Research Article

From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters

Volume: 9 Number: 4 July 15, 2026
EN TR

From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters

Abstract

The demand for High-Performance Computing (HPC) has been growing since the rise of AI in the last few years. Supercomputers are in demand more than ever across many fields for running generative models, bitcoin mining, gaming services, and other computing applications that are increasingly run in the cloud. Scheduling in HPC has always been one of the most interesting research areas, especially in the 2000s, when grid computing emerged as a promising new technology in the domain. However, research in this area has been in the shadows for a while as the grid has matured into cloud-based systems in practice. Scheduling for HPC seemed to be a saturated research area, while new research trends have taken off in all directions. The recent big leap in AI models has revived this domain for two main reasons. Many classic, heuristic, and metaheuristic scheduling algorithms can be reconceptualized by integrating them with machine learning-based algorithms or frameworks, likely leading to better performance than the classical models used previously. Additionally, the urgent need for supercomputing for running the AI models that are used widely and daily, almost for every task, urges the area of scheduling algorithms itself. This paper proposes two novel AI models. The first model is based on the hurdle framework. In contrast, the second model is based on a stacking classifier followed by a stacking regression for two real datasets, using three performance metrics: wait time, slowdown, and response time, compared with the Random Forest solo model. The Hurdle model achieved the best performance on zero-inflated targets, while the Two-Stacking Stage showed better temporal robustness. When zero inflation is absent, simpler models can be more effective.

Keywords

Ethical Statement

Ethics committee approval was not required for this study because there was no study on animals or humans.

References

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Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Information Systems Development Methodologies and Practice

Journal Section

Research Article

Publication Date

July 15, 2026

Submission Date

June 4, 2026

Acceptance Date

July 2, 2026

Published in Issue

Year 2026 Volume: 9 Number: 4

APA
Dakkak, Ö. (2026). From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science, 9(4), 1905-1922. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1963790
AMA
1.Dakkak Ö. From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters. BSJ Eng. Sci. 2026;9(4):1905-1922. doi:10.34248/bsengineering.1963790
Chicago
Dakkak, Ömer. 2026. “From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters”. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science 9 (4): 1905-22. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1963790.
EndNote
Dakkak Ö (July 1, 2026) From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science 9 4 1905–1922.
IEEE
[1]Ö. Dakkak, “From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters”, BSJ Eng. Sci., vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 1905–1922, July 2026, doi: 10.34248/bsengineering.1963790.
ISNAD
Dakkak, Ömer. “From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters”. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science 9/4 (July 1, 2026): 1905-1922. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1963790.
JAMA
1.Dakkak Ö. From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters. BSJ Eng. Sci. 2026;9:1905–1922.
MLA
Dakkak, Ömer. “From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters”. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science, vol. 9, no. 4, July 2026, pp. 1905-22, doi:10.34248/bsengineering.1963790.
Vancouver
1.Ömer Dakkak. From Wait Time to Slowdown: A Hurdle Framework for Performance-Centric Metric Prediction in HPC Clusters. BSJ Eng. Sci. 2026 Jul. 1;9(4):1905-22. doi:10.34248/bsengineering.1963790

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