Gençlik Futbolunda Piyasa Değeri ve Transfer Ücretleri: Belirleyiciler, Korelasyonlar ve Bağıl Yaş Etkisinin Rolü

Year 2025, Volume: 8 Issue: 2, 1 - 14, 29.06.2025

Gülhan Erdem Subak , Ahmet Atlı , Ahmet Buğra Gözeller

Abstract

ÖZET
Amaç: Bu çalışma, gençlik futbolunda piyasa değeri ve transfer ücretlerini etkileyen belirleyicileri incelemeyi, oyuncu özellikleri ile ekonomik değerlemeler arasındaki korelasyonları değerlendirmeyi ve Bağıl Yaş Etkisi’nin (RAE) bu dinamikleri nasıl şekillendirdiğini açıklamayı amaçlamaktadır. Spor ekonomisi ve gelişim psikolojisinden elde edilen bulguları birleştirerek, çalışma içsel ve dışsal faktörlerin gençlik futbolunun finansal boyutlarını nasıl etkilediğine dair kapsamlı bir anlayış sunmayı hedeflemektedir.
Yöntem: Bu çalışma, konuyla ilgili literatürü inceleyerek konuya ışık tutmayı amaçlayan bir derleme makalesidir. Google Scholar, PubMed ve Web of Science gibi akademik veri tabanlarında anahtar kelimeler ve konu başlıkları kullanılarak yayımlanmış çalışmalar sistematik bir şekilde taranmış ve değerlendirilmiştir.
Bulgular: Çalışmanın bulguları, futbol endüstrisindeki değerleme süreçlerinin karmaşıklığını ortaya koymaktadır; burada hem ölçülebilir performans göstergeleri hem de RAE gibi gizli sistemsel önyargılar, erken kariyer yollarını ve ekonomik sonuçları birlikte şekillendirmektedir. Göreceli olarak daha yaşlı oyuncular genellikle erken seçim avantajlarından yararlanırken, uzunlamasına veriler bu avantajların mutlaka uzun vadeli başarıya dönüşmediğini göstermektedir. Buna karşılık, erken dönem dezavantajlarına rağmen sebat eden göreceli olarak daha genç oyuncular, sıklıkla daha yüksek psikolojik dayanıklılık ve daha istikrarlı uzun vadeli performans sergilemektedir.
Sonuç: Sonuç olarak, uygulama açısından bakıldığında, bu derleme geç seçimi teşvik eden, bütüncül oyuncu değerlendirmesini ve bireysel gelişimsel süreçleri dikkate alan dinamik geri bildirim sistemlerini savunarak gözlem ve oyuncu gelişim uygulamalarında reform çağrısında bulunmaktadır. Bu stratejiler, daha adil fırsatların teşvik edilmesini ve kaynakların yanlış tahsisinin en aza indirilmesini sağlayabilir.

Keywords

Bağıl Yaş Etkisi (RAE), Gençlik Futbol Ekonomisi, Oyuncu Gelişimi ve Gözlem, Yetenek Değerleme Önyargıları

Market Value and Transfer Fees in Youth Football: Determinants, Correlations, and the Role of the Relative Age Effect

Abstract

ABSTRACT
Purpose: This article aims to examine the determinants influencing market value and transfer fees in youth football, assess the correlations between player characteristics and economic valuations, and elucidate how the Relative Age Effect (RAE) shapes these dynamics. By integrating findings from sports economics and developmental psychology, the study seeks to offer a comprehensive understanding of how intrinsic and extrinsic factors affect the financial dimensions of youth football.
Method: This study is a review article that aims to shed light on the subject by examining the relevant literature. published studies were identified and evaluated through a systematic search using keywords and subject headings across academic databases including Google Scholar, PubMed and Web of Science.
Results: The findings of the study highlight the complexity of valuation processes in the football industry, where both quantifiable performance indicators and latent systemic biases such as the RAE jointly shape early career trajectories and economic outcomes. While relatively older players often benefit from early selection advantages, longitudinal data indicate that these advantages may not necessarily translate into long-term success. In contrast, relatively younger players who persevere despite early disadvantages frequently exhibit greater psychological resilience and more consistent long-term performance.
Conclusion: In conclusion, from a practical perspective, this review advocates for reforms in scouting and player development practices by promoting delayed selection, holistic player assessment, and dynamic feedback systems that consider individual developmental trajectories. These strategies have the potential to foster more equitable opportunities and minimize the misallocation of resources.

Keywords

Relative Age Effect (RAE), Youth Football Economics, Player Development and Scouting, Talent Valuation Biases

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