Does Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis Hold for Latin American Countries?
Year 2016,
Volume: 20 Issue: 2, 167 - 177, 30.12.2016
Harun Bal
,
Müge Manga
Esra Ballı
Mehmet Akif Destek
Abstract
This paper investigates the validity of Purchasing Power Parity utilizing Fourier unit root tests for the period of
2000m1-2015m2 for Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico. The findings show that the Purchasing Power Parity is valid
in Brazil and Colombia in case of considering structural breaks. Additionally, Purchasing Power Parity holds for all
countries in case of structural breaks and nonlinearity.
References
- Baharumshah, A. Z., Lau, E. and Nzıramasanga M.T. (2010). Purchasing Power Parity
in African countries: Evidence from Panel SURADF Test. South African
Journal of Economics, 78(1):40-56.
- Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Chang, T., and Hung, K. (2013). Revisiting purchasing power
parity in Latin America: sequential panel selection method. Applied
Economics, 45(32) :4584-4590.
- Becker, R., Endes, W. and Lee, J. (2006). A Stationarity Test in the Presence of an
Unknown Number of Smooth Breaks. Journal of Time Series Analysis,
3(5):381-409.
- Chang, T., Liu, W. C., Yu, C. P., and Kang, S. (2010). Purchasing power parity for 10
Latin American integration association countries: panel SURKSS tests.
Applied Economics Letters, 17(16) :1575-1580.
- Cheng, S. Y., Wei, J. S., and Hou, H. (2008). A cointegration analysis of purchasing
power parity and country risk. International Journal of Business and
Economics, 7(3):199.
- Christopoulos, D. K. and Leon-Ledesma, M.A. (2010). Smooth Breaks and Non-linear
Mean Reversion: Post-Bretton Woods Real Exchange Rates. Journal of
International Money and Finance, 29(6):1076-1093.
- Divino, J. A., Teles, V. K., and De Andrade, J. P. (2009). On the purchasing power
parity for Latin-American countries. Journal of Applied Economics, 12(1):33-
54.
- Doğanlar, M. (1999). Testing long-run validity of purchasing power parity for
Asian countries. Applied Economic Letters, 6:147–51.
- Gümüş, F. B., and Zeren, F., (2015). Analyzing the Efficient Market Hypothesis with
the Fourier Unit Root Tests: Evidence from G-20 Countries. Ekonomski
Horizonti, 16(3):225-237.
- He, H., Chou, M. C., and Chang, T. (2014). Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin
American countries: Panel SURKSS test with a Fourier function. Economic
Modelling, 36:37-43.
- Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y. and Snell, A. (2003). Testing for a Unit Root in the Nonlinear
STAR Framework. Journal of Econometrics, 112:359-379.
- Liu, S. and Chang, T. (2013). Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries.
Linear and nonlinear unit root tests with stationary covariates Economic
Computation & Economic Cybernetics Studies & Research, 47(4).
- Lothian, J. R. and Taylor, M. P. (2000). Purchasing power parity over two centuries:
strengthening the case for real exchange rate stability reply to Cuddington and
Liang. Journal of International Money and Finance, 19: 759–764.
- Lothian, J. R. and Taylor, M. P. (2008). Real Exchange Rates Over the Past Two
Centuries: How Important is the Harrod‐Balassa‐Samuelson Effect?. The
Economic Journal, 118(532):1742-1763.
- Maddala, G.S. and Wu, S. (1999). A Comparative Study Of Unit Root Tests With Panel
Data And A New Simple Test. Oxf. Bull. Econ. Stat. 61: 631–665.
- Macdonald, R. and Taylor, M. P. (1992). Exchange rate economics: a survey. Staff
Papers – International Monetary Fund, 39:1–57.
- Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in The Presence of Cross Section
Dependence. J. Appl. Econ., 22:265–312.
- Ralph Lu, Y. C., Chang, T., Chiu, C. C., and Tzeng, H. W. (2011). Revisiting
purchasing power parity for 16 Latin American countries: panel SURADF
tests. Applied Economics Letters, 18(3):251-255.
- Sarno, L. and Taylor, M.P. (2002). Purchasing power parity and the real exchange rate.
IMF Staff Papers, 49:65–105.
- Sarno and Taylor, M. P. (2003). The Economics of Exchange Rates. New York:
Cambridge University Press.
- Schwert, G.W. (1989). Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? Journal
of Finance, 44:1115–1153.
- Taylor, M. P. (1995). The economics of exchange-rates. Journal of Economic
Literature, 33:13–47.
- Taylor, A. M. and Taylor, M. P. (2004). The purchasing power parity debate. Journal of
Economic Perspectives, 18:135–58.
- Taylor, M. P. (2004). Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective? Economica,
71(281):1-11.
- Taylor, M. P. (2005). Official Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Coordinating Signal
in the Dollar-Yen Market. Pacific Economic Review, 10(1):73-82.
- Taylor, M.P. and Sarno, L. (1998). The Behavior of Real Exchanges During The PostBretton
Woods Period. J. Int. Econ., 46:281–312.
- Vasconcelos, C. R. F. and Junior, L. A. L. (2016). Validity of Purchasing Power Parity
for Selected Latin American Countries: Linear and Non-linear Unit Root Tests.
EconomiA.
- Yang‐Cheng, L., Tsangyao, C., Chia‐Hao, L., and Chi‐Wei, S. (2013). Revisiting
purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries: threshold unit root
test. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 18(2):165-174.
- Yılancı, V. and Erıs Z. A. (2013). Purchasing Power Parity in African Countries:
Further Evidence From Fourier Unit Root Tests Based on Linear And
Nonlinear Models. South African Journal of Economics, 81(1) :20-34.
Year 2016,
Volume: 20 Issue: 2, 167 - 177, 30.12.2016
Harun Bal
,
Müge Manga
Esra Ballı
Mehmet Akif Destek
References
- Baharumshah, A. Z., Lau, E. and Nzıramasanga M.T. (2010). Purchasing Power Parity
in African countries: Evidence from Panel SURADF Test. South African
Journal of Economics, 78(1):40-56.
- Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Chang, T., and Hung, K. (2013). Revisiting purchasing power
parity in Latin America: sequential panel selection method. Applied
Economics, 45(32) :4584-4590.
- Becker, R., Endes, W. and Lee, J. (2006). A Stationarity Test in the Presence of an
Unknown Number of Smooth Breaks. Journal of Time Series Analysis,
3(5):381-409.
- Chang, T., Liu, W. C., Yu, C. P., and Kang, S. (2010). Purchasing power parity for 10
Latin American integration association countries: panel SURKSS tests.
Applied Economics Letters, 17(16) :1575-1580.
- Cheng, S. Y., Wei, J. S., and Hou, H. (2008). A cointegration analysis of purchasing
power parity and country risk. International Journal of Business and
Economics, 7(3):199.
- Christopoulos, D. K. and Leon-Ledesma, M.A. (2010). Smooth Breaks and Non-linear
Mean Reversion: Post-Bretton Woods Real Exchange Rates. Journal of
International Money and Finance, 29(6):1076-1093.
- Divino, J. A., Teles, V. K., and De Andrade, J. P. (2009). On the purchasing power
parity for Latin-American countries. Journal of Applied Economics, 12(1):33-
54.
- Doğanlar, M. (1999). Testing long-run validity of purchasing power parity for
Asian countries. Applied Economic Letters, 6:147–51.
- Gümüş, F. B., and Zeren, F., (2015). Analyzing the Efficient Market Hypothesis with
the Fourier Unit Root Tests: Evidence from G-20 Countries. Ekonomski
Horizonti, 16(3):225-237.
- He, H., Chou, M. C., and Chang, T. (2014). Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin
American countries: Panel SURKSS test with a Fourier function. Economic
Modelling, 36:37-43.
- Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y. and Snell, A. (2003). Testing for a Unit Root in the Nonlinear
STAR Framework. Journal of Econometrics, 112:359-379.
- Liu, S. and Chang, T. (2013). Purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries.
Linear and nonlinear unit root tests with stationary covariates Economic
Computation & Economic Cybernetics Studies & Research, 47(4).
- Lothian, J. R. and Taylor, M. P. (2000). Purchasing power parity over two centuries:
strengthening the case for real exchange rate stability reply to Cuddington and
Liang. Journal of International Money and Finance, 19: 759–764.
- Lothian, J. R. and Taylor, M. P. (2008). Real Exchange Rates Over the Past Two
Centuries: How Important is the Harrod‐Balassa‐Samuelson Effect?. The
Economic Journal, 118(532):1742-1763.
- Maddala, G.S. and Wu, S. (1999). A Comparative Study Of Unit Root Tests With Panel
Data And A New Simple Test. Oxf. Bull. Econ. Stat. 61: 631–665.
- Macdonald, R. and Taylor, M. P. (1992). Exchange rate economics: a survey. Staff
Papers – International Monetary Fund, 39:1–57.
- Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in The Presence of Cross Section
Dependence. J. Appl. Econ., 22:265–312.
- Ralph Lu, Y. C., Chang, T., Chiu, C. C., and Tzeng, H. W. (2011). Revisiting
purchasing power parity for 16 Latin American countries: panel SURADF
tests. Applied Economics Letters, 18(3):251-255.
- Sarno, L. and Taylor, M.P. (2002). Purchasing power parity and the real exchange rate.
IMF Staff Papers, 49:65–105.
- Sarno and Taylor, M. P. (2003). The Economics of Exchange Rates. New York:
Cambridge University Press.
- Schwert, G.W. (1989). Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? Journal
of Finance, 44:1115–1153.
- Taylor, M. P. (1995). The economics of exchange-rates. Journal of Economic
Literature, 33:13–47.
- Taylor, A. M. and Taylor, M. P. (2004). The purchasing power parity debate. Journal of
Economic Perspectives, 18:135–58.
- Taylor, M. P. (2004). Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective? Economica,
71(281):1-11.
- Taylor, M. P. (2005). Official Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Coordinating Signal
in the Dollar-Yen Market. Pacific Economic Review, 10(1):73-82.
- Taylor, M.P. and Sarno, L. (1998). The Behavior of Real Exchanges During The PostBretton
Woods Period. J. Int. Econ., 46:281–312.
- Vasconcelos, C. R. F. and Junior, L. A. L. (2016). Validity of Purchasing Power Parity
for Selected Latin American Countries: Linear and Non-linear Unit Root Tests.
EconomiA.
- Yang‐Cheng, L., Tsangyao, C., Chia‐Hao, L., and Chi‐Wei, S. (2013). Revisiting
purchasing power parity for 15 Latin American countries: threshold unit root
test. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 18(2):165-174.
- Yılancı, V. and Erıs Z. A. (2013). Purchasing Power Parity in African Countries:
Further Evidence From Fourier Unit Root Tests Based on Linear And
Nonlinear Models. South African Journal of Economics, 81(1) :20-34.