Research Article
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The Market Performance of Initial Public Offerings in the Istanbul Stock Exchange

Year 2008, Volume: 2 Issue: 2, 49 - 76, 01.12.2008

Abstract

This study examines the long-standing IPO performance in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) by using new factors such as source of shares (new issue or sale of large shareholders), allocation of shares and dispersion of investors as well as existing factors such as market conditions (hot/cold), underwriters’ reputation, and firm characteristics (firm size, E/P, and B/M ratios) in the period of 1990-2000. Our results differ from the previous studies at least three ways. First, the magnitude of underpricing is significantly lower, while underperformance is higher than those of in other studies. Our strong evidence supports the existence of the underpricing by positive initial excess returns (5.94%) and the long-term underperformance up to three-year holding period (-84.5%) in the ISE. Second, underperformance starts much earlier than in other markets i.e. at the end of first month following the IPO because of myopic behavior of investors seeking short-term returns. Third, the underperformance disappears for IPOs made in a cold market, and those made through the sale of large shareholders. Allocation of shares in an IPO and firm size also impact after-market performance of shares.

References

  • Foerster, S.R. and Karolyi, G.A. (1999), “The Long-Run Performance of Global Equity Offerings”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.
  • Hamao, Y., Packer, F. and Ritter, J.R. (1998), “Institutional Affiliation and the Role of Venture Capital: Evidence from Initial Public Offerings in Japan”, Fede- ral Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Reports, Number 52.
  • Efficiency”, Journal of Financial Economics 55:3, pp. 361-389.
  • Maksimovic, V., and Unal, H. (1993), “Issue Size Choice and Underpricing in Thrift Mutual-to-stock Conversions”, Journal of Finance 48, pp. 1659-1692.
  • Megginson, W. and Weiss, K. (1991), “Venture-capitalist Certification in IPOs”, Journal of Finance 46, pp. 879-904.
  • Michaely, R. and Shaw, W. (1994), “The Pricing of IPOs: Tests of Adverse Se- lection and Signalling Theories”, The Review of Financial Studies 7, pp. 279- 319.
  • Mikkelson, W.H., and Shah, K. (1994) “Performance of Companies Around IPOs”, Working Paper, University of Oregon.
  • Miller, E. M., 1977, Risk, Uncertainty, and Divergence of Opinion, The Journal of Finance, 32, 4, 1151-1168.
  • Morris, S. (1996), “Speculative Investor Behavior and Learning”, Quarterly Jour- nal of Economics 111, pp. 1111-1133.
  • Pham, P.K., Kalev, P.S. and Steen, A.B. (2003), “Underpricing, Stock Allocation, Ownership Structure and Post-listing Liquidity of Newly Listed Firms”, Journal of Banking and Finance 27, pp. 919-947.
  • Rajan, R.G., and Servaes, H. (1997), “Analyst Following of Initial Public Offe- rings”, Journal of Finance 52:2, pp. 507-529.
  • Ritter, J.R. (1984), “The Hot Issue Market of 1980”, Journal of Business 57, pp.215-241
  • Ritter, J.R. (1991), “The Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings”, Jour- nal of Finance, Vol. XLVI, No. 1, pp. 3-27.
  • Shiller, R.J. (1990), “Speculative Prices and Popular Models”, Journal of Econo- mic Perspectives 4, pp. 55-65.
  • Spiess, D.K., and Affleck-Graves, J. (1995), “Underperformance in Long-run Stock Returns Following Seasoned Equity Offerings”, Journal of Financial Eco- nomics, Vol. 38, pp. 243-267.
  • Stehle R., Ehrhardt, O. and Przyborowsky, R. (2000), “Long-run Stock Perfor- mance of German Initial Public Offerings and Seasoned Equity Issues”, Europe- an Financial Management, Vol.6, pp. 173-196.
  • Welch, I. (1989), “Seasoned Offerings, Imitation Costs and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings”, Journal of Finance, 44, pp. 421-449.

İMKB’de İlk Halka Arzların Piyasa Performansı

Year 2008, Volume: 2 Issue: 2, 49 - 76, 01.12.2008

Abstract

This study examines the long-standing IPO performance in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) by using new factors such as source of shares (new issue or sale of large shareholders), allocation of shares and dispersion of investors as well as existing factors such as market conditions (hot/cold), underwriters’ reputation, and firm characteristics (firm size, E/P, and B/M ratios) in the period of 1990-2000. Our results differ from the previous studies at least three ways. First, the magnitude of underpricing is significantly lower, while underperformance is higher than those of in other studies. Our strong evidence supports the existence of the underpricing by positive initial excess returns (5.94%) and the long-term underperformance up to three-year holding period (-84.5%) in the ISE. Second, underperformance starts much earlier than in other markets i.e. at the end of first month following the IPO because of myopic behavior of investors seeking short-term returns. Third, the underperformance disappears for IPOs made in a cold market, and those made through the sale of large shareholders. Allocation of shares in an IPO and firm size also impact after-market performance of shares.

References

  • Foerster, S.R. and Karolyi, G.A. (1999), “The Long-Run Performance of Global Equity Offerings”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.
  • Hamao, Y., Packer, F. and Ritter, J.R. (1998), “Institutional Affiliation and the Role of Venture Capital: Evidence from Initial Public Offerings in Japan”, Fede- ral Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Reports, Number 52.
  • Efficiency”, Journal of Financial Economics 55:3, pp. 361-389.
  • Maksimovic, V., and Unal, H. (1993), “Issue Size Choice and Underpricing in Thrift Mutual-to-stock Conversions”, Journal of Finance 48, pp. 1659-1692.
  • Megginson, W. and Weiss, K. (1991), “Venture-capitalist Certification in IPOs”, Journal of Finance 46, pp. 879-904.
  • Michaely, R. and Shaw, W. (1994), “The Pricing of IPOs: Tests of Adverse Se- lection and Signalling Theories”, The Review of Financial Studies 7, pp. 279- 319.
  • Mikkelson, W.H., and Shah, K. (1994) “Performance of Companies Around IPOs”, Working Paper, University of Oregon.
  • Miller, E. M., 1977, Risk, Uncertainty, and Divergence of Opinion, The Journal of Finance, 32, 4, 1151-1168.
  • Morris, S. (1996), “Speculative Investor Behavior and Learning”, Quarterly Jour- nal of Economics 111, pp. 1111-1133.
  • Pham, P.K., Kalev, P.S. and Steen, A.B. (2003), “Underpricing, Stock Allocation, Ownership Structure and Post-listing Liquidity of Newly Listed Firms”, Journal of Banking and Finance 27, pp. 919-947.
  • Rajan, R.G., and Servaes, H. (1997), “Analyst Following of Initial Public Offe- rings”, Journal of Finance 52:2, pp. 507-529.
  • Ritter, J.R. (1984), “The Hot Issue Market of 1980”, Journal of Business 57, pp.215-241
  • Ritter, J.R. (1991), “The Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings”, Jour- nal of Finance, Vol. XLVI, No. 1, pp. 3-27.
  • Shiller, R.J. (1990), “Speculative Prices and Popular Models”, Journal of Econo- mic Perspectives 4, pp. 55-65.
  • Spiess, D.K., and Affleck-Graves, J. (1995), “Underperformance in Long-run Stock Returns Following Seasoned Equity Offerings”, Journal of Financial Eco- nomics, Vol. 38, pp. 243-267.
  • Stehle R., Ehrhardt, O. and Przyborowsky, R. (2000), “Long-run Stock Perfor- mance of German Initial Public Offerings and Seasoned Equity Issues”, Europe- an Financial Management, Vol.6, pp. 173-196.
  • Welch, I. (1989), “Seasoned Offerings, Imitation Costs and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings”, Journal of Finance, 44, pp. 421-449.
There are 17 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Finance
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Recep Bildik This is me

Mustafa K. Yılmaz This is me

Publication Date December 1, 2008
Published in Issue Year 2008 Volume: 2 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Bildik, R., & Yılmaz, M. K. (2008). The Market Performance of Initial Public Offerings in the Istanbul Stock Exchange. BDDK Bankacılık Ve Finansal Piyasalar Dergisi, 2(2), 49-76.