Modelling the Transmission Dynamics of Cholera Disease with the Impact of Control Strategies in Nigeria

Year 2023, Volume: 20 Issue: 1, 35 - 52, 01.05.2023

Sefiu Onitilo , Muhammad Usman , Deborah Danıel , Tola Odule , Ajoke Sanusi

Abstract

Cholera remains a severe health concern in many developing nations, including Nigeria, and its control remains challenging. Therefore, a mathematical model for the mitigation of cholera disease in Nigeria is developed and analyzed. It includes vital dynamics that examine the impact of environmental sanitation, water body treatment, water hygiene, and therapeutic treatment as mitigation strategies for containing the disease. The impact of control techniques on the diseased population is investigated using numerical simulation. The model was simulated to determine the impacts of hygienic culture on the infected population at no, low, moderate, and high levels of vaccination and treatment, or both. The model under study demonstrates that the cholera pandemic might be eliminated from society with the right mix of preventative measures and determined effort. According to the model used, Nigeria will quickly rid itself of the disease if treatment, water hygiene, and environmental sanitation are highly monitored and improved.

Keywords

Cholera, Modelling, Transmission, Control Measures, Epidemic, Reproduction Number

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