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Year 2015, Volume: 64 Issue: 2, 99 - 109, 01.08.2015
https://doi.org/10.1501/Commua1_0000000737

Abstract

References

  • Akdi, Y. Zaman Serileri Analizi (Birim Kökler ve Kointegrasyon), 2nd Ed., Ankara, Gazi Kitabevi. 2010.
  • Bahar,O ve Kozak, M. Türkiye Turizminin Akdeniz Ülkeleri ile Rekabet Gücü Açısından Kar¸sıla¸stırılması, Anatolia: Turizm Ara¸stırmaları Dergisi, Vol. 16, No 2, Güz, pp. 139-152, (2005).
  • Chen, K.Y. Combining Linear and Nonlinear Model In Forecasting Tourism Demand, Expert Systems with Applications, 38, pp. 10368–10376, (2011).
  • Dwyer, L. Gill, A. and Seetaram, N. Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism: Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches, Edward Elgar Pub, 2012.
  • Granger, C.W.J. and Newbold, P. Spurious Regressions In Econometrics, Journal of Econo- metrics 2, pp. 111-120, (1974).
  • Gujarati, M. and Porter, D. Temel Ekonometri, Translation from 5th Ed. (Ümit ¸Senesen and Gülay Günlük ¸Senesen), ·Istanbul, Literatür Yayıncılık, 2012.
  • Song, H. and Witt, S.F. Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: Modern Econometric Approaches, Oxford: Pergamon, 2000.
  • Song, H. and Li, G. Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting, A Review of Recent Re- search Tourism Management, 29 (2), pp. 203 – 220, ISSN 0261-5177, (2008).
  • Song, H Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: How Should Demand Be Measured?, Tourism Economics, 16 (1), pp. 63–81, (2010).
  • Statistics of TUROFED are accessed from < http://www.turofed.org.tr/Bilgi-Edinme_13.aspx> on 27th June 2013.

AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY

Year 2015, Volume: 64 Issue: 2, 99 - 109, 01.08.2015
https://doi.org/10.1501/Commua1_0000000737

Abstract

This study focuses on modelling tourism demand with using number of tourists who came to Turkey between the years 1966-2012 (47 years)and bed numbers belonging to accommodation facilities with tourism operation licensed. The number of tourists and beds have only been reached dealingwith the years 1966-2012. Except from these variables, many variables such asstates investment incentives on tourism, tourism revenues, the annual averagetemperature, the parity of foreign currency like Euro, dollar and power of purchasing in the country could be taken into account. The aim of this paper is tocreate a forecasting model about the number of coming tourists and to provideprior information for tourism policies by regarding introduced models. In thissense, forecasting of international tourist arrivals for 2013-2020 is purposed

References

  • Akdi, Y. Zaman Serileri Analizi (Birim Kökler ve Kointegrasyon), 2nd Ed., Ankara, Gazi Kitabevi. 2010.
  • Bahar,O ve Kozak, M. Türkiye Turizminin Akdeniz Ülkeleri ile Rekabet Gücü Açısından Kar¸sıla¸stırılması, Anatolia: Turizm Ara¸stırmaları Dergisi, Vol. 16, No 2, Güz, pp. 139-152, (2005).
  • Chen, K.Y. Combining Linear and Nonlinear Model In Forecasting Tourism Demand, Expert Systems with Applications, 38, pp. 10368–10376, (2011).
  • Dwyer, L. Gill, A. and Seetaram, N. Handbook of Research Methods in Tourism: Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches, Edward Elgar Pub, 2012.
  • Granger, C.W.J. and Newbold, P. Spurious Regressions In Econometrics, Journal of Econo- metrics 2, pp. 111-120, (1974).
  • Gujarati, M. and Porter, D. Temel Ekonometri, Translation from 5th Ed. (Ümit ¸Senesen and Gülay Günlük ¸Senesen), ·Istanbul, Literatür Yayıncılık, 2012.
  • Song, H. and Witt, S.F. Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: Modern Econometric Approaches, Oxford: Pergamon, 2000.
  • Song, H. and Li, G. Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting, A Review of Recent Re- search Tourism Management, 29 (2), pp. 203 – 220, ISSN 0261-5177, (2008).
  • Song, H Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: How Should Demand Be Measured?, Tourism Economics, 16 (1), pp. 63–81, (2010).
  • Statistics of TUROFED are accessed from < http://www.turofed.org.tr/Bilgi-Edinme_13.aspx> on 27th June 2013.
There are 10 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Mehmet Yılmaz This is me

Buse Büyüm This is me

Publication Date August 1, 2015
Published in Issue Year 2015 Volume: 64 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Yılmaz, M., & Büyüm, B. (2015). AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY. Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara Series A1 Mathematics and Statistics, 64(2), 99-109. https://doi.org/10.1501/Commua1_0000000737
AMA Yılmaz M, Büyüm B. AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY. Commun. Fac. Sci. Univ. Ank. Ser. A1 Math. Stat. August 2015;64(2):99-109. doi:10.1501/Commua1_0000000737
Chicago Yılmaz, Mehmet, and Buse Büyüm. “AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY”. Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara Series A1 Mathematics and Statistics 64, no. 2 (August 2015): 99-109. https://doi.org/10.1501/Commua1_0000000737.
EndNote Yılmaz M, Büyüm B (August 1, 2015) AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY. Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara Series A1 Mathematics and Statistics 64 2 99–109.
IEEE M. Yılmaz and B. Büyüm, “AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY”, Commun. Fac. Sci. Univ. Ank. Ser. A1 Math. Stat., vol. 64, no. 2, pp. 99–109, 2015, doi: 10.1501/Commua1_0000000737.
ISNAD Yılmaz, Mehmet - Büyüm, Buse. “AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY”. Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara Series A1 Mathematics and Statistics 64/2 (August 2015), 99-109. https://doi.org/10.1501/Commua1_0000000737.
JAMA Yılmaz M, Büyüm B. AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY. Commun. Fac. Sci. Univ. Ank. Ser. A1 Math. Stat. 2015;64:99–109.
MLA Yılmaz, Mehmet and Buse Büyüm. “AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY”. Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara Series A1 Mathematics and Statistics, vol. 64, no. 2, 2015, pp. 99-109, doi:10.1501/Commua1_0000000737.
Vancouver Yılmaz M, Büyüm B. AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY. Commun. Fac. Sci. Univ. Ank. Ser. A1 Math. Stat. 2015;64(2):99-109.

Communications Faculty of Sciences University of Ankara Series A1 Mathematics and Statistics.

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