Year 2023,
Volume: 6 Issue: 4, 427 - 438, 01.07.2023
Derya Selçuk Öztürk
,
Aslı Ülke Keskin
,
Utku Zeybekoğlu
References
- Abramowitz M, Stegun I. 1965. Handbook of mathematical functions. Dover Publications, Applied Mathematics Series–55. Washington, USA, pp: 1046.
- Akturk G, Yildiz O. 2018. The effect of precipitation deficits on hydrological systems in the Catalan Dam basin, Turkey. Int J Eng Res Dev, 10(2): 10–28. https: //doi.org/10.29137/umagd.441389.
- Akturk G, Zeybekoglu U, Yildiz O. 2022.Assessment of meteorological drought analysis in the Kizilirmak river basin, Turkey. Arab J Geosci, 15: 850. https: //doi.org/10.1007/s12517-022-10119-0.
- Arslan O, Bilgil A, Veske O. 2016. Meteorological drought analysis in Kızılırmak basin using standardized precipitation index method. Nigde Omer Halisdemir Univ J Engin Sci, 5(2): 188-194. https: //doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.295572.
- Bacanli UG, Dikbas F, Baran T. 2011. Meteorological drought analysis case study Central Anatolia. Desalin Water Treat, 26(1–3): 14–23. https: //doi.org/10.5004/dwt.2011.2105.
- Bacanli UG. 2017. Trend analysis of precipitation and drought in the Aegean region, Turkey. Meteor Applicat, 24(2): 239-249. https: //doi.org/10.1002/met.1622.
- Beden N, Demir V, Ülke Keskin A. 2020. Trend Analysis of SPI and PNI Drought Indices in Samsun City. Dokuz Eylul Univ Fac Engin Sci Engin J, 22(64): 107-116. https: //doi.org/10.21205/deufmd.2020226411.
- Citakoglu H, Minarecioglu N. 2021. Trend analysis and change point determination for hydro-meteorological and groundwater data of Kizilirmak basin. Theor Appl Climatol, 145: 1275–1292. https: //doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03696-9.
- Çelenk Ş. 1973. Türkiye’nin kuraklık etüdü. Devlet Meteoroloji İşleri Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara, Türkiye, ss: 88.
- Çelik İH, Usta G, Yilmaz G, Usta M. 2020. An assessment on the technological disasters experienced in Turkey (between the years of 2000-2020). Artvin Coruh Univ Inter J Soc Sci, 6(2): 49–57. https: //doi.org/10.22466/acusbd.776580.
- Erinç S. 1949. The climates of Turkey according to Thornthwaite‟s classifications. Annals Assoc Amer Geograph, 38(1): 26-46.
- Erinç S. 1950. Climatic types and variation of moisture regions in Turkey. Geograph Rew, 11(2): 224-235.
- Erkek C, Ağıralioğlu N. 1998. Su kaynakları mühendisliği. Beta Yayınları, 3. Baskı, İstanbul, Türkiye, ss: 400.
- Gumus V, Algin HM. 2017. Meteorological and hydrological drought analysis of the Seyhan−Ceyhan River Basins, Turkey. Meteorol Applicat, 24(1): 62-73. https: //doi.org/10.1002/met.1605
- Guttman NB. 1998. Comparing the Palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. J American Water Resour Assoc, 34(1): 113-121. https: //doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1998.tb05964.x
- Gunduz F. 2022. Lessons learned from the perspective of women and gender in disasters, the case of Haiti, and Japan earthquake. IBAD J Soc Sci, 12: 440-460.
- Kapluhan E. 2013. Drought and drought in Turkey effect on agriculture. Marmara Coğrafya Derg, 27: 487–510
- Komuscu AU. 2001. An analysis of recent drought conditions in Turkey in relation to circulation patterns. Drought Netw News, 13(2–3): 5–6.
- Kömüşçü A, Erkan A, Turgu E. 2003. Normalleştirilmiş Yağış İndeksi Metodu ile Türkiye’de Kuraklık Oluşum Oranlarının Bölgesel Dağılımı. III. Atmosfer Bilimleri Sempozyumu Bildirileri, 19-21 Mart, İstanbul, Türkiye, ss: 268-275.
- Kömüşçü A, Erkan A. 2000. Kuraklık ve çölleşme süreci ve Türkiye açısından analiz ve çözümler. Yayımlanmamış Rapor, Ankara, Türkiye, ss: 53.
- McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1993. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, 17-22 January, Anaheim, California, USA, pp: 1-6.
- McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1995. Drought monitoring with multiple time scales. 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, 15-20 January, Texas, USA, pp: 233-236.
- Nalbantis I, Tsakiris G. 2009. Assessment of hydrological drought revisited. Water Resourc Manage, 23(5): 881-897.
- Nalbantis I. 2008. Evaluation of a hydrological drought index. European Water, 23(24): 67-77.
- Oguzturk G, Yildiz O, Duvan A. 2015. A Drought analysis of Sivas using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) method and drought estimation with the artificial neural networks. Inter J Adv Mech Civil Engin, 2(5): 24-30.
- Pamuk G, Özgürel M, Topçuoğlu K. 2004. Standart yağış indisi (SPI) ile ege bölgesinde kuraklık analizi. Ege Üniv Zir Fak Derg, 41(1): 99-106.
- Sırdas S, Sen Z. 2003. Meteorolojik kuraklık modellemesi ve Türkiye uygulaması. İTÜ Derg/d Müh, 2(2): 95-103.
- Şen Z. 2001. Kuraklık kıranı. Güncel Yayıncılık, Yuvarlak Masası Toplantısı, 20 Mart, Ankara, Türkiye: ss: 125.
- Tanoğlu A. 1943. Türkiye’de kuraklık indisleri. Türk Coğrafya Derg, 3-4: 287-308.
- T.C. Orman ve Su İşleri Bakanlığı. 2015. URL: http: //suyonetimi.ormansu.gov.tr/anasayfa/resimlihaber/14-07-09/Türkiye_de_Havza_Yönetiminde_Yeni_Atılım.aspx?sflang=en (accessed date: September 30, 2015).
- Thom HCS. 1958. A note on the gamma distribution. Monthly Weather Rev, 86(4): 117-122
- Turkes M. 1996. Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in Turkey. Inter J Climatol, 16(9): 1057–1076.
- Turkes M. 2017. Drought vulnerability and risk analysis of Turkey with respect to climatic variability and socio-ecological indicators. Aegean Geogr J, 26(2): 47–70
- Tümertekin E. 1956. Türkiye'de kuraklık süresinin coğrafi dağılışı. Türk Coğrafya Derg, 15-16: 145-150.
- Tümertekin E. 1957. Kurak bölgelerde ziraat. İstanbul Üniv, İktisat Fak Yayınları, No.96, İstanbul, Türkiye, ss: 96.
- Türkeş M. 2007. Türkiye’nin kuraklığa, çölleşmeye eğilimi ve iklim değişikliği açısından değerlendirilmesi. Pankobirlik, 91: 38-47.
- Uçgun E. 2010. Kızılırmak havzası’ndaki hidrometeorolojik verilerin trend analizi. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Kırıkkale Üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Kırıkkale, Türkiye, ss: 193.
- Usta G. 2023. Statistical analysis of disasters in the World (1900-2022). Gümüşhane Univ J Soc Sci Institut, 14(1): 172-186.
- WMO. 1997. Extreme agrometeorological events. CagM-X Working Group, Geneva, Switzerland, pp: 193.
- Yacoub E, Tayfur G. 2017. Evaluation and assessment of meteorological drought by different methods in Trarza region, Mauritania. Water Resour Manage, 31: 825-845. https: //doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1510-8
- Yacoub E, Tayfur G. 2020. Spatial and temporal of variation of meteorological drought and precipitation trend analysis over whole Mauritania. J African Earth Sci, 163: 1-12. https: //doi.org/10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2020.103761
- Yildiz O. 2014. Spatiotemporal analysis of historical droughts in the Central Anatolia, Turkey. Gazi Univ J Sci, 27(4): 1177–1184.
Meteorological and Hydrological Drought Analysis of The Kızılırmak Basin
Year 2023,
Volume: 6 Issue: 4, 427 - 438, 01.07.2023
Derya Selçuk Öztürk
,
Aslı Ülke Keskin
,
Utku Zeybekoğlu
Abstract
Global climate variation revealing its effects intensely after the Industrial Revolution, have increased extremely with the rise in the number and variation of flood and drought problems worldwide within the years from1990 to 2000. Our country is strongly suffering from this climate variation and its undesired consequences increasing every year. Extreme temperature values, serious flood, and drought problems occuring in some regions have begun to produce considerable damages on daily human life. As a result of the decrease in the discharge of streams, the lack of freshwater resources have become a serious problem which have been considered to be solved with the derivation of fresh water resources for natural life and for other human purposes. Drought conditions of the basin were analyzed using hydrological and meteorological data of Kızılırmak Basin. Standardized precipitation index (SPI) expressing meteorological drought with rainfall parameter and streamflow drought index (SDI) expressing hydrological drought with current parameter were calculated. Droughts were observed in the basin and it was understood that these two indices give harmonious results.
References
- Abramowitz M, Stegun I. 1965. Handbook of mathematical functions. Dover Publications, Applied Mathematics Series–55. Washington, USA, pp: 1046.
- Akturk G, Yildiz O. 2018. The effect of precipitation deficits on hydrological systems in the Catalan Dam basin, Turkey. Int J Eng Res Dev, 10(2): 10–28. https: //doi.org/10.29137/umagd.441389.
- Akturk G, Zeybekoglu U, Yildiz O. 2022.Assessment of meteorological drought analysis in the Kizilirmak river basin, Turkey. Arab J Geosci, 15: 850. https: //doi.org/10.1007/s12517-022-10119-0.
- Arslan O, Bilgil A, Veske O. 2016. Meteorological drought analysis in Kızılırmak basin using standardized precipitation index method. Nigde Omer Halisdemir Univ J Engin Sci, 5(2): 188-194. https: //doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.295572.
- Bacanli UG, Dikbas F, Baran T. 2011. Meteorological drought analysis case study Central Anatolia. Desalin Water Treat, 26(1–3): 14–23. https: //doi.org/10.5004/dwt.2011.2105.
- Bacanli UG. 2017. Trend analysis of precipitation and drought in the Aegean region, Turkey. Meteor Applicat, 24(2): 239-249. https: //doi.org/10.1002/met.1622.
- Beden N, Demir V, Ülke Keskin A. 2020. Trend Analysis of SPI and PNI Drought Indices in Samsun City. Dokuz Eylul Univ Fac Engin Sci Engin J, 22(64): 107-116. https: //doi.org/10.21205/deufmd.2020226411.
- Citakoglu H, Minarecioglu N. 2021. Trend analysis and change point determination for hydro-meteorological and groundwater data of Kizilirmak basin. Theor Appl Climatol, 145: 1275–1292. https: //doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03696-9.
- Çelenk Ş. 1973. Türkiye’nin kuraklık etüdü. Devlet Meteoroloji İşleri Genel Müdürlüğü, Ankara, Türkiye, ss: 88.
- Çelik İH, Usta G, Yilmaz G, Usta M. 2020. An assessment on the technological disasters experienced in Turkey (between the years of 2000-2020). Artvin Coruh Univ Inter J Soc Sci, 6(2): 49–57. https: //doi.org/10.22466/acusbd.776580.
- Erinç S. 1949. The climates of Turkey according to Thornthwaite‟s classifications. Annals Assoc Amer Geograph, 38(1): 26-46.
- Erinç S. 1950. Climatic types and variation of moisture regions in Turkey. Geograph Rew, 11(2): 224-235.
- Erkek C, Ağıralioğlu N. 1998. Su kaynakları mühendisliği. Beta Yayınları, 3. Baskı, İstanbul, Türkiye, ss: 400.
- Gumus V, Algin HM. 2017. Meteorological and hydrological drought analysis of the Seyhan−Ceyhan River Basins, Turkey. Meteorol Applicat, 24(1): 62-73. https: //doi.org/10.1002/met.1605
- Guttman NB. 1998. Comparing the Palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. J American Water Resour Assoc, 34(1): 113-121. https: //doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1998.tb05964.x
- Gunduz F. 2022. Lessons learned from the perspective of women and gender in disasters, the case of Haiti, and Japan earthquake. IBAD J Soc Sci, 12: 440-460.
- Kapluhan E. 2013. Drought and drought in Turkey effect on agriculture. Marmara Coğrafya Derg, 27: 487–510
- Komuscu AU. 2001. An analysis of recent drought conditions in Turkey in relation to circulation patterns. Drought Netw News, 13(2–3): 5–6.
- Kömüşçü A, Erkan A, Turgu E. 2003. Normalleştirilmiş Yağış İndeksi Metodu ile Türkiye’de Kuraklık Oluşum Oranlarının Bölgesel Dağılımı. III. Atmosfer Bilimleri Sempozyumu Bildirileri, 19-21 Mart, İstanbul, Türkiye, ss: 268-275.
- Kömüşçü A, Erkan A. 2000. Kuraklık ve çölleşme süreci ve Türkiye açısından analiz ve çözümler. Yayımlanmamış Rapor, Ankara, Türkiye, ss: 53.
- McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1993. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, 17-22 January, Anaheim, California, USA, pp: 1-6.
- McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1995. Drought monitoring with multiple time scales. 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, 15-20 January, Texas, USA, pp: 233-236.
- Nalbantis I, Tsakiris G. 2009. Assessment of hydrological drought revisited. Water Resourc Manage, 23(5): 881-897.
- Nalbantis I. 2008. Evaluation of a hydrological drought index. European Water, 23(24): 67-77.
- Oguzturk G, Yildiz O, Duvan A. 2015. A Drought analysis of Sivas using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) method and drought estimation with the artificial neural networks. Inter J Adv Mech Civil Engin, 2(5): 24-30.
- Pamuk G, Özgürel M, Topçuoğlu K. 2004. Standart yağış indisi (SPI) ile ege bölgesinde kuraklık analizi. Ege Üniv Zir Fak Derg, 41(1): 99-106.
- Sırdas S, Sen Z. 2003. Meteorolojik kuraklık modellemesi ve Türkiye uygulaması. İTÜ Derg/d Müh, 2(2): 95-103.
- Şen Z. 2001. Kuraklık kıranı. Güncel Yayıncılık, Yuvarlak Masası Toplantısı, 20 Mart, Ankara, Türkiye: ss: 125.
- Tanoğlu A. 1943. Türkiye’de kuraklık indisleri. Türk Coğrafya Derg, 3-4: 287-308.
- T.C. Orman ve Su İşleri Bakanlığı. 2015. URL: http: //suyonetimi.ormansu.gov.tr/anasayfa/resimlihaber/14-07-09/Türkiye_de_Havza_Yönetiminde_Yeni_Atılım.aspx?sflang=en (accessed date: September 30, 2015).
- Thom HCS. 1958. A note on the gamma distribution. Monthly Weather Rev, 86(4): 117-122
- Turkes M. 1996. Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in Turkey. Inter J Climatol, 16(9): 1057–1076.
- Turkes M. 2017. Drought vulnerability and risk analysis of Turkey with respect to climatic variability and socio-ecological indicators. Aegean Geogr J, 26(2): 47–70
- Tümertekin E. 1956. Türkiye'de kuraklık süresinin coğrafi dağılışı. Türk Coğrafya Derg, 15-16: 145-150.
- Tümertekin E. 1957. Kurak bölgelerde ziraat. İstanbul Üniv, İktisat Fak Yayınları, No.96, İstanbul, Türkiye, ss: 96.
- Türkeş M. 2007. Türkiye’nin kuraklığa, çölleşmeye eğilimi ve iklim değişikliği açısından değerlendirilmesi. Pankobirlik, 91: 38-47.
- Uçgun E. 2010. Kızılırmak havzası’ndaki hidrometeorolojik verilerin trend analizi. Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Kırıkkale Üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Kırıkkale, Türkiye, ss: 193.
- Usta G. 2023. Statistical analysis of disasters in the World (1900-2022). Gümüşhane Univ J Soc Sci Institut, 14(1): 172-186.
- WMO. 1997. Extreme agrometeorological events. CagM-X Working Group, Geneva, Switzerland, pp: 193.
- Yacoub E, Tayfur G. 2017. Evaluation and assessment of meteorological drought by different methods in Trarza region, Mauritania. Water Resour Manage, 31: 825-845. https: //doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1510-8
- Yacoub E, Tayfur G. 2020. Spatial and temporal of variation of meteorological drought and precipitation trend analysis over whole Mauritania. J African Earth Sci, 163: 1-12. https: //doi.org/10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2020.103761
- Yildiz O. 2014. Spatiotemporal analysis of historical droughts in the Central Anatolia, Turkey. Gazi Univ J Sci, 27(4): 1177–1184.