut. 2013;62:102–111.
  • Charlson ME, Carrozzino D, Guidi J, et al. Charlson Comorbidity Index: A Critical Review of Clinimetric Properties. Psychother Psychosom. 2022;91:8–35.
  • Onodera T, Goseki N, Kosaki G. [Prognostic nutritional index in gastrointestinal surgery of malnourished cancer patients]. Nihon Geka Gakkai Zasshi. 1984;85:1001–1005.
  • Garg PK, Singh VP. Organ Failure Due to Systemic Injury in Acute Pancreatitis. Gastroenterology. 2019;156:2008-2023.
  • Razavi D, Lindblad M, Bexelius T, et al. Polypharmacy and risk of acute pancreatitis. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2016;25:1337–1341.
  • Pu W, Luo G, Chen T, et al. Comparative analysis of epidemiology, etiology, and outcomes between elderly and young and middle-aged acute pancreatitis patients: a retrospective, single-center study. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021;33:1254–1259.
  • Wu H, Liao B, Ji T, et al. Diagnostic value of CRP for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Biomarkers. 2024;29:494–503.
  • Piñerúa-Gonsálvez JF, Ruiz Rebollo ML, Zambrano-Infantino RDC, et al. Value of CRP/albumin ratio as a prognostic marker of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study. Rev Esp Enferm Dig. 2023;115:707–712.
  • Tarar MY, Khalid A, Choo XY, et al. Use of the C-Reactive Protein (CRP)/ Albumin Ratio as a Severity Tool in Acute Pancreatitis: Systematic Review. Cureus. 2022;14:e29243.
  • Jain V, Nath P, Satpathy SK, et al. Comparing Prognostic Scores and Inflammatory Markers in Predicting the Severity and Mortality of Acute Pancreatitis. Cureus. 2023;15:e39515.
  • Efgan MG, Karakaya Z, Kanter E, et al. Can CONUT and PNI Scores Predict Necrotizing Pancreatitis in Acute Pancreatitis Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department?. J Clin Med. 2024;13:5902.
  • Zhu J, Wu L, Wang Y, et al. Predictive value of the Ranson and BISAP scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One. 2024;19:e0302046.
  • Chauhan R, Saxena N, Kapur N, et al. Comparison of modified Glasgow,-Imrie, Ranson, and Apache II scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis. Pol Przegl Chir. 2022;95:6–12.

Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes

Year 2026, Volume: 79 Issue: 1, 21 - 31, 27.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.65092/autfm.1803879
https://izlik.org/JA32MY23YA

Abstract

Objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) remains a challenging condition with variable clinical outcomes. This study investigated the prognostic value of the C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin ratio and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) in predicting disease severity and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients with AP.
Materials and Methods: This retrospective study, approved by the Ethics Committee of Ankara Etlik City Hospital (28/02/2024, AEŞH-BADEK-2024-177), included 444 adults diagnosed with acute pancreatitis in the Internal Medicine Department of Ankara Etlik City Hospital. Disease severity was classified according to the Revised Atlanta criteria, and the CRP/albumin ratio and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) were calculated from admission data. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate their predictive performance.
Results: Among 444 patients, 340 (76.6%) had mild and 104 (23.4%) moderate-to-severe acute pancreatitis. The moderate-to-severe group had significantly higher CRP/albumin ratios (p < 0.001) and lower PNI scores (p < 0.001). ICU patients likewise showed elevated CRP/albumin ratios (p < 0.001) and reduced PNI (p < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that the CRP/albumin ratio (AUC = 0.698) and PNI (AUC = 0.806) predicted disease severity, with optimal cut-offs of 13.43 and 47.2, respectively. For ICU admission, PNI showed superior predictive power (AUC = 0.904) to the CRP/albumin ratio (AUC = 0.705).
Conclusion: The CRP/albumin ratio and PNI are simple, cost-effective biomarkers for early risk stratification in acute pancreatitis. Both showed strong predictive value for disease severity and ICU need, with PNI demonstrating superior accuracy. These indices may support clinical decision-making, particularly in resource-limited settings.

Ethical Statement

The authors declare that the present study was conducted in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and the “Regulations on Drug Research, Ministry of Health, Government of Turkey, January 29, 1993’’, and approved by the Ethics Committee of the Ankara Etlik City Hospital with date and number: 28/02/2024, AEŞH-BADEK-2024-177.

Supporting Institution

None

Thanks

None

References

  • Tenner S, Vege SS, Sheth SG, et al. American College of Gastroenterology Guidelines: Management of Acute Pancreatitis. Am J Gastroenterol. 2024;119:419–437.
  • Roberts SE, Morrison-Rees S, John A, et al. The incidence and aetiology of acute pancreatitis across Europe. Pancreatology. 2017;17:155–165.
  • Mederos MA, Reber HA, Girgis MD. Acute Pancreatitis: A Review. JAMA. 2021;325:382–390.
  • Trikudanathan G, Yazici C, Phillips AE, et al. Diagnosis and Management of Acute Pancreatitis. Gastroenterology. 2024;167:673–688.
  • Yildirim T, Kiris T, Avci E, et al. Increased Serum CRP-Albumin Ratio Is Independently Associated With Severity of Carotid Artery Stenosis. Angiology. 2020;71:740–746.
  • Aydın A, Kaçmaz O. CRP/albumin ratio in predicting 1-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery. Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci. 2023;27:8438–8446.
  • Wang R, He M, Ou X, et al. CRP Albumin ratio is positively associated with poor outcome in patients with traumatic brain injury. Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2020;195:106051.
  • Senjo H, Onozawa M, Hidaka D, et al. High CRP-albumin ratio predicts poor prognosis in transplant ineligible elderly patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia. Sci Rep. 2022;12:8885.
  • Tarar MY, Khalid A, Choo XY, et al. Use of the C-Reactive Protein (CRP)/ Albumin Ratio as a Severity Tool in Acute Pancreatitis: Systematic Review. Cureus. 2022;14: e29243.
  • Mariadi IK, Somayana G, Shalim CP, et al. Prognostic value of C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio in acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. F1000Res.2023;22:12:748.
  • Ding P, Guo H, Sun C, et al. Combined systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) predicts chemotherapy response and prognosis in locally advanced gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy with PD-1 antibody sintilimab and XELOX: a prospective study. BMC Gastroenterol. 2022;22:121.
  • Toscano A, Bellone F, Maggio N, et al. Unlocking the Predictive Power of Nutritional Scores in Septic Patients. Nutrients. 2025;17:545.
  • Zhang X, Zhang J, Liu F, et al. Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) as a Predictor in Patients with Metabolic Syndrome and Heart Failure. Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes. 2023;16:2503–2514.
  • Akkuzu MZ, Altıntaş E, Yaraş S, et al. Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) Score and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) Are Good Candidates for Prognostic Markers for Acute Pancreatitis. Medicina (Kaunas). 2022; 59:70.
  • Shi PN, Song ZZ, He XN, et al. Evaluation of scoring systems and hematological parameters in the severity stratification of early-phase acute pancreatitis. World J Gastroenterol. 2025;31:105236.
  • Banks PA, Bollen TL, Dervenis C, et al. Classification of acute pancreatitis- 2012: revision of the Atlanta classification and definitions by international consensus. Gut. 2013;62:102–111.
  • Charlson ME, Carrozzino D, Guidi J, et al. Charlson Comorbidity Index: A Critical Review of Clinimetric Properties. Psychother Psychosom. 2022;91:8–35.
  • Onodera T, Goseki N, Kosaki G. [Prognostic nutritional index in gastrointestinal surgery of malnourished cancer patients]. Nihon Geka Gakkai Zasshi. 1984;85:1001–1005.
  • Garg PK, Singh VP. Organ Failure Due to Systemic Injury in Acute Pancreatitis. Gastroenterology. 2019;156:2008-2023.
  • Razavi D, Lindblad M, Bexelius T, et al. Polypharmacy and risk of acute pancreatitis. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2016;25:1337–1341.
  • Pu W, Luo G, Chen T, et al. Comparative analysis of epidemiology, etiology, and outcomes between elderly and young and middle-aged acute pancreatitis patients: a retrospective, single-center study. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021;33:1254–1259.
  • Wu H, Liao B, Ji T, et al. Diagnostic value of CRP for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Biomarkers. 2024;29:494–503.
  • Piñerúa-Gonsálvez JF, Ruiz Rebollo ML, Zambrano-Infantino RDC, et al. Value of CRP/albumin ratio as a prognostic marker of acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study. Rev Esp Enferm Dig. 2023;115:707–712.
  • Tarar MY, Khalid A, Choo XY, et al. Use of the C-Reactive Protein (CRP)/ Albumin Ratio as a Severity Tool in Acute Pancreatitis: Systematic Review. Cureus. 2022;14:e29243.
  • Jain V, Nath P, Satpathy SK, et al. Comparing Prognostic Scores and Inflammatory Markers in Predicting the Severity and Mortality of Acute Pancreatitis. Cureus. 2023;15:e39515.
  • Efgan MG, Karakaya Z, Kanter E, et al. Can CONUT and PNI Scores Predict Necrotizing Pancreatitis in Acute Pancreatitis Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department?. J Clin Med. 2024;13:5902.
  • Zhu J, Wu L, Wang Y, et al. Predictive value of the Ranson and BISAP scoring systems for the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One. 2024;19:e0302046.
  • Chauhan R, Saxena N, Kapur N, et al. Comparison of modified Glasgow,-Imrie, Ranson, and Apache II scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis. Pol Przegl Chir. 2022;95:6–12.
There are 28 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Rıfat Bozkuş 0000-0003-1179-0653

Canan Akkuş 0000-0003-4990-4927

Melis Gökgöz 0009-0002-0816-1696

Submission Date October 15, 2025
Acceptance Date January 21, 2026
Publication Date March 27, 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.65092/autfm.1803879
IZ https://izlik.org/JA32MY23YA
Published in Issue Year 2026 Volume: 79 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Bozkuş, R., Akkuş, C., & Gökgöz, M. (2026). Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası, 79(1), 21-31. https://doi.org/10.65092/autfm.1803879
AMA 1.Bozkuş R, Akkuş C, Gökgöz M. Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası. 2026;79(1):21-31. doi:10.65092/autfm.1803879
Chicago Bozkuş, Rıfat, Canan Akkuş, and Melis Gökgöz. 2026. “Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes”. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası 79 (1): 21-31. https://doi.org/10.65092/autfm.1803879.
EndNote Bozkuş R, Akkuş C, Gökgöz M (March 1, 2026) Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası 79 1 21–31.
IEEE [1]R. Bozkuş, C. Akkuş, and M. Gökgöz, “Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes”, Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası, vol. 79, no. 1, pp. 21–31, Mar. 2026, doi: 10.65092/autfm.1803879.
ISNAD Bozkuş, Rıfat - Akkuş, Canan - Gökgöz, Melis. “Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes”. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası 79/1 (March 1, 2026): 21-31. https://doi.org/10.65092/autfm.1803879.
JAMA 1.Bozkuş R, Akkuş C, Gökgöz M. Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası. 2026;79:21–31.
MLA Bozkuş, Rıfat, et al. “Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes”. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası, vol. 79, no. 1, Mar. 2026, pp. 21-31, doi:10.65092/autfm.1803879.
Vancouver 1.Rıfat Bozkuş, Canan Akkuş, Melis Gökgöz. Prognostic Nutritional Index and CRP/Albumin Ratio in Predicting Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes. Ankara Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Mecmuası. 2026 Mar. 1;79(1):21-3. doi:10.65092/autfm.1803879