Prediction of factors causing death in Covid 19 patients with machine and ensemble learning models

Year 2025, Volume: 6 Issue: 2, 46 - 52, 29.12.2025

Fatih Üçkardeş , Ercan Çil , Fahrettin Kaya , Hakan Sezgin Sayiner , Önder Yumrutaş

https://doi.org/10.51539/biotech.1739101

Abstract

The aim of study was aimed to predict the prognostic factors that cause mortality related to the Covid 19 with machine and ensemble learning model. Patient information was collected from the Adıyaman Education and Research Hospital between 01 January 2020 and 31 December 2021.Totally, 487 patients were included in the study. Random Forest (rf), Support Vector Machine with a Radial Basis Kernel Function (svmRadial), C5.0, Ranger and Gradient Boosting Machine (Gbm) models and the ensemble model were used as machine learning models. Ibreakdown plot was used to individualize the results. According to the machine classification criteria, although all models performed strongly, the Gbm model had the highest classification criteria. Consequently, it is thought that it may play an important role not only for Covid 19, but also for the classification of other diseases, making individual risk estimations and creating patient-specific personal treatment programs.

Keywords

Personalized medicine , Ensemble learning , machine learning , ibreakdown

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