Flood risk assessment using Neutrosophic Analytical Hierarchy Process (N-AHP) and GIS techniques in the Melet Basin (Türkiye)

Abstract

Today, knowing the spatial distribution of flood risk using GIS (Geographic Information Systems)-based MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) approaches has been a topic addressed by many researchers. In this context, the current study focuses on the spatial distribution of flood risk using the N-AHP (Neutrosophic Analytical Hierarchy Process)-based GIS approach. The Melet Basin (Türkiye) is a case study for the suggested methodology. Four decision-makers used linguistic phrases to compare and assess the flood criteria during the method's application phase. The opinions of the decision makers were combined with the N-AHP, and the criteria were weighted. The results determined that precipitation, distance from the river, drainage density, land use, and slope were the most important factors affecting the flood and contributed approximately 74%. Apart from this, it has been observed that 10% of the basin is in the high and very high flood risk classes, and these risky areas overlap with the flood points of past periods. The proposed approach and findings are anticipated to have theoretical and practical implications.

Keywords

• Neutrosophic Set
• MCDM-GIS
• AHP
• Flood Risk
• Melet Basin
• Türkiye

Nötrosofik Analitik Hiyerarşi Süreci (N-AHS) ve CBS Teknikleri Kullanılarak Melet Havzası'nda (Türkiye) Taşkın Risk Değerlendirmesi

Abstract

Günümüzde CBS (Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri) tabanlı ÇKKV (Çok Kriterli Karar Verme) yaklaşımları kullanılarak taşkın riskinin mekansal dağılımının bilinmesi birçok araştırmacının ele aldığı bir konu olmuştur. Bu bağlamda mevcut çalışma, N-AHS (Nötrosofik Analitik Hiyerarşi Süreci) tabanlı CBS yaklaşımını kullanarak taşkın riskinin mekansal dağılımına odaklanmaktadır. Önerilen yaklaşım Melet Havzası'nda (Türkiye) bir örnek olay olarak incelenmiştir. Yöntemin uygulama aşamasında dört karar verici taşkın kriterlerini dilsel terimler kullanarak birbirleriyle karşılaştırmıştır. Karar vericilerin görüşleri N-AHS ile birleştirilerek kriterler ağırlıklandırılmıştır. Sonuçlar, yağış, nehirden uzaklık, drenaj yoğunluğu, arazi kullanımı ve eğimin taşkını etkileyen en önemli faktörler olduğunu ve bu faktörlerin yaklaşık %74 oranında taşkına neden olduğu belirlenmiştir. Bunun dışında havzanın %10'unun yüksek ve çok yüksek taşkın riski sınıflarında yer aldığı ve bu riskli alanların geçmiş dönemlerin taşkın noktalarıyla örtüştüğü görülmüştür. Önerilen yaklaşım ve bulguların teorik ve pratik çıkarımlara sahip olması beklenmektedir.

Keywords

• Nötrosofik Küme
• ÇKVV-GIS
• AHS
• Taşkın Riski
• Melet Havzası
• Türkiye

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