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THE DETERMINATION OF BETA COEFFICIENTS OF PUBLICLY-HELD COMPANIES BY A REGRESSION MODEL AND AN APPLICATION ON PRIVATE FIRMS

Yıl 2007, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2 - Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2, 295 - 324, 25.07.2016

Öz

It is possible to determine the value of private companies by means of suggestions and assumptions derived from their financial statements. However, there comes out a serious problem in the determination of equity costs of these private companies using Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM) as beta coefficients are unknown or unavailable. In this study, firstly, a regression model that represents the relationship between the beta coefficients and financial statements’ Variables of publicly-held companies will be developed. Then, this model will be tested and applied on private companies.

Kaynakça

  • ALMISHER, Mohamad A. and Richard J. KISH, “Accounting Betas – An Ex Anti Proxy for Risk within IPO Market”, Journal of Financial and Strategic Decisions, Vol. 13, No. 3, Fall 2000, pp. 23-34.
  • BALL, R. and P. BROWN, “Portfolio Theory and Accounting Theory”, Journal of Accounting Research, 7, 1969, pp. 300-323.
  • BEAVER, B. and J. MANEGOLD, “The Association between Market-Determined and Accounting-Determined Measures of Systematic Risk: Some Further Evidence”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis”, 10, 1975, pp. 213
  • BEAVER, William, P. KETTLER and M. SCHOLES, “The Association between Market Determined and Accounting Determined Risk Measures”, The Accounting Review, October 1970, pp. 654-682.
  • BENEDA, Nancy L., “Estimating Cost of Capital Using Bottom-Up Betas”, The CPA Journal, May 2003, pp. 66-73.
  • BERKOWITZ, Michael K., “Estimating the Market Risk for Non-Traded Securities: an Application to Canadian Public Utilities”, International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 7, No. 2, 1998, pp. 171-179.
  • BILDERSEE, John S., “The Association between a Market-Determined Measure of Risk and Alternative Measures of Risk”, The Accounting Review, January BOWMAN, Robert G., “The Theoretical Relationship between Systematic Risk and Financial (Accounting) Variables”, The Journal of Finance, Vol. XXXIV, No. , June, 1979, pp. 617-630.
  • BREALEY, Richard A. and Stewart C. MYERS, Principles of Corporate Finance, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., New York, 1996.
  • BRIGHAM, Eugene F. and Louis C. GAPENSKI, Intermediate Financial Management, The Dryden Press, Harcourt Brace College Publishers, Fort Worth, 1996.
  • COPELAND, T., T. KOLLER and J. MURRIN, Valuation: Measuring and Managing The Value of Companies, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 2000.
  • DAMODARAN, Aswath, Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 2002.
  • DAMODARAN, Aswath, The Dark Side of Valuation: valuing old tech, new tech, and new economy companies, Prentice-Hall, Inc., New Jersey, 2001.
  • DONAHUE, Paul, “The Dividend Advantage”, Electric Perspectives, September, October 2003, pp. 28-35.
  • EHRHARDT, M. and Y. N. BHAGWAT, “A Full-Information Approach for Estimating Divisional Betas”, Financial Management, Summer 1991, pp. 60-69.
  • ERCAN, Metin Kamil ve Ünsal BAN, Değere Dayalı İşletme Finansı: Finansal Yönetim, Gazi Kitabevi, Ankara, 2005.
  • ERCAN, Metin Kamil, M. B. ÖZTÜRK, İ. KÜÇÜKKAPLAN, E. S. BAŞCI ve K. DEMİRGÜNEŞ, Firma Değerlemesi: Banka Uygulaması, Literatür Yayınevi, İstanbul, 2006.
  • GONEDES, N. J., “Evidence on the Information Content of Accounting Numbers: Accounting-Based and Market-Based Estimates of Systematic Risk”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8, 1973, pp. 407-444.
  • GROH, Alexander P. and Oliver GOTTSCHLAG, “The Risk-Adjusted Performance of US Buyouts”, Working Paper, Darmstadt University of Technology, Germany, pp. 1-45. HARRINGTON, Diana R., “Whose Beta is Best?”, Financial Analysts Journal, July- August 1983, pp. 67-73.
  • IŞIK, Nihat, “Dışa Açılma ve Para Politikasının Etkileri Bir Uygulama”, Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Gazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Ankara, 2002.
  • İSMAİL, B. and M. KIM, “On the Association of Cash Flow Variables with Market Risk: Further Evidence”, The Accounting Review, 64, 1989, pp. 125-136.
  • KARELS, G. V. and W. H. SACKLEY, “The Relationship between Market and Accounting Betas for Commercial Banks”, Review of Financial Economics, 2, KULKARNI, M., M. POWERS and D. SHANNON, “The Use of Segment Earnings Betas in the Formation of Divisional Hurdle Rates”, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 18, 1991, pp. 497-512.
  • LEV, B. and S. KUNITZKY, “On the Association between Smoothing Measures and the Risk in Common Stocks”, The Accounting Review, 49, 1974, pp. 259-270.
  • PARASURAMAN, N. R., “Ascertaining the divisional Beta for project evaluation –the Pure Play Yöntem- a discussion”, The Chartered Accountant, November 2002, pp. 546-549.
  • ROSENBERG, B. and A. RUDD, “The Corporate Uses of Beta”, J. M. STERN and D. H. CHEW (Editors), The Revolution in Corporate Finance, New York, Blackwell Publishing, 1987.
  • ROSENBERG, B. and W. McKIBBEN, “The Estimation of Systematic and Specific Risk in Common Stocks”, Journal of Business and Quantitative Analysis, 8, , pp. 317-333. ROSENBERG, Barr and James GUY, “Beta and Investment Fundamentals”, Financial Analysts Journal, May-June 1976, pp. 60-72.
  • SALMI, T., I. VIRTANEN and P. YLI-OLLI, “The Generalized Association between Financial Statements and Security Characteristics”, Scandinavian Journal of Management, Vol. 13, No. 2, 1997, pp. 121-136.

HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ

Yıl 2007, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2 - Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2, 295 - 324, 25.07.2016

Öz

Halka açık olmayan firmaların değerinin tespitinde, mali tablolardan yola çıkılarak bir takım önermeler ve varsayımlar altında değerin tespiti mümkün olabilmektedir. Ancak, bu firmaların özsermaye maliyetlerinin tespitinde önemli bir sorunla karşılaşılmaktadır. Halka açık olmayan firmaların özsermaye maliyetleri Sermaye Varlıklarını Fiyatlandırma Modeli (Capital Assets Pricing Model-CAPM) kullanılarak hesaplanmak istendiğinde, beta katsayılarının tespitinde zorluklar yaşanmaktadır.Çalışmada, bu zorluk dikkate alınarak, öncelikle halka açık firmaların mali tablo değişkenleri ile beta katsayıları arasındaki ilişki regresyon modeli yardımıyla tespit edilmeye çalışılmaktadır. Daha sonrasında, ilgili model halka açık olan firmaların verileri kullanılarak test edilmekte ve halka açık olmayan firmalar üzerinde uygulanmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • ALMISHER, Mohamad A. and Richard J. KISH, “Accounting Betas – An Ex Anti Proxy for Risk within IPO Market”, Journal of Financial and Strategic Decisions, Vol. 13, No. 3, Fall 2000, pp. 23-34.
  • BALL, R. and P. BROWN, “Portfolio Theory and Accounting Theory”, Journal of Accounting Research, 7, 1969, pp. 300-323.
  • BEAVER, B. and J. MANEGOLD, “The Association between Market-Determined and Accounting-Determined Measures of Systematic Risk: Some Further Evidence”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis”, 10, 1975, pp. 213
  • BEAVER, William, P. KETTLER and M. SCHOLES, “The Association between Market Determined and Accounting Determined Risk Measures”, The Accounting Review, October 1970, pp. 654-682.
  • BENEDA, Nancy L., “Estimating Cost of Capital Using Bottom-Up Betas”, The CPA Journal, May 2003, pp. 66-73.
  • BERKOWITZ, Michael K., “Estimating the Market Risk for Non-Traded Securities: an Application to Canadian Public Utilities”, International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 7, No. 2, 1998, pp. 171-179.
  • BILDERSEE, John S., “The Association between a Market-Determined Measure of Risk and Alternative Measures of Risk”, The Accounting Review, January BOWMAN, Robert G., “The Theoretical Relationship between Systematic Risk and Financial (Accounting) Variables”, The Journal of Finance, Vol. XXXIV, No. , June, 1979, pp. 617-630.
  • BREALEY, Richard A. and Stewart C. MYERS, Principles of Corporate Finance, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., New York, 1996.
  • BRIGHAM, Eugene F. and Louis C. GAPENSKI, Intermediate Financial Management, The Dryden Press, Harcourt Brace College Publishers, Fort Worth, 1996.
  • COPELAND, T., T. KOLLER and J. MURRIN, Valuation: Measuring and Managing The Value of Companies, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 2000.
  • DAMODARAN, Aswath, Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 2002.
  • DAMODARAN, Aswath, The Dark Side of Valuation: valuing old tech, new tech, and new economy companies, Prentice-Hall, Inc., New Jersey, 2001.
  • DONAHUE, Paul, “The Dividend Advantage”, Electric Perspectives, September, October 2003, pp. 28-35.
  • EHRHARDT, M. and Y. N. BHAGWAT, “A Full-Information Approach for Estimating Divisional Betas”, Financial Management, Summer 1991, pp. 60-69.
  • ERCAN, Metin Kamil ve Ünsal BAN, Değere Dayalı İşletme Finansı: Finansal Yönetim, Gazi Kitabevi, Ankara, 2005.
  • ERCAN, Metin Kamil, M. B. ÖZTÜRK, İ. KÜÇÜKKAPLAN, E. S. BAŞCI ve K. DEMİRGÜNEŞ, Firma Değerlemesi: Banka Uygulaması, Literatür Yayınevi, İstanbul, 2006.
  • GONEDES, N. J., “Evidence on the Information Content of Accounting Numbers: Accounting-Based and Market-Based Estimates of Systematic Risk”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8, 1973, pp. 407-444.
  • GROH, Alexander P. and Oliver GOTTSCHLAG, “The Risk-Adjusted Performance of US Buyouts”, Working Paper, Darmstadt University of Technology, Germany, pp. 1-45. HARRINGTON, Diana R., “Whose Beta is Best?”, Financial Analysts Journal, July- August 1983, pp. 67-73.
  • IŞIK, Nihat, “Dışa Açılma ve Para Politikasının Etkileri Bir Uygulama”, Yayınlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Gazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Ankara, 2002.
  • İSMAİL, B. and M. KIM, “On the Association of Cash Flow Variables with Market Risk: Further Evidence”, The Accounting Review, 64, 1989, pp. 125-136.
  • KARELS, G. V. and W. H. SACKLEY, “The Relationship between Market and Accounting Betas for Commercial Banks”, Review of Financial Economics, 2, KULKARNI, M., M. POWERS and D. SHANNON, “The Use of Segment Earnings Betas in the Formation of Divisional Hurdle Rates”, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 18, 1991, pp. 497-512.
  • LEV, B. and S. KUNITZKY, “On the Association between Smoothing Measures and the Risk in Common Stocks”, The Accounting Review, 49, 1974, pp. 259-270.
  • PARASURAMAN, N. R., “Ascertaining the divisional Beta for project evaluation –the Pure Play Yöntem- a discussion”, The Chartered Accountant, November 2002, pp. 546-549.
  • ROSENBERG, B. and A. RUDD, “The Corporate Uses of Beta”, J. M. STERN and D. H. CHEW (Editors), The Revolution in Corporate Finance, New York, Blackwell Publishing, 1987.
  • ROSENBERG, B. and W. McKIBBEN, “The Estimation of Systematic and Specific Risk in Common Stocks”, Journal of Business and Quantitative Analysis, 8, , pp. 317-333. ROSENBERG, Barr and James GUY, “Beta and Investment Fundamentals”, Financial Analysts Journal, May-June 1976, pp. 60-72.
  • SALMI, T., I. VIRTANEN and P. YLI-OLLI, “The Generalized Association between Financial Statements and Security Characteristics”, Scandinavian Journal of Management, Vol. 13, No. 2, 1997, pp. 121-136.
Toplam 26 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Diğer ID JA38FZ75NK
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

METİN KAMİL Ercan Bu kişi benim

M. BAŞARAN Öztürk Bu kişi benim

İLHAN Küçükkaplan Bu kişi benim

E. SAVAŞ Başcı Bu kişi benim

KARTAL Demirgüneş Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 25 Temmuz 2016
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2007 Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2 - Cilt: 22 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Ercan, M. K., Öztürk, M. B., Küçükkaplan, İ., Başcı, E. S., vd. (2016). HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(2), 295-324.
AMA Ercan MK, Öztürk MB, Küçükkaplan İ, Başcı ES, Demirgüneş K. HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. Temmuz 2016;22(2):295-324.
Chicago Ercan, METİN KAMİL, M. BAŞARAN Öztürk, İLHAN Küçükkaplan, E. SAVAŞ Başcı, ve KARTAL Demirgüneş. “HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ”. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 22, sy. 2 (Temmuz 2016): 295-324.
EndNote Ercan MK, Öztürk MB, Küçükkaplan İ, Başcı ES, Demirgüneş K (01 Temmuz 2016) HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 22 2 295–324.
IEEE M. K. Ercan, M. B. Öztürk, İ. Küçükkaplan, E. S. Başcı, ve K. Demirgüneş, “HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ”, Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 22, sy. 2, ss. 295–324, 2016.
ISNAD Ercan, METİN KAMİL vd. “HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ”. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 22/2 (Temmuz 2016), 295-324.
JAMA Ercan MK, Öztürk MB, Küçükkaplan İ, Başcı ES, Demirgüneş K. HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2016;22:295–324.
MLA Ercan, METİN KAMİL vd. “HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ”. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 22, sy. 2, 2016, ss. 295-24.
Vancouver Ercan MK, Öztürk MB, Küçükkaplan İ, Başcı ES, Demirgüneş K. HALKA AÇIK FİRMALARIN BETA KATSAYILARININ REGRESYON MODELİ İLE TESPİTİ VE HALKA AÇIK OLMAYAN FİRMALARA YÖNELİK UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİ. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2016;22(2):295-324.